Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Stadium of Light

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 02:18 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.9% of 577 landed (95% range 63–70.6%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sunderland host Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Six of Sunderland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Sunderland’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Sunderland have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.88.

11 of Dinamo Zagreb’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Dinamo Zagreb’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Dinamo Zagreb have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.86.

Sunderland (ninth) and Dinamo Zagreb (18th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Predicted Sunderland XI (4-2-3-1): R. Roefs, L. O'Nien, O. Alderete, Reinildo, T. Hume, G. Xhaka, N. Sadiki, E. Le Fée, C. Rigg, N. Angulo, T. Tuterov — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Enzo Le Fée (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Jocelin Ta Bi (4.3 per match over three appearances, two assists) have been Sunderland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sunderland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Enzo Le Fée averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 928 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Dinamo Zagreb XI (4-1-4-1): D. Kotarski, N. Galesic, S. Domínguez, O. Vinlöf, M. Valincic, J. Misic, L. Stojkovic, A. Hoxha, M. Zajc, D. Rodriguez, D. Beljo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dion Drena Beljo (7.8 per match over 16 appearances, 17 goals and six assists) and Luka Stojkovic (3.6 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Dinamo Zagreb’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dinamo Zagreb (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dion Drena Beljo averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1498 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Luka Stojkovic averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 962 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Europa League · Stadium of Light
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Sunderland 1W 2D 2L · Dinamo Zagreb 3W 0D 2L

Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.75

Goals

against 2 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.75

Corners

against 4.38 / 3.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1.13

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Sunderland for / against	Line	Dinamo Zagreb for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.75 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.5 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.5 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Roefs	12	901080 min	231.9 /90	141.2 /90	00 /90
M. Ellborg	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 8	90	2.3 5/3
M. Ellborg n 6	90	2.5 4/4

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Hume	11	71784 min	212.4 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90	505.7 /90	121.4 /90	20.2 /90
Reinildo	10	82824 min	131.4 /90	131.4 /90	40.4 /90	525.7 /90	101.1 /90	30.3 /90
N. Mukiele	10	78776 min	212.4 /90	202.3 /90	80.9 /90	556.4 /90	111.3 /90	30.3 /90
T. Meunier	10	53526 min	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90	152.6 /90	50.9 /90	00 /90
K. Danso	8	80641 min	50.7 /90	60.8 /90	60.8 /90	182.5 /90	81.1 /90	10.1 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	0.4 3/0	1.1 5/2	—
N. Sadiki n 8	77.5	0.9 6/0	1.5 6/4	—
E. Le Fée n 8	72.4	0.9 4/2	2.6 7/4	—
T. Hume n 8	73.5	1.2 5/3	0.9 5/1	—
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	1.6 6/4
N. Sadiki n 8	77.5	1.6 5/5
E. Le Fée n 8	72.4	1.1 4/2
T. Hume n 8	73.5	1.8 5/2
N. Angulo n 8	60.4	1.7 6/3
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Isidor	9	43386 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	102.3 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90
B. Brobbey	8	72579 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	121.9 /90	71.1 /90	60.9 /90	30.5 /90
Timur Tuterov	5	64319 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
C. Talbi	4	58230 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90
G. Xhaka	12	83995 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	90.8 /90	30.3 /90	272.4 /90	80.7 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	1.1 4/3	0.4 2/1
N. Sadiki n 8	77.5	0.6 2/1	0.1 1/0
E. Le Fée n 8	72.4	1.6 5/3	0.6 3/1
T. Hume n 8	73.5	0.9 3/1	0.2 1/0
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
N. Sadiki n 8	77.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
E. Le Fée n 8	72.4	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
T. Hume n 8	73.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb Goalkeeper

Dinamo Zagreb — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Dominik Kotarski	10	90900 min	303 /90	70.7 /90
I. Nevistic	5	90450 min	91.8 /90	81.6 /90
I. Filipovic	2	90180 min	42 /90	10.5 /90

Dinamo Zagreb — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dinamo Zagreb before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Dominik Kotarski n 8	90	2.9 6/4
I. Nevistic n 8	90	1.9 4/2

Dinamo Zagreb Defensive

Dinamo Zagreb — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Valincic	15	56840 min	222.4 /90	121.3 /90	00 /90	434.6 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90
Sergi Domínguez	13	811048 min	262.2 /90	110.9 /90	30.3 /90	665.7 /90	100.9 /90	10.1 /90
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf	13	791025 min	161.4 /90	111 /90	40.4 /90	554.8 /90	141.2 /90	30.3 /90
N. Galesic	12	75900 min	202 /90	151.5 /90	50.5 /90	606 /90	171.7 /90	10.1 /90
S. McKenna	10	86855 min	20.2 /90	40.4 /90	60.6 /90	373.9 /90	40.4 /90	20.2 /90
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Dinamo Zagreb — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dinamo Zagreb before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Dion Drena Beljo n 8	86	1.4 6/5	2.4 8/5	—
J. Misic n 8	83.8	1.5 5/4	0.9 5/1	—
A. Hoxha n 8	66.4	1.9 7/3	1.5 5/2	—
M. Valincic n 8	42.3	1.9 3/3	0.8 3/0	—
L. Stojkovic n 8	68	1 4/1	1.2 6/1	—
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Dinamo Zagreb — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dinamo Zagreb before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Dion Drena Beljo n 8	86	0.4 3/0
J. Misic n 8	83.8	2.3 8/4
A. Hoxha n 8	66.4	0.2 1/0
M. Valincic n 8	42.3	2.9 6/2
L. Stojkovic n 8	68	1.2 5/1
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Dinamo Zagreb Attacking

Dinamo Zagreb — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Dion Drena Beljo	15	861293 min	161.1 /90	60.4 /90	563.9 /90	281.9 /90	271.9 /90	151 /90
M. Lisica	12	62748 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	101.2 /90	40.5 /90
M. Orsic	10	45449 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	163.2 /90	61.2 /90	173.4 /90	20.4 /90
Iker Almena	7	37261 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.4 /90	10.3 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90
S. Prevljak	6	34205 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	83.5 /90	41.8 /90	41.8 /90	00 /90
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Dinamo Zagreb — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dinamo Zagreb before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Dion Drena Beljo n 8	86	4.1 8/6	2 6/4
J. Misic n 8	83.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
A. Hoxha n 8	66.4	1.4 4/3	0.7 4/0
M. Valincic n 8	42.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Stojkovic n 8	68	3 7/5	1.2 4/2
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Dinamo Zagreb — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dinamo Zagreb before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Dion Drena Beljo n 8	86	1.2 6/3	0.3 2/0
J. Misic n 8	83.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Hoxha n 8	66.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Valincic n 8	42.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Stojkovic n 8	68	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SunderlandLDDWL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Dinamo ZagrebWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Sunderland#9 pos7 pts3 pl+2 GD

Dinamo Zagreb#18 pos4 pts3 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Sunderland scored1.33

Dinamo Zagreb scored1

Sunderland conceded0.67

Dinamo Zagreb conceded1.33

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Sunderland and Dinamo Zagreb?: Recent form — Sunderland 1W 2D 2L; Dinamo Zagreb 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 02:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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