Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad result

Full-time · Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad

UEFA Europa League · · King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Union St. Gilloise · Real Sociedad

The model’s pre-match pick

Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad — this UEFA Europa League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Union St. Gilloise and Real Sociedad drew 1–1 at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October. Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Sociedad: Beñat Turrientes (46’); Union St. Gilloise: Sekou Keita (88’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sekou Keita’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Union St. Gilloise out-shot Real Sociedad 16 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.92 xG to 0.76 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

What it changes

Union St. Gilloise have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Besfort Zeneli (Union St. Gilloise) 5.2, Beñat Turrientes (Real Sociedad) 5.2 and Unai Marrero (Real Sociedad) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Union St. Gilloise next host Nijlen on 18 October 2026.

Real Sociedad next travel to Malaga on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Union St. Gilloise: Union St. Gilloise v Nijlen, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Real Sociedad: Malaga v Real Sociedad, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad · UEFA Europa League
  • Venue: King Power at Den Dreef Stadion · Heverlee
  • Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Union St. Gilloise 4W 1D 0L · Real Sociedad 3W 0D 2L

Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 242 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.38 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.38 / 7.88
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.63 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameUnion St. Gilloise for / againstLineReal Sociedad for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 0.38 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
7.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
17.75 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
7.63 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili.

Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Hurtevent n 417.5
3.92/1
00/0
—
R. Florucz n 828.3
2.42/2
0.82/0
—
Ilan Hurtevent n 835.6
2.25/2
2.53/1
—
N. Havenaar n 864.4
1.95/3
0.74/0
—
L. Patris n 879.6
1.87/5
1.35/2
—
Union St. Gilloise — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Hurtevent n 417.5
5.12/1
3.92/1
R. Florucz n 828.3
4.45/4
23/1
Ilan Hurtevent n 835.6
3.85/3
2.25/2
K. Rodríguez n 835.4
3.55/3
1.63/1
Mateo Biondic n 872.1
2.88/5
1.15/2
Union St. Gilloise — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Hurtevent n 417.5
1.31/0
1.31/0
Ilan Hurtevent n 835.6
0.93/0
0.31/0
R. Florucz n 828.3
1.22/1
00/0
Mateo Biondic n 872.1
0.53/0
0.62/2
R. Mofokeng n 847.3
0.73/0
0.21/0
Union St. Gilloise — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Sylla n 893.6
47/7
K. Mac Allister n 887.8
48/8
O. Kričfaluši n 867.5
3.76/6
L. Patris n 879.6
38/7
K. Van de Perre n 888.5
2.86/5
Union St. Gilloise — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
H. Koffi n 890
2.45/4
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Aramburu n 885.9
3.38/6
2.47/6
—
Y. Herrera n 870.5
36/6
1.67/3
—
Barrenetxea n 861
2.46/4
1.35/2
—
J. Ochieng n 860.8
1.96/3
0.93/1
—
O. Óskarsson n 868.9
1.86/4
0.74/0
—
Real Sociedad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gonçalo Guedes n 846
2.46/2
1.54/1
O. Óskarsson n 868.9
2.34/4
1.34/3
J. Ochieng n 860.8
2.25/3
0.93/2
Mikel Oyarzabal n 866.5
1.76/2
0.74/0
L. Sučić n 868
1.56/2
0.73/1
Real Sociedad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Ochieng n 860.8
0.42/0
0.62/1
O. Óskarsson n 868.9
0.52/1
0.32/0
Carlos Soler n 867.4
0.21/0
0.53/0
Barrenetxea n 861
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Zakharyan n 822.6
0.51/0
00/0
Real Sociedad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Zubeldia n 874.3
37/6
Y. Herrera n 870.5
36/5
J. Aramburu n 885.9
2.96/5
Aihen Muñoz n 833.3
2.75/2
Beñat Turrientes n 865.9
2.27/5
Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álex Remiro n 890
3.98/4
Unai Marrero n 897.5
3.66/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Union St. GilloiseReal Sociedad
44%Possession56%
1.92Expected goals (xG)0.76
16Shots6
5Shots on target1
6Shots off target4
5Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box4
4Corners2
0Offsides1
15Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves4
429Passes550

Union St. Gilloise player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Koffi9000000006.3
L. Patris9000000306.4
N. Havenaar9000000407.4
M. Sylla9000100107.3
B. Zeneli9000203206.7
K. Van de Perre9000101206.3
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho9000300306.7
R. Mofokeng90003231Y6.8
Mateo Biondic8400101006.4
D. Olaru7100321306.8
N. Chibani63000014Y6.5
Denzel De Roeve2700000106.5
Dylan Aquino1900100306.6
S. Keita610110008.1

Real Sociedad player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Zubeldia9000100006.7
M. Sarr90000000Y6.6
Jon Martín9000000207.3
Jon Gorrotxategi9000000306.3
Sergio Gómez9000000006.1
Unai Marrero9000000006.8
Mikel Oyarzabal8900100106.2
J. Ochieng7900001206.3
Gonçalo Guedes7900002106
L. Sučić6800100006.3
Beñat Turrientes4510210107.8
Y. Herrera4500001106.7
T. Kubo2200000006.4
Pablo Marín1100000006.4
Barrenetxea1100000106.5
O. Óskarsson100100000

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Union St. GilloiseWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Real SociedadWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Union St. Gilloise#12 pos4 pts2 pl+3 GD
Real Sociedad#22 pos1 pts2 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Union St. Gilloise scored2
Real Sociedad scored1
Union St. Gilloise conceded0.5
Real Sociedad conceded1.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Union St. Gilloise and Real Sociedad?
Recent form — Union St. Gilloise 4W 1D 0L; Real Sociedad 3W 0D 2L.

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