Omonia Nicosia v Celta Vigo result

Full-time · Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo

UEFA Europa League · Wed, 16 Sep 2026 17:45 BST · GSP Stadium

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 16:53 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo — Omonia Nicosia won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.84 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Omonia Nicosia beat Celta Vigo 1–0 at GSP Stadium in the UEFA Europa League on Wednesday 16 September. Celta Vigo are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Omonia Nicosia: Jure Balkovec (88’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jure Balkovec’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Celta Vigo out-shot Omonia Nicosia 19 to 11 and created the better chances, 1.17 xG to 0.32 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Balazs Berke, Hungary showed one yellow card — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Celta Vigo: Williot Swedberg (68’).

What it changes

Omonia Nicosia have scored 12 goals, the 23rd-most (shared) of the 76 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Omonia Nicosia have conceded 11 goals, the 29th-fewest (shared) of the 76 clubs.

Celta Vigo have scored four goals, the 37th-fewest (shared) of the 76 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Celta Vigo have conceded six goals, the 32nd-fewest (shared) of the 76 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jure Balkovec (Omonia Nicosia) 5.3, Fabiano (Omonia Nicosia) 5.2 and Ionuț Radu (Celta Vigo) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Omonia Nicosia next travel to Juventus on 26 November 2026.

Celta Vigo next host Levante on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Omonia Nicosia: Juventus v Omonia Nicosia, Thursday 26 November — the preview. Next for Celta Vigo: Celta Vigo v Levante, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League
Venue: GSP Stadium · Nicosia
Referee: Balazs Berke, Hungary
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Omonia Nicosia 2W 1D 2L · Celta Vigo 0W 3D 2L

Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.63

Goals

against 1.13 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.4 / 3

Corners

against 4.4 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 5 matches

4.6 / 2.75

Shots on target

against 3.8 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 5 matches

2.6 / 1.75

Cards

against 3.4 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 5 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Omonia Nicosia for / against	Line	Celta Vigo for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.4 for · 4.4 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.2 for · 10.8 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	9.25 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.6 for · 3.8 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	2.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.2 for · 15.8 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.6 for · 3.4 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Balazs Berke, Hungary.

Omonia Nicosia

Omonia Nicosia Goalkeeper

Omonia Nicosia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Omonia Nicosia before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Fabiano n 8	90	3.2 6/5

Omonia Nicosia Defensive

Omonia Nicosia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Balkovec	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90
M. Marić	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90

Omonia Nicosia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Omonia Nicosia before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ewandro n 8	73	1.8 6/4	0.8 5/0	—
S. Simič n 5	87.8	1.2 2/2	0.8 3/1	—
M. Marić n 8	81.6	1.2 6/1	0.7 5/0	Miguel Román
N. Panagiotou n 8	84.4	0.5 2/2	0 0/0	—
P. Andreou n 5	87.8	0.4 2/0	1 2/2	Sergio Carreira
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Omonia Nicosia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Omonia Nicosia before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ewandro n 8	73	2.2 7/3
M. Marić n 8	81.6	2.1 6/5
P. Andreou n 5	87.8	1.6 3/3
S. Simič n 5	87.8	1.2 2/2
N. Panagiotou n 8	84.4	1.1 5/3
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Omonia Nicosia Attacking

Omonia Nicosia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Andreou	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Omonia Nicosia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Omonia Nicosia before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ewandro n 8	73	1.5 6/3	0.5 3/0
P. Andreou n 5	87.8	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
S. Simič n 5	87.8	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
M. Marić n 8	81.6	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
J. Balkovec n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
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Omonia Nicosia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Omonia Nicosia before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Andreou n 5	87.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Ewandro n 8	73	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Fabiano n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Balkovec n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Simič n 5	87.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Radu	6	90540 min	162.7 /90	61 /90	00 /90

