OFICSKA Sofia

OFI v CSKA Sofia result

Full-time · OFI 3–0 CSKA Sofia

UEFA Europa League · · Pagritio

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

OFI 3–0 CSKA Sofia — OFI won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.71 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

OFI beat CSKA Sofia 3–0 at Pagritio in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 20 August.

The goals

OFI led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — OFI: Taxiarchis Fountas (19’, 51’ pen) and Lorenzo Dickmann (90’, assisted by Dimitrios Nikolaou). M. Brahimi (81’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Taxiarchis Fountas’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: OFI 0.00, CSKA Sofia 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — CSKA Sofia: S. Sensi (53’), T. Ivanov (54’) and C. Itu (80’).

What it changes

OFI have scored 10 goals, the 21st-most of the 76 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). OFI have conceded four goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 76 clubs.

CSKA Sofia have scored nine goals, the 38th-fewest of the 76 clubs (the most recent table TACTIX holds, after 8 games, ranked per game). CSKA Sofia have conceded 11 goals, the 29th-fewest (shared) of the 76 clubs.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

OFI next host Atromitos on 8 November 2026.

CSKA Sofia next host Trabzonspor on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for OFI: OFI v Atromitos, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for CSKA Sofia: CSKA Sofia v Trabzonspor, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: OFI 3–0 CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League
  • Venue: Pagritio · Heraklion
  • Referee: Srdan Jovanovic, Serbia
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: OFI 2W 0D 3L · CSKA Sofia 2W 2D 1L

OFI 3–0 CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.43 / 1.8
Corners
against 4.43 / 1.2 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4 / 2
Shots on target
against 5.43 / 1.8 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
3 / 3.4
Cards
against 3.43 / 1.8 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOFI for / againstLineCSKA Sofia for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.25our book
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.43 for · 4.43 against n 7
9.5standard
1.8 for · 1.2 against n 5
Shots
13.57 for · 16.43 against n 7
19.5standard
2.8 for · 2.2 against n 5
Shots on target
4 for · 5.43 against n 7
8.5standard
2 for · 1.8 against n 5
Fouls committed
13 for · 16 against n 7
21.5standard
6 for · 7.6 against n 5
Cards shown
3 for · 3.43 against n 7
3.5standard
3.4 for · 1.8 against n 5

Referee: Srdan Jovanovic, Serbia.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
OFICSKA Sofia
45%Possession55%
4Shots on target6
2Shots off target5
1Blocked shots2
1Corners4
1Offsides0
3Fouls10
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind OFI v CSKA Sofia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
OFIWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
CSKA SofiaWDDWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
OFI#16 pos6 pts4 pl+1 GD
CSKA Sofia#4 pos5 pts6 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
OFI scored1.25
CSKA Sofia scored0.5
OFI conceded1
CSKA Sofia conceded1.17

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for OFI v CSKA Sofia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for OFI v CSKA Sofia was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.71 at Unibet).
What is the recent form of OFI and CSKA Sofia?
Recent form — OFI 2W 0D 3L; CSKA Sofia 2W 2D 1L.

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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