Armenia v Cyprus prediction

UEFA Nations League · Thu, 12 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT · Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 12:19 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Armenia v Cyprus, UEFA Nations League on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.80 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Armenia host Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday 12 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of Armenia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Armenia’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Armenia have two wins, no draws and six defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 2.00.

Nine of Cyprus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Cyprus’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Cyprus have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.75.

Armenia are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Cyprus are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Armenia (third) and Cyprus (second) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cyprus the stronger side, 120 rating points above Armenia (Cyprus 1344, Armenia 1224, after at least 30 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 October 2026, finished Cyprus 2–0 Armenia.

Team news

Predicted Armenia XI (4-4-2): A. Beglaryan, E. Piloyan, G. Harutyunyan, N. Tiknizyan, E. Simonyan, E. Spertsyan, U. Iwu, K. Hovhannisyan, A. Serobyan, A. Miranyan, G. Manvelyan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Georgiy Harutyunyan (6.0 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and E. Spertsyan (5.3 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Armenia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Armenia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Georgiy Harutyunyan averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 352 minutes. E. Spertsyan averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 1315 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Cyprus XI (4-2-3-1): Fabiano, N. Panagiotou, G. Malekkides, H. Kyprianou, Leonidas·Konomis, G. Kastanos, M. Edwards, L. Loizou, K. Artymatas, P. Andreou, I. Pittas — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Marcus Edwards (5.0 per match over four appearances, two goals) and G. Kastanos (4.9 per match over four appearances) have been Cyprus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cyprus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marcus Edwards averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 956 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. G. Kastanos averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 709 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT · UEFA Nations League · Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
Referee: Orel Grinfeld
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Armenia 1 · draws 1 · Cyprus 1 · 3.67 goals/game
Recent form: Armenia 1W 1D 3L · Cyprus 2W 1D 2L

Armenia v Cyprus (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.25 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 5.17

Corners

against 5.13 / 5.17 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

2.63 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 2.67 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.38 / 2.67

Cards

against 1.38 / 1.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Armenia for / against	Line	Cyprus for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.17 for · 5.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	8.88 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 12.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	2.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.63 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.17 for · 11.83 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.67 for · 1.67 against n 6 Last 5

Armenia

Armenia Goalkeeper

Armenia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Beglaryan	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
O. Cancarevic	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Armenia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Armenia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Beglaryan n 3	90	2.7 2/1
O. Cancarevic n 8	90	2 4/3

Armenia Defensive

Armenia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Tiknizyan	4	90360 min	30.8 /90	41 /90	00 /90	112.8 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90
E. Piloyan	4	90359 min	41 /90	00 /90	00 /90	112.8 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
Georgiy Harutyunyan	4	88352 min	92.3 /90	71.8 /90	41 /90	174.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Artem Bandikyan	3	77232 min	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	103.9 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90
A. Petrosyan	3	51152 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	84.7 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
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Armenia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Armenia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Tiknizyan n 8	87.6	1.3 6/4	0.6 4/1	—
E. Piloyan n 8	84.4	0.9 4/3	1.1 4/2	—
Georgiy Harutyunyan n 8	81.6	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
E. Spertsyan n 8	83	0.8 5/1	1.9 8/4	—
Ugochukwu Iwu n 8	76.4	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Armenia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Armenia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Tiknizyan n 8	87.6	0.9 7/0
E. Piloyan n 8	84.4	0.9 4/2
Georgiy Harutyunyan n 8	81.6	1.5 6/3
E. Spertsyan n 8	83	1.2 5/2
Ugochukwu Iwu n 8	76.4	2.7 6/6
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Armenia Attacking

Armenia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Artur Miranyan	4	65261 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
E. Sevikyan	2	3365 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90
Artur Gharibyan	2	2856 min	11.6 /90	00 /90	23.2 /90	11.6 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90
N. Grigoryan	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	12 /90	00 /90	12 /90
E. Spertsyan	4	76304 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.5 /90	30.9 /90	113.3 /90	82.4 /90
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Armenia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Armenia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Tiknizyan n 8	87.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
E. Piloyan n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Georgiy Harutyunyan n 8	81.6	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
E. Spertsyan n 8	83	1.2 6/2	0.8 5/1
Ugochukwu Iwu n 8	76.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Armenia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Armenia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Tiknizyan n 8	87.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Piloyan n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Georgiy Harutyunyan n 8	81.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
E. Spertsyan n 8	83	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Ugochukwu Iwu n 8	76.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Cyprus

Cyprus Goalkeeper

Cyprus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Fabiano	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90

Cyprus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cyprus before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Fabiano n 5	90	1.8 3/2

Cyprus Defensive

Cyprus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Panagiotou	4	90359 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	41 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
G. Malekkides	4	77306 min	92.6 /90	41.2 /90	30.9 /90	216.2 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Hector Kyprianou	4	72286 min	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	30.9 /90	92.8 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90
Leonidas·Konomis	3	66199 min	62.7 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90	83.6 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90
K. Sotiriou	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	63 /90	31.5 /90	21 /90
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Cyprus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cyprus before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Fabiano n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
N. Panagiotou n 8	81.9	0.4 3/0	0.4 2/1	—
G. Kastanos n 8	82	1.8 7/5	2.2 8/4	—
I. Pittas n 8	80.5	0.7 4/1	1.3 5/3	—
Marcus Edwards n 4	79.5	0.3 1/0	2.3 4/3	—
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Cyprus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cyprus before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Panagiotou n 8	81.9	1.5 5/2
G. Kastanos n 8	82	3 7/5
I. Pittas n 8	80.5	1.5 6/2
Marcus Edwards n 4	79.5	0.3 1/0
G. Malekkides n 4	76.5	2.6 4/3
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Cyprus Attacking

Cyprus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Pittas	4	83331 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	113 /90	51.4 /90	61.6 /90	10.3 /90
M. Tzionis	3	36109 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	32.5 /90
S. Georgiou	2	2651 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.8 /90
A. Neophytou	2	2345 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90
G. Kastanos	4	88353 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	61.5 /90	30.8 /90
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Cyprus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cyprus before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Fabiano n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Panagiotou n 8	81.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
G. Kastanos n 8	82	0.8 4/1	0.3 1/1
I. Pittas n 8	80.5	2.2 7/4	1.1 5/3
Marcus Edwards n 4	79.5	3.4 4/3	1.7 4/2
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Cyprus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cyprus before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Fabiano n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Panagiotou n 8	81.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Kastanos n 8	82	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
I. Pittas n 8	80.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Marcus Edwards n 4	79.5	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Armenia v Cyprus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ArmeniaLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

CyprusLLDWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Armenia 1 · 1 draw · Cyprus 1 · 3.67 goals/game

2026-10-02 Cyprus 2–0 Armenia
2023-03-28 Armenia 2–2 Cyprus
2017-11-13 Armenia 3–2 Cyprus

League standing · 2026/27

Armenia#3 pos4 pts4 pl-1 GD

Cyprus#2 pos7 pts4 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Armenia scored1

Cyprus scored1.25

Armenia conceded1.25

Cyprus conceded0.75

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Armenia v Cyprus?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Armenia v Cyprus is Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.80 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Armenia and Cyprus?: In their last 3 meetings, Armenia won 1, Cyprus won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Armenia and Cyprus?: Recent form — Armenia 1W 1D 3L; Cyprus 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 12:19 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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