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Radu n 8	90	3.2 6/3

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Yoel Lago	6	83495 min	40.7 /90	101.8 /90	61.1 /90	132.4 /90	81.5 /90	20.4 /90
Marcos Alonso	5	82411 min	81.8 /90	102.2 /90	10.2 /90	183.9 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
Javi Rodríguez	3	75225 min	31.2 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
C. Starfelt	3	73218 min	83.3 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90	156.2 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
Álvaro Núñez	2	87174 min	31.6 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90	42.1 /90	21 /90	00 /90
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Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
Yoel Lago n 8	84.4	1.1 5/3	0.9 5/2	—
Miguel Román n 8	84.4	0.4 3/0	0.7 5/0	M. Marić
Sergio Carreira n 8	73.9	0.9 5/1	1.5 5/3	P. Andreou
Javi Rueda n 8	58	1 4/1	1.6 5/3	—
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Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Yoel Lago n 8	84.4	1.2 6/2
Miguel Román n 8	84.4	0.9 4/2
Sergio Carreira n 8	73.9	0.5 3/0
Javi Rueda n 8	58	1.6 6/2
Marcos Alonso n 8	85.1	1.1 4/4
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Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Swedberg	5	49246 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	20.7 /90
Iago Aspas	5	43214 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	31.3 /90
Ferran Jutglà	4	77307 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90
Pablo Durán	4	50201 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	20.9 /90	31.3 /90
Hugo Álvarez	4	47189 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90
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Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Miguel Román n 8	84.4	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
Yoel Lago n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	73.9	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
Javi Rueda n 8	58	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Miguel Román n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Yoel Lago n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Javi Rueda n 8	58	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Omonia Nicosia		Celta Vigo
46%	Possession	54%
0.32	Expected goals (xG)	1.17
11	Shots	19
5	Shots on target	5
5	Shots off target	5
1	Blocked shots	9
3	Shots inside the box	12
3	Corners	10
1	Offsides	2
4	Fouls	15
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	4
485	Passes	547
87%	Pass accuracy	92%

Omonia Nicosia Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Fabiano	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
J. Duverne	90	0	1	1	0	3	7.4
S. Coulibaly	90	0	2	0	0	1	7.5
Ľ. Šatka	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Balkovec	90	1	2	1	1	0	7.7
M. Marić	90	0	1	1	0	0	7
P. Andreou	90	0	2	0	0	0	6.6
Ewandro	89	0	1	1	3	1	7.1
J. Montnor	89	0	0	0	0	1	6.5
L. Diony	75	0	1	0	1	0	6.4
M. Tankovic	63	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
L. Brouwers	27	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
A. Kakoullis	15	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
F. Tănase	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Mayambela	1	0	0	0	0	0	0

Celta Vigo Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
I. Radu	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.8
Javi Rodríguez	90	1	0	1	2	0	6.8
C. Starfelt	90	1	1	0	0	0	6.1
Marcos Alonso	90	2	0	2	1	0	7.2
Miguel Román	90	4	1	0	0	0	6.6
Sergio Carreira	90	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
Álvaro Núñez	77	2	0	3	0	0	6.8
H. Burcio	72	1	0	1	1	0	6.4
Pablo Durán	72	2	1	1	1	0	6.4
C. Driouech	56	2	0	0	1	0	6.3
Ferran Jutglà	56	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
Hugo González	34	1	0	3	0	0	7
W. Swedberg	34	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
Aleix Febas	18	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Hugo Álvarez	18	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Borja Iglesias	13	2	1	1	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Omonia Nicosia v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Omonia NicosiaLDWLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Celta VigoLLDDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Omonia Nicosia#18 pos6 pts4 pl-1 GD

Celta Vigo#27 pos3 pts4 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Omonia Nicosia scored1.5

Celta Vigo scored1

Omonia Nicosia conceded1.75

Celta Vigo conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Omonia Nicosia v Celta Vigo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Omonia Nicosia v Celta Vigo was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.84 at Unibet).
What is the recent form of Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo?: Recent form — Omonia Nicosia 2W 1D 2L; Celta Vigo 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Oct 2026, 16:53 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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