CSKA Sofia v Derry City result
Team pages: CSKA Sofia · Derry City
The model’s pre-match pick
CSKA Sofia 3–2 Derry City — CSKA Sofia won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
CSKA Sofia beat Derry City 3–2 at Vasil Levski National Sports Academy in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 9 July. Derry City have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
CSKA Sofia led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — CSKA Sofia: I. Pittas (19’, assisted by S. Godoy; 53’, assisted by Pastor) and Bruno Jordão (41’, assisted by S. Sensi); Derry City: Liam Boyce (31’, assisted by Michael Duffy) and James Olayinka (88’, assisted by Patrick McClean).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bruno Jordão’s goal on 41 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: CSKA Sofia 0.00, Derry City 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). CSKA Sofia had no shots (no on target) to Derry City’s no (no on target). CSKA Sofia had 0% of the ball to Derry City’s 0%, completing 0 passes to 0.
Discipline
The bookings — Derry City: Barry Cotter (75’).
What it changes
CSKA Sofia have scored nine goals, the 38th-fewest of the 76 clubs (the most recent table TACTIX holds, after 8 games, ranked per game). CSKA Sofia have conceded 11 goals, the 29th-fewest (shared) of the 76 clubs.
Derry City have scored three goals, the 23rd-most (shared) of the 76 clubs (this season so far, after 2 games, ranked per game). Derry City have conceded five goals, the 15th-most (shared) of the 76 clubs.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).
Next up
CSKA Sofia next host Trabzonspor on 26 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for CSKA Sofia: CSKA Sofia v Trabzonspor, Thursday 26 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: CSKA Sofia 3–2 Derry City · UEFA Europa League
- Venue: Vasil Levski National Sports Academy · Sofia
- Referee: Visar Kastrati, Kosovo
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: CSKA Sofia 2W 0D 3L · Derry City 2W 1D 2L
CSKA Sofia 3–2 Derry City (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | CSKA Sofia for / against | Line | Derry City for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.67 for · 4.67 against n 3 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.29 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11 for · 11 against n 3 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.57 for · 9.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.33 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.71 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9 for · 13.33 against n 3 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.71 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 4.67 for · 3 against n 3 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.71 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: Visar Kastrati, Kosovo.
Derry City
Derry City Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Beach | 20 | 921847 min | 532.6 /90 | 221.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| B. Maher | 2 | 81161 min | 21.1 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Callister | 1 | 9090 min | 33 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Beach n 8 | 92.9 | 2.1 |
| B. Maher n 8 | 89.4 | 2.6 |
Derry City Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Fleming | 21 | 911901 min | 291.4 /90 | 140.7 /90 | 130.6 /90 | 1466.9 /90 | 170.8 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| Barry Cotter | 20 | 781559 min | 533.1 /90 | 311.8 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 1458.4 /90 | 130.8 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| Patrick McClean | 17 | 891507 min | 271.6 /90 | 201.2 /90 | 60.4 /90 | 905.4 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 70.4 /90 |
| Jamie Stott | 16 | 921477 min | 191.2 /90 | 171 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 996 /90 | 181.1 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| Conor Barr | 13 | 801043 min | 292.5 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 514.4 /90 | 70.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Fleming n 8 | 89.8 | 1 | 1.8 | — |
| Eddie Beach n 8 | 92.9 | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| Adam O'Reilly n 8 | 85.9 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Barry Cotter n 8 | 83.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | — |
| James Clarke n 8 | 76.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | — |
| See more players · Pro | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Fleming n 8 | 89.8 | 1 |
| Adam O'Reilly n 8 | 85.9 | 1.7 |
| Barry Cotter n 8 | 83.5 | 2.4 |
| James Clarke n 8 | 76.8 | 1.5 |
| James Olayinka n 8 | 75 | 1.7 |
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Derry City Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Clarke | 19 | 751418 min | 50.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 191.2 /90 | 100.6 /90 | 181.1 /90 | 140.9 /90 |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | 16 | 42666 min | 30.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 162.2 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 70.9 /90 |
| Josh Thomas | 15 | 58873 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 80.8 /90 |
| L. Boyce | 5 | 58291 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 61.9 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 82.5 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| Adam O'Reilly | 20 | 791585 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 221.2 /90 | 171 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Fleming n 8 | 89.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Eddie Beach n 8 | 92.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam O'Reilly n 8 | 85.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Barry Cotter n 8 | 83.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| James Clarke n 8 | 76.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Fleming n 8 | 89.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Eddie Beach n 8 | 92.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam O'Reilly n 8 | 85.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Barry Cotter n 8 | 83.5 | 0 | 0 |
| James Clarke n 8 | 76.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind CSKA Sofia v Derry City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for CSKA Sofia v Derry City?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for CSKA Sofia v Derry City was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.58 at Unibet).
- What is the recent form of CSKA Sofia and Derry City?
- Recent form — CSKA Sofia 2W 0D 3L; Derry City 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.