Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT · Roazhon Park

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 19:18 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rennes host Olympiakos Piraeus in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

13 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Olympiakos Piraeus have won their last eight matches in all competitions. Rennes have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Olympiakos Piraeus have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Rennes’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Rennes have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.71 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.00.

Four of Olympiakos Piraeus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Olympiakos Piraeus’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Olympiakos Piraeus have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 0.75.

Rennes (13th) and Olympiakos Piraeus (fifth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Olympiakos Piraeus the stronger side, 43 rating points above Rennes (Olympiakos Piraeus 1884, Rennes 1841, after at least 35 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Rennes XI (4-1-4-1): B. Samba, C. Cresswell, A. Rouault, A. Ait Boudlal, M. Nagida, V. Rongier, M. Camara, S. Szymański, A. Thomasson, D. Cissé, M. Tamari — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Esteban Lepaul (5.2 per match over nine appearances, seven goals) and Mahamadou Nagida (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Rennes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rennes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Esteban Lepaul averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 885 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Mahamadou Nagida averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 780 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Olympiakos Piraeus XI (4-2-3-1): S. Ortega, L. Pirola, P. Retsos, N. Tiknizyan, M. Pedersen, R. Freuler, J. Silva, Chiquinho, G. Puerta, J. Roca, R. Yaremchuk — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jota Silva (4.1 per match over 14 appearances, five goals and one assist) and S. Ortega (3.6 per match over 12 appearances) have been Olympiakos Piraeus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Olympiakos Piraeus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jota Silva averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 904 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. S. Ortega averages 3.0 saves per 90 over 993 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT · UEFA Europa League · Roazhon Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Rennes 2W 1D 2L · Olympiakos Piraeus 5W 0D 0L

Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 2

Goals

against 2.13 / 0.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

6.88 / 6.88

Corners

against 4.38 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.75 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 3.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.38 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Rennes for / against	Line	Olympiakos Piraeus for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.88 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.88 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.5 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.75 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5

Rennes

Rennes Goalkeeper

Rennes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Samba	10	90900 min	323.2 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90
N. Lemaitre	2	90180 min	63 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Rennes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Samba n 8	90	3.4 7/6

Rennes Defensive

Rennes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Cresswell	12	901080 min	161.3 /90	80.7 /90	110.9 /90	786.5 /90	121 /90	20.2 /90
M. Nagida	11	70768 min	242.8 /90	222.6 /90	20.2 /90	566.6 /90	91.1 /90	00 /90
Przemysław Frankowski	9	74666 min	172.3 /90	111.5 /90	10.1 /90	364.9 /90	152 /90	20.3 /90
A. Rouault	8	90720 min	182.3 /90	70.9 /90	60.8 /90	364.5 /90	60.8 /90	20.3 /90
A. Ait Boudlal	7	90630 min	142 /90	223.1 /90	40.6 /90	426 /90	71 /90	30.4 /90
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Rennes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Cresswell n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.5 4/0	—
V. Rongier n 8	69.6	1.5 7/2	0.6 3/1	—
Mousa Tamari n 8	63.6	0.2 1/0	1.1 4/2	—
M. Camara n 8	75.1	0.6 3/1	1.2 5/2	—
M. Nagida n 8	72.3	1.1 3/2	1.6 7/3	—
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Rennes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Cresswell n 8	90	1.6 5/4
V. Rongier n 8	69.6	3.2 8/6
Mousa Tamari n 8	63.6	0.9 5/0
M. Camara n 8	75.1	1.5 4/3
M. Nagida n 8	72.3	2.3 5/4
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Rennes Attacking

