Lyon v Crystal Palace prediction
Team pages: Lyon · Crystal Palace
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Lyon v Crystal Palace, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 15 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.
The match
Lyon host Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Lyon to win.
The key numbers
12 of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Form and the table
11 of Lyon’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lyon’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Lyon have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 1.50.
Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last three matches. Both teams scored in eight of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Crystal Palace have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 2.00.
Lyon (11th) and Crystal Palace (second) are level on points, 2026/27 so far.
Team news
Lyon have two names on the availability list: A. Hamdani (out, Inactive) and Abner Vinicius (out, Inactive) — the most recent squad report TACTIX holds (2026-10-12). By TACTIX Impact, Corentin Tolisso (4.6 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and four assists) and Zachary Athekame (4.5 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Lyon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lyon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Corentin Tolisso averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 845 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Zachary Athekame averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 855 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Crystal Palace have four names on the availability list: C. Doucoure (out, Off the roster), Z. Gozo (out, Off the roster), E. Guessand (out, Off the roster) and J. Lerma (out, Off the roster) — the most recent squad report TACTIX holds (2026-10-12). By TACTIX Impact, Anan Khalaili (4.4 per match over seven appearances, one goal) and Quinten Timber (4.3 per match over six appearances, one assist) have been Crystal Palace’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crystal Palace (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Anan Khalaili averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 775 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Quinten Timber averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 809 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Parc Olympique Lyonnais
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Lyon 3W 1D 1L · Crystal Palace 3W 1D 1L
As of 12 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Lyon v Crystal Palace across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lyon for / against | Line | Crystal Palace for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.75 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.75 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.25 for · 17.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.88 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Lyon
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Himbert n 8 | 32.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | — |
| M. de Carvalho n 8 | 40.5 | 2.2 | 1.7 | — |
| N. Nartey n 8 | 30.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | — |
| M. Niakhaté n 8 | 84.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| N. Tagliafico n 8 | 63.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Himbert n 8 | 32.8 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Loïs Openda n 8 | 58.8 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| K. Boudache n 8 | 41.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Ernest Nuamah n 8 | 73.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| M. Fofana n 8 | 37.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Himbert n 8 | 32.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Ernest Nuamah n 8 | 73.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| N. Nartey n 8 | 30.1 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Zachary Athekame n 8 | 80.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| C. Tolisso n 8 | 72.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Bidstrup n 8 | 50.8 | 4 |
| M. de Carvalho n 8 | 40.5 | 2.8 |
| R. Kluivert n 8 | 72.9 | 2.6 |
| N. Nartey n 8 | 30.1 | 2.6 |
| Zachary Athekame n 8 | 80.9 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Greif n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| R. Descamps n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Muñoz n 8 | 57.6 | 2.3 | 1 | — |
| H. Ahanor n 8 | 64.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | — |
| D. Osorio n 8 | 63.6 | 2.1 | 2.5 | — |
| W. Hughes n 8 | 43.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| Q. Timber n 8 | 56.5 | 2 | 2.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mateta n 8 | 32.1 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| J. Strand Larsen n 8 | 55.4 | 3 | 1.8 |
| D. Osorio n 8 | 63.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| E. Nketiah n 8 | 34.5 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Yeremy Pino n 8 | 62.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Strand Larsen n 8 | 55.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| D. Kamada n 8 | 68.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| J. Mateta n 8 | 32.1 | 0.7 | 0 |
| D. Osorio n 8 | 63.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| E. Nketiah n 8 | 34.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Q. Timber n 8 | 56.5 | 3.8 |
| Óscar Mingueza n 8 | 35.4 | 3.5 |
| T. Mitchell n 8 | 86.4 | 3 |
| W. Hughes n 8 | 43.3 | 2.6 |
| D. McNeil n 8 | 35.6 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Henderson n 8 | 82.1 | 3.3 |
| W. Benítez n 8 | 93.8 | 3.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Lyon v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Lyon v Crystal Palace?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Lyon v Crystal Palace is Home win.
- What is the recent form of Lyon and Crystal Palace?
- Recent form — Lyon 3W 1D 1L; Crystal Palace 3W 1D 1L.
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