Plzen v Levski Sofia prediction

UEFA Europa League · · Doosan Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Plzen · Levski Sofia

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Plzen v Levski Sofia, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 2.05 at Betvictor
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Plzen host Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Levski Sofia, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Levski Sofia are winless in their last four matches.

Form and the table

Eight of Plzen’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Plzen’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Plzen have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.88.

Four of Levski Sofia’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Levski Sofia’s last 15 results (27%). Away from home, Levski Sofia have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.63.

Plzen (31st) and Levski Sofia (24th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Plzen the stronger side, 124 rating points above Levski Sofia (Plzen 1609, Levski Sofia 1485, after at least 16 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Svetoslav Vutsov (5.0 per match over six appearances, one assist) and El El Moubarik (3.9 per match over four appearances) have been Levski Sofia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Levski Sofia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Svetoslav Vutsov averages 4.0 saves per 90 over 540 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last six appearances. El El Moubarik averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 332 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Doosan Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Plzen 1W 1D 3L · Levski Sofia 1W 2D 2L

TACTIX runs Plzen v Levski Sofia (UEFA Europa League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.88 / 2.8
Corners
against 4 / 5.4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5.25 / 2
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2 / 1
Cards
against 3.75 / 2.4 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePlzen for / againstLineLevski Sofia for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
0.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
2.8 for · 5.4 against n 5
Shots
11 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11.4 for · 16 against n 5
Shots on target
5.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
2 for · 6 against n 5
Fouls committed
15 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.8 for · 15.6 against n 5
Cards shown
2 for · 3.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2.4 against n 5
Plzen
Plzen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Lawal n 346.7
3.22/2
1.31/1
—
P. Adu n 845.9
2.56/2
1.54/1
—
Sampson Kargeoh Dweh Jr. n 888.1
28/5
0.65/0
—
Karel Spáčil n 874.1
26/5
0.53/0
—
C. Kabongo n 528.2
1.92/1
1.32/0
—
Plzen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Kabongo n 528.2
6.45/2
2.62/1
M. Vydra n 847.5
2.44/3
1.23/1
T. Ladra n 863.3
2.16/4
0.53/0
P. Adu n 845.9
24/2
0.52/0
S. Lawal n 346.7
1.92/1
0.61/0
Plzen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Kabongo n 528.2
00/0
0.61/0
M. Valenta n 860.6
00/0
0.42/0
D. Višinský n 854.4
0.42/0
00/0
Jiří Maxim Panoš n 831.9
0.41/0
00/0
P. Hrošovský n 878.9
00/0
0.32/0
Plzen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Merchas Doski n 886.4
3.47/7
Sampson Kargeoh Dweh Jr. n 888.1
3.38/7
M. Valenta n 860.6
2.86/4
Karel Spáčil n 874.1
2.67/5
A. Gabriel n 832.3
2.13/2
Plzen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Wiegele n 888.6
3.86/5
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Perea n 618.8
6.45/3
0.81/0
—
M. Soula n 716.4
3.94/1
1.61/1
—
A. Mitkov n 833.8
2.34/2
25/1
—
M. Grujić n 823
24/0
24/0
—
David Kusso n 533.2
1.62/1
2.24/0
—
Levski Sofia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David Kusso n 533.2
3.33/3
1.11/1
Everton Bala n 779.7
2.16/5
0.84/1
Reinaldo n 863.6
1.94/3
0.42/0
Álex Centelles n 856.4
0.83/1
00/0
A. Oko-Flex n 856
0.83/1
0.21/0
Levski Sofia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Perea n 618.8
0.81/0
00/0
Reinaldo n 863.6
0.73/1
00/0
Everton Bala n 779.7
0.21/0
0.21/0
Álex Centelles n 856.4
00/0
0.21/0
A. Oko-Flex n 856
0.21/0
00/0
Levski Sofia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hevertton Santos n 837.9
3.67/4
Maicon n 876.8
2.66/4
A. Mitkov n 833.8
2.35/2
Aldair n 879.9
2.17/5
E. El Moubarik n 784.4
25/3
Levski Sofia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Vutsov n 890
4.36/5

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Plzen v Levski Sofia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PlzenDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Levski SofiaWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Plzen#31 pos0 pts2 pl-4 GD
Levski Sofia#24 pos1 pts2 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Plzen scored0.5
Levski Sofia scored0.5
Plzen conceded2.5
Levski Sofia conceded1

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Plzen v Levski Sofia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Plzen v Levski Sofia is Draw or Away (best price 2.05 at Betvictor).
What is the recent form of Plzen and Levski Sofia?
Recent form — Plzen 1W 1D 3L; Levski Sofia 1W 2D 2L.

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