Belgium v Türkiye result

Full-time · Belgium 3–0 Türkiye

UEFA Nations League · · Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Belgium · Türkiye

The model’s pre-match pick

Belgium 3–0 Türkiye — Belgium won this UEFA Nations League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.20 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Belgium beat Türkiye 3–0 at Stade Maurice Dufrasne in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 2 October.

The goals

Belgium led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Belgium: Kevin De Bruyne (10’, assisted by D. Lukebakio; 59’, assisted by Youri Tielemans) and R. Lukaku (76’, assisted by Charles De Ketelaere).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kevin De Bruyne’s goal on 10 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Belgium 1.58, Türkiye 1.38, from 17 shots to 23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Rohit Saggi, Norway showed seven yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Belgium: D. Lukebakio (26’), Youri Tielemans (30’), Kevin De Bruyne (80’) and Nathan Ngoy (90+2’); Türkiye: Abdülkerim Bardakcı (56’), M. Demiral (71’) and Arda Güler (90+2’).

What it changes

Türkiye have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kevin De Bruyne (Belgium) 11.0, İsmail Yüksek (Türkiye) 9.2 and Z. Çelik (Türkiye) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Belgium or Türkiye (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3740 of 4833).

Next up

Belgium next travel to Türkiye on 12 November 2026.

Türkiye next host Belgium on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Belgium: Türkiye v Belgium, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Belgium 3–0 Türkiye · UEFA Nations League
  • Venue: Stade Maurice Dufrasne · Luik
  • Referee: Rohit Saggi, Norway
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Belgium 3W 0D 2L · Türkiye 1W 0D 4L

Belgium 3–0 Türkiye (UEFA Nations League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1
Goals
against 1 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.29 / 6.29
Corners
against 4.57 / 3.57 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.57 / 3.86
Shots on target
against 4.43 / 3.86 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2.14
Cards
against 1.71 / 1.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBelgium for / againstLineTürkiye for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1 against n 8
3.25our book
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
6.29 for · 3.57 against n 7
Shots
17.71 for · 12.86 against n 7
19.5standard
18 for · 11 against n 7
Shots on target
5.57 for · 4.43 against n 7
8.5standard
3.86 for · 3.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.29 for · 11.29 against n 7
21.5standard
10.57 for · 14.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
2.14 for · 1.43 against n 7

Referee: Rohit Saggi, Norway.

Belgium

Belgium Goalkeeper

Belgium — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois586431 min112.3 /9040.8 /9000 /90
S. Lammens366199 min135.9 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Belgium — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Belgium before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 887.6
1.84/2
S. Lammens n 472.3
4.43/2

Belgium Defensive

Belgium — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Mechele790630 min91.3 /9050.7 /9060.9 /90304.3 /9091.3 /9000 /90
T. Castagne777538 min91.5 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90152.5 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
M. De Cuyper768477 min71.3 /9050.9 /9020.4 /90152.8 /9061.1 /9010.2 /90
N. Ngoy686516 min81.4 /90101.7 /9030.5 /90173 /9071.2 /9000 /90
T. Meunier274148 min31.8 /9010.6 /9000 /9074.3 /9063.6 /9000 /90
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Belgium — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Belgium before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Mechele n 890
1.17/2
0.63/1
Z. Çelik
T. Castagne n 878.5
0.94/2
0.43/0
A. Bardakcı
M. De Cuyper n 867.1
14/2
0.32/0
Z. Çelik
Y. Tielemans n 876.8
0.95/1
1.98/4
—
N. Ngoy n 686
1.25/2
0.73/1
A. Bardakcı
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Belgium — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Belgium before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Mechele n 890
1.97/4
T. Castagne n 878.5
1.45/3
M. De Cuyper n 867.1
1.36/1
Y. Tielemans n 876.8
1.96/4
N. Ngoy n 686
1.45/3
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Belgium Attacking

Belgium — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. De Ketelaere679476 min30.6 /9020.4 /9081.5 /9071.3 /90122.3 /9061.1 /90
D. Lukebakio440158 min10.6 /9000 /9074 /9042.3 /9010.6 /9095.1 /90
R. Lukaku438150 min10.6 /9000 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /90
A. Saelemaekers23876 min11.2 /9000 /9033.6 /9011.2 /9000 /9022.4 /90
M. Fernandez-Pardo13434 min00 /9000 /9012.6 /9000 /90410.6 /9000 /90
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Belgium — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Belgium before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Mechele n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
T. Castagne n 878.5
0.43/0
0.32/0
M. De Cuyper n 867.1
1.55/2
0.82/1
Y. Tielemans n 876.8
1.68/3
0.42/1
N. Ngoy n 686
0.32/0
00/0
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Belgium — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Belgium before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Mechele n 890
0.11/0
00/0
T. Castagne n 878.5
00/0
0.11/0
M. De Cuyper n 867.1
00/0
00/0
Y. Tielemans n 876.8
00/0
00/0
N. Ngoy n 686
00/0
00/0
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Türkiye

