Torreense v Ararat-Armenia prediction

UEFA Europa League · · Estadio Algarve

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Torreense v Ararat-Armenia, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 1441 landed (95% range 66–70.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Torreense host Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Ararat-Armenia, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Eight of Torreense’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Torreense’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Torreense have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 1.60 points per game, scoring 1.40 and conceding 0.80.

Nine of Ararat-Armenia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Ararat-Armenia’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Ararat-Armenia have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.29.

Ararat-Armenia have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Torreense (28th) and Ararat-Armenia (36th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Predicted Torreense XI (4-2-3-1): L. Paes, D. Mohamed, J. Vázquez, V. Feltes, D. Bruno, A. Alfaro, A. Oudrhiri, J. Marques, M. Pozo, D. Jean, M. Drammeh — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Javi Vázquez (4.4 per match over three appearances, two assists) and Manu Pozo (4.2 per match over three appearances, two goals) have been Torreense’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions.

Predicted Ararat-Armenia XI (4-3-3): J. Victor, B. Wilson, A. Malis, E. Grigoryan, J. Julio, J. A. Balanta, H. Oliveira, K. Muradyan, S. Lima, A. Serobyan, Z. Banjaqui — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, João Victor (4.2 per match over four appearances) and Artur Serobyan (3.8 per match over four appearances) have been Ararat-Armenia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ararat-Armenia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Victor averages 2.6 saves per 90 over 349 minutes. Artur Serobyan averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 541 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Estadio Algarve
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Torreense 2W 0D 3L · Ararat-Armenia 1W 1D 3L

Torreense v Ararat-Armenia (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.4 / 4.33
Corners
against 7.2 / 8 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2.4 / 2.83
Shots on target
against 5.2 / 7.33 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.57 / 2.17
Cards
against 3 / 2.83 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTorreense for / againstLineArarat-Armenia for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.4 for · 7.2 against n 5
9.5standard
4.33 for · 8 against n 6
Shots
11 for · 16 against n 5
19.5standard
7 for · 12.5 against n 6
Shots on target
2.4 for · 5.2 against n 5
8.5standard
2.83 for · 7.33 against n 6
Fouls committed
12 for · 16 against n 5
21.5standard
10.83 for · 16.67 against n 6
Cards shown
2.57 for · 3 against n 7
3.5standard
2.17 for · 2.83 against n 6

Torreense

Torreense Goalkeeper

Torreense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas Paes290180 min52.5 /90–00 /90
Adriel19090 min44 /90–00 /90
Torreense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torreense before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Paes n 490
34/2

Torreense Defensive

Torreense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Mohamed390270 min31 /9020.7 /9000 /9082.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Volnei Feltes390270 min20.7 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90155 /9031 /9000 /90
Javi Vázquez389267 min31 /9031 /9000 /90134.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Mutombo277153 min52.9 /9031.8 /9000 /90127.1 /9052.9 /9021.2 /90
David Bruno259117 min10.8 /9000 /9000 /9064.6 /9021.5 /9010.8 /90
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Torreense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torreense before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Oudrhiri n 390
1.33/1
0.72/0
—
Volnei Feltes n 390
12/1
0.72/0
—
D. Mohamed n 690
0.52/1
0.32/0
—
Javi Vázquez n 689.5
0.53/0
0.72/1
—
Alejandro Alfaro n 574.4
13/1
1.23/2
—
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Torreense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torreense before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Mohamed n 690
13/2
Volnei Feltes n 390
0.72/0
A. Oudrhiri n 390
0.31/0
Javi Vázquez n 689.5
1.36/2
Alejandro Alfaro n 574.4
1.94/4
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Torreense Attacking

Torreense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Abubakari361183 min00 /9000 /9063 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
D. Jean344131 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9021.4 /9010.7 /90
L. Quintero21632 min00 /9000 /9012.8 /9000 /9000 /9012.8 /90
M. Drammeh17474 min00 /9000 /9033.6 /9022.4 /9022.4 /9000 /90
A. Oudrhiri390270 min00 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Torreense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torreense before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Volnei Feltes n 390
0.72/0
0.31/0
A. Oudrhiri n 390
0.31/0
00/0
D. Mohamed n 690
0.32/0
00/0
Javi Vázquez n 689.5
0.73/1
0.21/0
Alejandro Alfaro n 574.4
1.73/2
0.52/0
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Torreense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torreense before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Oudrhiri n 390
00/0
0.31/0
Volnei Feltes n 390
0.31/0
00/0
D. Mohamed n 690
00/0
00/0
Javi Vázquez n 689.5
00/0
0.53/0
Alejandro Alfaro n 574.4
0.21/0
00/0
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Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia Goalkeeper

Ararat-Armenia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
João Victor487349 min102.6 /9000 /9000 /90
Ararat-Armenia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ararat-Armenia before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
João Victor n 487.3
2.63/2

Ararat-Armenia Defensive

Ararat-Armenia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bruno Wilson487349 min30.8 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90112.8 /9041 /9020.5 /90
Hugo Oliveira483331 min30.8 /90102.7 /9000 /90133.5 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
E. Grigoryan475299 min41.2 /9041.2 /9000 /9082.4 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
A. Malis290180 min63 /9000 /9010.5 /90115.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Junior Julio19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
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Ararat-Armenia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ararat-Armenia before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bruno Wilson n 487.3
13/1
0.83/0
—
João Victor n 487.3
00/0
0.31/0
—
Hugo Oliveira n 482.8
0.31/0
1.63/2
—
Sandro Lima n 477
1.23/1
23/2
—
E. Grigoryan n 474.8
0.92/1
0.91/1
—
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Ararat-Armenia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ararat-Armenia before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bruno Wilson n 487.3
0.82/1
Hugo Oliveira n 482.8
0.83/0
Sandro Lima n 477
00/0
A. Serobyan n 474.8
1.82/2
E. Grigoryan n 474.8
1.22/2
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Ararat-Armenia Attacking

Ararat-Armenia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Sandro Lima477308 min10.3 /9010.3 /9030.9 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
Zidane Banjaqui338115 min10.8 /9010.8 /9053.9 /9010.8 /9032.3 /9010.8 /90
Franca Carlos32267 min00 /9000 /9034 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
A. Serobyan475299 min00 /9000 /9092.7 /9030.9 /9041.2 /9051.5 /90
Z. Shaghoyan459235 min10.4 /9000 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9051.9 /9041.5 /90
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Ararat-Armenia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ararat-Armenia before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bruno Wilson n 487.3
0.83/0
0.31/0
João Victor n 487.3
00/0
00/0
Hugo Oliveira n 482.8
0.31/0
00/0
Sandro Lima n 477
0.92/1
00/0
A. Serobyan n 474.8
2.73/2
0.92/1
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Ararat-Armenia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ararat-Armenia before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bruno Wilson n 487.3
0.31/0
00/0
João Victor n 487.3
00/0
00/0
Hugo Oliveira n 482.8
00/0
00/0
Sandro Lima n 477
0.31/0
0.31/0
E. Grigoryan n 474.8
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Torreense v Ararat-Armenia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TorreenseWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Ararat-ArmeniaDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Torreense#28 pos3 pts3 pl-3 GD
Ararat-Armenia#36 pos0 pts3 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Torreense scored1.33
Ararat-Armenia scored0.67
Torreense conceded2.33
Ararat-Armenia conceded3.67

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Torreense v Ararat-Armenia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Torreense v Ararat-Armenia is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Torreense and Ararat-Armenia?
Recent form — Torreense 2W 0D 3L; Ararat-Armenia 1W 1D 3L.

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