QarabagCSKA Sofia

Qarabag v CSKA Sofia result

Full-time · Qarabag 0–0 CSKA Sofia

UEFA Europa League · · Azərsun Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Qarabag 0–0 CSKA Sofia — this UEFA Europa League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Qarabag and CSKA Sofia drew 0–0 at Azərsun Arena in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 23 July.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Qarabag 0.00, CSKA Sofia 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Qarabag had no shots (no on target) to CSKA Sofia’s no (no on target). Qarabag had 0% of the ball to CSKA Sofia’s 0%, completing 0 passes to 0.

Discipline

Daniele Chiffi, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Qarabag: Marko Jankovic (37’); CSKA Sofia: S. Godoy (35’) and Facundo Santiago Rodríguez (77’).

What it changes

Qarabag sit first on seven points from three games with a goal difference of +6 (2026/27 so far).

CSKA Sofia sit second on seven points from three games with a goal difference of +2 (2026/27 so far).

Qarabag are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or CSKA Sofia, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

CSKA Sofia next host Trabzonspor on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for CSKA Sofia: CSKA Sofia v Trabzonspor, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Qarabag 0–0 CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League
  • Venue: Azərsun Arena · Baku
  • Referee: Daniele Chiffi, Italy
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Qarabag 2W 0D 3L · CSKA Sofia 2W 0D 3L

Qarabag 0–0 CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1
Goals
against 2.88 / 1.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4
Corners
against 5.25 / 2.8 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2.88 / 1.4
Shots on target
against 6.88 / 2.6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
0.63 / 3.6
Cards
against 0.88 / 2.2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameQarabag for / againstLineCSKA Sofia for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 2.8 against n 5
Shots
8.13 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
6.6 for · 6.6 against n 5
Shots on target
2.88 for · 6.88 against n 8
8.5standard
1.4 for · 2.6 against n 5
Fouls committed
4.25 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
5.4 for · 8 against n 5
Cards shown
0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
3.6 for · 2.2 against n 5

Referee: Daniele Chiffi, Italy.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Qarabag v CSKA Sofia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
QarabagLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 3 conceded per game
CSKA SofiaLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Goals per game
Qarabag scored1.8
CSKA Sofia scored1
Qarabag conceded3
CSKA Sofia conceded2.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Qarabag v CSKA Sofia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Qarabag v CSKA Sofia was Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Qarabag and CSKA Sofia?
Recent form — Qarabag 2W 0D 3L; CSKA Sofia 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 182 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+