Hungary v Northern Ireland prediction

UEFA Nations League · Tue, 17 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 23:26 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Hungary v Northern Ireland, UEFA Nations League on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hungary host Northern Ireland in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in three of Northern Ireland’s last 15 results in all competitions (20%).

Northern Ireland have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Hungary’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Hungary’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Hungary have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.57.

Five of Northern Ireland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Away from home, Northern Ireland have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.13.

Hungary are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Northern Ireland are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Hungary (second) and Northern Ireland (first) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Northern Ireland the stronger side, 168 rating points above Hungary (Northern Ireland 1672, Hungary 1503, after at least 26 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 September 2026, finished Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary.

Team news

Predicted Hungary XI (4-2-3-1): B. Tóth, W. Orbán, M. Csinger, M. Kerkez, A. Osváth, D. Szoboszlai, A. Schäfer, M. Vitális, A. Tóth, Á. Csongvai, M. Tóth — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dominik Szoboszlai (5.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal and two assists) and Márk Csinger (4.5 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Hungary’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hungary (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dominik Szoboszlai averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 1491 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Márk Csinger averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1302 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Northern Ireland XI (4-4-2): P. Charles, R. McConville, C. Brown, T. Atcheson, B. Spencer, S. Charles, T. Hume, J. Devenny, E. Galbraith, J. Donley, I. Price — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Shea Charles (4.9 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) and Pierce Charles (4.7 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Northern Ireland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Northern Ireland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Shea Charles averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1428 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Pierce Charles averages 2.6 saves per 90 over 1805 minutes, with two or more saves in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 17 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · UEFA Nations League
Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Hungary 1 · draws 1 · Northern Ireland 0 · 0.5 goals/game
Recent form: Hungary 2W 1D 2L · Northern Ireland 2W 2D 1L

Hungary v Northern Ireland (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.63

Goals

against 0.88 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 3.38

Corners

against 3 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.63

Cards

against 2.75 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

210

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Hungary for / against	Line	Northern Ireland for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.63 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.38 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.63 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Hungary

Hungary Goalkeeper

Hungary — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Tóth	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Hungary — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hungary before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 7	90	3 6/4

Hungary Defensive

Hungary — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Orbán	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	20.5 /90	30.8 /90	194.8 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
M. Csinger	4	89354 min	102.5 /90	92.3 /90	41 /90	235.8 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90
M. Kerkez	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	93 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90
A. Osváth	3	79236 min	41.5 /90	41.5 /90	10.4 /90	93.4 /90	41.5 /90	00 /90
Z. Nagy	2	80159 min	52.8 /90	42.3 /90	00 /90	116.2 /90	31.7 /90	00 /90
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Hungary — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hungary before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Orbán n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.6 4/1	—
B. Tóth n 7	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
M. Csinger n 4	88.5	1.5 4/1	1.5 2/2	—
D. Szoboszlai n 8	88.4	0.4 3/0	1.5 7/4	—
A. Schäfer n 8	77.9	1.7 5/3	1.6 6/5	—
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Hungary — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hungary before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Orbán n 8	90	1.4 7/3
M. Csinger n 4	88.5	2.5 4/3
D. Szoboszlai n 8	88.4	1 4/3
A. Schäfer n 8	77.9	2.3 7/5
D. Lukacs n 4	65.5	0.3 1/0
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Hungary Attacking

Hungary — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Lukacs	4	66262 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
D. Lukács	3	67202 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90
M. Tóth	3	58174 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90	21 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
D. Bárány	3	38113 min	00 /90	00 /90	54 /90	21.6 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
Gabor Jurek	3	37112 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90
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Hungary — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hungary before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Orbán n 8	90	1.3 7/3	0.1 1/0
B. Tóth n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Csinger n 4	88.5	0.5 2/0	0.3 1/0
D. Szoboszlai n 8	88.4	1.8 6/4	0.8 3/2
A. Schäfer n 8	77.9	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0
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Hungary — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hungary before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Orbán n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Tóth n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Csinger n 4	88.5	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
D. Szoboszlai n 8	88.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
A. Schäfer n 8	77.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland Goalkeeper

Northern Ireland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
P. Charles	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90

Northern Ireland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northern Ireland before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Charles n 6	90.5	2.3 4/2

Northern Ireland Defensive

Northern Ireland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Tom Atcheson	4	87346 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	102.6 /90	41 /90	00 /90
C. Brown	4	86342 min	20.5 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	153.9 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
Ruairi McConville	4	72288 min	51.6 /90	30.9 /90	41.3 /90	195.9 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90
B. Spencer	4	38152 min	10.6 /90	21.2 /90	21.2 /90	148.3 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
Dan Ballard	1	8989 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	33 /90	22 /90	11 /90
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Northern Ireland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northern Ireland before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Shea Charles n 8	90.4	1.4 7/3	3.1 8/6	—
T. Hume n 8	90.3	1.2 4/4	0.7 4/2	—
P. Charles n 6	90.5	0 0/0	0.7 4/0	—
Tom Atcheson n 4	86.5	1 3/1	0 0/0	—
C. Brown n 8	86.5	0.4 2/1	1.2 6/2	—
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Northern Ireland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northern Ireland before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Shea Charles n 8	90.4	2.7 6/5
T. Hume n 8	90.3	2.6 7/5
Tom Atcheson n 4	86.5	0.5 1/1
C. Brown n 8	86.5	0.3 1/1
I. Price n 8	86.8	1.3 6/2
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Northern Ireland Attacking

Northern Ireland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Price	4	83331 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.6 /90	41.1 /90	30.8 /90	51.4 /90
J. Donley	4	74294 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	51.5 /90
Patrick Kelly	3	72217 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90
J. Magennis	2	1733 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.7 /90	12.7 /90	12.7 /90	00 /90
Shea Charles	4	90360 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	61.5 /90	30.8 /90
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Northern Ireland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northern Ireland before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Shea Charles n 8	90.4	0.9 4/1	0.5 3/1
T. Hume n 8	90.3	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1
P. Charles n 6	90.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tom Atcheson n 4	86.5	0.8 1/1	0 0/0
C. Brown n 8	86.5	0.4 2/1	0.3 1/1
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Northern Ireland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northern Ireland before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Charles n 6	90.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Shea Charles n 8	90.4	0.2 2/0	0 0/0
T. Hume n 8	90.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Tom Atcheson n 4	86.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Brown n 8	86.5	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hungary v Northern Ireland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

HungaryLLDWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Northern IrelandLWDWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Hungary 1 · 1 draw · Northern Ireland 0 · 0.5 goals/game

2026-09-28 Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary
2022-03-29 Northern Ireland 0–1 Hungary

League standing · 2026/27

Hungary#2 pos7 pts4 pl+1 GD

Northern Ireland#1 pos8 pts4 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Hungary scored0.75

Northern Ireland scored1

Hungary conceded0.5

Northern Ireland conceded0

Elo Ratings Before Kick-Off

Hungary: Elo rating 1503, rising over the last five rated matches.
Northern Ireland: Elo rating 1672, rising over the last five rated matches.

Northern Ireland are rated 169 points higher.

Ratings come from match results only and are taken before kick-off.

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Hungary v Northern Ireland?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Hungary v Northern Ireland is Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Hungary and Northern Ireland?: In their last 2 meetings, Hungary won 1, Northern Ireland won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hungary and Northern Ireland?: Recent form — Hungary 2W 1D 2L; Northern Ireland 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 23:26 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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