Türkiye Goalkeeper

Türkiye — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
U. Çakır491364 min102.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
A. Bayındır19090 min44 /9044 /9000 /90
Türkiye — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
U. Çakır n 890.5
26/1
A. Bayındır n 379
3.43/2

Türkiye Defensive

Türkiye — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bardakcı582408 min122.6 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90255.5 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Z. Çelik486345 min92.3 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90205.2 /9041 /9000 /90
M. Demiral481322 min10.3 /9041.1 /9020.6 /90164.5 /9051.4 /9000 /90
F. Kadıoğlu385256 min41.4 /9031.1 /9000 /90103.5 /9010.4 /9000 /90
O. Kabak290180 min42 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90126 /9063 /9010.5 /90
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Türkiye — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Güler n 889.6
0.94/2
3.18/6
—
A. Bardakcı n 884.8
0.54/0
0.53/1
N. Ngoy
B. Yılmaz n 858.5
2.57/5
1.25/1
—
U. Çakır n 890.5
0.11/0
00/0
—
Z. Çelik n 875
0.84/1
1.13/2
M. De Cuyper
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Türkiye — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Güler n 889.6
1.17/2
A. Bardakcı n 884.8
1.76/4
B. Yılmaz n 858.5
15/0
Z. Çelik n 875
2.78/5
M. Demiral n 878.9
14/2
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Türkiye Attacking

Türkiye — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Güler591457 min10.2 /9000 /90122.4 /9061.2 /9081.6 /90102 /90
B. Yılmaz569347 min20.5 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9051.3 /9041 /90
K. Aktürkoğlu448190 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9041.9 /9000 /90
C. Uzun441165 min00 /9000 /9042.2 /9010.5 /9052.7 /9021.1 /90
K. Yıldız375226 min00 /9000 /9052 /9010.4 /9052 /9052 /90
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Türkiye — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Güler n 889.6
27/3
16/1
A. Bardakcı n 884.8
0.74/1
0.11/0
B. Yılmaz n 858.5
0.63/0
0.42/0
U. Çakır n 890.5
00/0
00/0
Z. Çelik n 875
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Türkiye — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Güler n 889.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Bardakcı n 884.8
00/0
00/0
B. Yılmaz n 858.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
U. Çakır n 890.5
00/0
00/0
Z. Çelik n 875
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BelgiumTürkiye
54%Possession46%
1.58Expected goals (xG)1.38
17Shots23
10Shots on target8
5Shots off target10
2Blocked shots5
11Shots inside the box10
2Corners5
0Offsides1
12Fouls12
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
8Saves7
521Passes443
89%Pass accuracy85%

Belgium Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Castagne9000000107.3
M. De Cuyper9000211307.5
B. Mechele9000100407.9
N. Ngoy90000003Y7.6
Y. Tielemans90011132Y7.3
S. Lammens9000000008.7
K. De Bruyne82203332Y9.9
C. De Ketelaere8201111207.5
Mika Godts7500104006.9
D. Lukebakio61013210Y7.2
H. Vanaken6100111006.9
R. Lavia sub2900000006.7
R. Lukaku sub2910211007.3
Leandro Trossard sub1500000006.3
M. Fofana sub800001006.5
Loïs Openda sub800000106.7

Türkiye Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Bardakcı90002001Y6.3
Z. Çelik9000103506.9
M. Demiral90002002Y6.5
A. Güler90006450Y8.5
F. Kadıoğlu9000100106.3
U. Çakır9000000007.5
İ. Yüksek8500113907.2
B. Elmaz7300000207.3
K. Aktürkoğlu6700101006.3
O. Aydın6600002106.3
B. Yılmaz4500002006.2
Y. Akgün sub4500110406.9
I. Fakili sub2400112006.9
D. Gül sub2300100006.7
S. Özcan sub1700111206.6
Demir Ege Tıknaz sub900000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Belgium v Türkiye — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BelgiumWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
TürkiyeLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Belgium#3 pos6 pts4 pl+1 GD
Türkiye#4 pos0 pts4 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Belgium scored1.5
Türkiye scored0.5
Belgium conceded1.25
Türkiye conceded2.75

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Belgium v Türkiye?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Belgium v Türkiye was Home or Away (best price 1.20 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Belgium and Türkiye?
Recent form — Belgium 3W 0D 2L; Türkiye 1W 0D 4L.

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