Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia prediction

UEFA Europa League · · National Stadium Vasil Levski

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Levski Sofia host Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Levski Sofia or Jagiellonia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Five of Levski Sofia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Levski Sofia’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Levski Sofia have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.43.

10 of Jagiellonia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Jagiellonia’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Jagiellonia have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.57.

Levski Sofia (17th) and Jagiellonia (27th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Levski Sofia the stronger side, 75 rating points above Jagiellonia (Levski Sofia 1578, Jagiellonia 1503, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Levski Sofia XI (4-2-3-1): S. Vutsov, K. Dimitrov, Aldair, Maicon, C. Makoun, Serginho, E. El Moubarik, E. Bala, M. Grujić, G. Trdin, Reinaldo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Svetoslav Vutsov (4.8 per match over seven appearances, one assist) and Reinaldo (4.3 per match over seven appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Levski Sofia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Levski Sofia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Svetoslav Vutsov averages 3.6 saves per 90 over 630 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last seven appearances. Reinaldo averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 546 minutes, with a shot in four of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Jagiellonia XI (4-3-3): S. Abramowicz, B. Vital, R. Conceição, G. Montóia, Y. Kobayashi, F. Klynge, T. Romanczuk, K. Szmyt, N. Prelec, J. Imaz, S. Lozano — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Taras Romanczuk (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) and Rodrigo Conceição (3.7 per match over 14 appearances, one goal) have been Jagiellonia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Jagiellonia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Taras Romanczuk averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 858 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Rodrigo Conceição averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 948 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · National Stadium Vasil Levski
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Levski Sofia 1W 2D 2L · Jagiellonia 2W 0D 3L

Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.14 / 3.13
Corners
against 4.57 / 5.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 3
Shots on target
against 4.57 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.86 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLevski Sofia for / againstLineJagiellonia for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.14 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
3.13 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
10.71 for · 13.43 against n 7
19.5standard
11.75 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
2.43 for · 4.57 against n 7
8.5standard
3 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.83 for · 14.5 against n 6
21.5standard
14.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia Goalkeeper

Levski Sofia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Vutsov790630 min253.6 /9040.6 /9000 /90
Levski Sofia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Vutsov n 890
3.65/5

Levski Sofia Defensive

Levski Sofia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Dimitrov790630 min40.6 /9010.1 /9050.7 /90202.9 /9000 /9000 /90
Aldair777542 min183 /9061 /9050.8 /90467.6 /9091.5 /9010.2 /90
Maicon685512 min122.1 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90264.6 /9020.4 /9000 /90
Álex Centelles579397 min51.1 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90122.7 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
N. Serafimov490360 min41 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90133.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
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Levski Sofia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Dimitrov n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Vutsov n 890
00/0
0.65/0
—
Serginho n 788.4
1.25/2
2.66/5
—
Reinaldo n 778
0.52/1
14/2
—
Aldair n 879
1.34/4
2.66/4
—
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Levski Sofia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Dimitrov n 890
0.64/1
Serginho n 788.4
0.95/1
Reinaldo n 778
0.31/1
Aldair n 879
2.77/6
A. Oko-Flex n 760.6
0.83/1
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Levski Sofia Attacking

Levski Sofia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Reinaldo778546 min50.8 /9010.2 /90132.1 /9030.5 /9061 /9040.7 /90
David Kusso434136 min00 /9000 /9064 /9021.3 /9000 /9032 /90
J. Perea42286 min11 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Serginho788619 min00 /9000 /9050.7 /9000 /9091.3 /9050.7 /90
A. Oko-Flex761424 min10.2 /9000 /9040.8 /9010.2 /9061.3 /9061.3 /90
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Levski Sofia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Dimitrov n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Vutsov n 890
00/0
00/0
Serginho n 788.4
0.74/1
00/0
Reinaldo n 778
2.14/4
0.53/0
Aldair n 879
0.32/0
00/0
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Levski Sofia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Vutsov n 890
00/0
0.11/0
K. Dimitrov n 890
00/0
00/0
Serginho n 788.4
00/0
00/0
Reinaldo n 778
0.84/1
0.21/0
Aldair n 879
00/0
00/0
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Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia Goalkeeper

Jagiellonia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Sławomir Abramowicz13901173 min433.3 /90161.2 /9000 /90
M. Perchel19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Jagiellonia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890.4
3.77/6

Jagiellonia Defensive

Jagiellonia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Rodrigo Conceição1468948 min312.9 /90171.6 /9030.3 /90787.4 /90171.6 /9020.2 /90
Bernardo Vital12901081 min151.2 /9060.5 /9070.6 /90655.4 /90221.8 /9050.4 /90
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia1086858 min252.6 /9090.9 /9040.4 /90505.2 /90171.8 /9040.4 /90
N. Wojtuszek984759 min182.1 /9050.6 /9040.5 /90394.6 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
Y. Kobayashi980720 min70.9 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90232.9 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
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Jagiellonia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Szmyt n 875.6
0.74/1
0.73/2
—
Rodrigo Conceição n 874.3
1.56/3
1.85/3
—
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890.4
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
Bernardo Vital n 890.1
28/5
1.14/2
—
Nik Prelec n 881.3
1.26/3
0.74/1
—
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Jagiellonia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Szmyt n 875.6
1.36/3
Rodrigo Conceição n 874.3
3.27/6
Bernardo Vital n 890.1
1.57/4
Nik Prelec n 881.3
0.43/0
Jesús Imaz n 871.6
1.45/3
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Jagiellonia Attacking

Jagiellonia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Nik Prelec1272866 min30.3 /9030.3 /90141.5 /9050.5 /90121.2 /9030.3 /90
Jeremy Agbonifo933297 min00 /9000 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9072.1 /90
A. Cirkovic532161 min00 /9000 /9031.7 /9000 /9000 /9021.1 /90
Y. Sylla445180 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9021 /90
Dimitris Rallis32265 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /90
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Jagiellonia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Szmyt n 875.6
1.26/2
0.32/0
Rodrigo Conceição n 874.3
0.94/2
0.32/0
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890.4
00/0
00/0
Bernardo Vital n 890.1
0.42/1
00/0
Nik Prelec n 881.3
1.16/2
0.11/0
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Jagiellonia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Szmyt n 875.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Rodrigo Conceição n 874.3
0.21/0
00/0
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890.4
00/0
00/0
Bernardo Vital n 890.1
00/0
00/0
Nik Prelec n 881.3
00/0
0.32/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Levski SofiaDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
JagielloniaLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Levski Sofia#17 pos4 pts3 pl0 GD
Jagiellonia#27 pos3 pts3 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Levski Sofia scored1
Jagiellonia scored1.33
Levski Sofia conceded1
Jagiellonia conceded2

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia is Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia?
Recent form — Levski Sofia 1W 2D 2L; Jagiellonia 2W 0D 3L.

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