Rennes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mousa Tamari	12	64764 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	172 /90	70.8 /90	141.6 /90	182.1 /90
Esteban Lepaul	9	80719 min	70.9 /90	00 /90	364.5 /90	192.4 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90
L. Blas	8	51409 min	00 /90	00 /90	153.3 /90	61.3 /90	71.5 /90	61.3 /90
I. Soumaré	7	56393 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	81.8 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90
Eliezer Mayenda	6	28166 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.2 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	42.2 /90
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Rennes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Cresswell n 8	90	1.4 5/4	0.3 2/0
V. Rongier n 8	69.6	1.5 6/2	0.5 3/0
Mousa Tamari n 8	63.6	2.1 5/4	0.7 3/1
M. Camara n 8	75.1	1 6/1	0.6 4/0
M. Nagida n 8	72.3	2 4/3	1.1 3/2
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Rennes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Cresswell n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
V. Rongier n 8	69.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mousa Tamari n 8	63.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
M. Camara n 8	75.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Nagida n 8	72.3	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Olympiakos Piraeus

Olympiakos Piraeus Goalkeeper

Olympiakos Piraeus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Ortega	12	901083 min	332.7 /90	30.2 /90	00 /90
B. Popović	1	9090 min	44 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Olympiakos Piraeus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Olympiakos Piraeus before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Ortega n 8	90.4	3.1 7/4

Olympiakos Piraeus Defensive

Olympiakos Piraeus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Pirola	12	79948 min	131.2 /90	161.5 /90	50.5 /90	716.7 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90
P. Retsos	11	88967 min	201.9 /90	151.4 /90	20.2 /90	605.6 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90
N. Tiknizyan	11	67737 min	121.5 /90	121.5 /90	00 /90	334 /90	141.7 /90	10.1 /90
M. Saliakas	8	68547 min	81.3 /90	91.5 /90	20.3 /90	243.9 /90	91.5 /90	20.3 /90
M. Pedersen	7	66462 min	81.6 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90	173.3 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Olympiakos Piraeus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Olympiakos Piraeus before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jota Silva n 8	75.4	2.4 7/4	2.5 7/4	—
S. Ortega n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
L. Pirola n 8	90.4	0.9 5/2	1 4/2	—
Chiquinho n 8	65.1	0.3 2/0	1.4 5/2	—
P. Retsos n 8	90.4	1.1 5/2	0.4 2/1	—
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Olympiakos Piraeus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Olympiakos Piraeus before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jota Silva n 8	75.4	1.9 7/5
L. Pirola n 8	90.4	1.2 5/2
Chiquinho n 8	65.1	1.7 4/2
P. Retsos n 8	90.4	2.1 7/5
N. Tiknizyan n 8	65.5	1 4/2
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Olympiakos Piraeus Attacking

Olympiakos Piraeus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Yaremchuk	7	47326 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.4 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
A. Gonzalez	7	44307 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	144.1 /90	51.5 /90	51.5 /90	10.3 /90
Marius Mouandilmadji	5	47237 min	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	62.3 /90	31.1 /90	62.3 /90	10.4 /90
A. El Kaabi	4	75299 min	00 /90	00 /90	113.3 /90	72.1 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
L. Bailey	2	1631 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.9 /90	00 /90	25.8 /90	12.9 /90
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Olympiakos Piraeus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Olympiakos Piraeus before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jota Silva n 8	75.4	4.3 7/6	1 4/2
S. Ortega n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Pirola n 8	90.4	1 4/3	0.1 1/0
Chiquinho n 8	65.1	2.1 7/4	0.7 4/0
P. Retsos n 8	90.4	1.2 6/3	0.2 2/0
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Olympiakos Piraeus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Olympiakos Piraeus before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jota Silva n 8	75.4	0.4 1/1	0.1 1/0
S. Ortega n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Pirola n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Chiquinho n 8	65.1	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1
P. Retsos n 8	90.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

RennesWLDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Olympiakos PiraeusWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Rennes#13 pos5 pts3 pl+1 GD

Olympiakos Piraeus#5 pos9 pts3 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Rennes scored1.33

Olympiakos Piraeus scored1.33

Rennes conceded1

Olympiakos Piraeus conceded0.33

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Rennes and Olympiakos Piraeus?: Recent form — Rennes 2W 1D 2L; Olympiakos Piraeus 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 19:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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