Kazakhstan v Slovakia prediction

UEFA Nations League · Mon, 16 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 00:58 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Kazakhstan v Slovakia, UEFA Nations League on Mon, 16 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Away win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.4% of 128 landed (95% range 77.1–89.7%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kazakhstan host Slovakia in the UEFA Nations League on Monday 16 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Slovakia to win.

The key numbers

Kazakhstan have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Slovakia have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Kazakhstan are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Slovakia are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Kazakhstan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Kazakhstan’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Kazakhstan have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.25.

Five of Slovakia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Slovakia’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Slovakia have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71.

Kazakhstan (fourth) and Slovakia (first) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Slovakia the stronger side, 422 rating points above Kazakhstan (Slovakia 1642, Kazakhstan 1220, after at least 28 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 September 2026, finished Slovakia 2–1 Kazakhstan.

Team news

Predicted Kazakhstan XI (4-2-3-1): T. Anarbekov, N. Alip, Y. Vorogovskiy, T. Erlanov, A. Mrynskiy, B. Islamkhan, I. Kuat, D. Karaman, M. Samorodov, G. Kenzhebek, Ramazan·Karimov — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Alip (5.9 per match over five appearances, two goals) and Bauyrzhan Islamkhan (4.9 per match over three appearances, two assists) have been Kazakhstan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kazakhstan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Alip averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.

Predicted Slovakia XI (4-3-3): D. Greif, M. Škriniar, D. Hancko, A. Obert, I. Mesík, S. Lobotka, T. Suslov, O. Duda, D. Strelec, L. Sauer, D. Duris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lukáš Haraslín (6.7 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and T. Suslov (5.4 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Slovakia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Slovakia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lukáš Haraslín averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1295 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. T. Suslov averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 504 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Mon, 16 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · UEFA Nations League
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Kazakhstan 2 · draws 0 · Slovakia 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Kazakhstan 0W 3D 2L · Slovakia 3W 1D 1L

Kazakhstan v Slovakia (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 5.75

Corners

against 7.25 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 7 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 1

Cards

against 1 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Kazakhstan for / against	Line	Slovakia for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.75 for · 17.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.75 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.5 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Goalkeeper

Kazakhstan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Stas Pokatilov	2	90180 min	94.5 /90	31.5 /90
Aleksandr Zarutskiy	1	9090 min	66 /90	22 /90
T. Anarbekov	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90

Kazakhstan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kazakhstan before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Stas Pokatilov n 4	90	3.8 4/3
T. Anarbekov n 3	90	4.7 3/2

Kazakhstan Defensive

Kazakhstan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Alip	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	30.8 /90	41 /90	256.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
T. Erlanov	3	85254 min	31.1 /90	41.4 /90	31.1 /90	176 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
Y. Vorogovskiy	3	75225 min	62.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	166.4 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90
A. Mrynskiy	3	67201 min	52.2 /90	41.8 /90	00 /90	73.1 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
Z. Amir	3	46139 min	00 /90	31.9 /90	10.6 /90	63.9 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
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Kazakhstan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kazakhstan before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Alip n 8	89	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0	—
D. Karaman n 5	73.6	0.7 3/0	1 4/0	—
T. Erlanov n 4	86	0.8 2/1	0.3 1/0	—
I. Kuat n 8	72.6	1.7 6/5	0.6 4/0	—
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan n 4	83	1.1 3/1	0.8 3/0	—
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Kazakhstan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kazakhstan before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Alip n 8	89	1.9 8/4
D. Karaman n 5	73.6	3.2 4/3
T. Erlanov n 4	86	1.3 3/2
I. Kuat n 8	72.6	0.8 4/1
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan n 4	83	1.6 3/2
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Kazakhstan Attacking

Kazakhstan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Ramazan·Karimov	3	65194 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90
A. Shushenachev	3	52157 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
D. Karaman	3	90270 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
I. Kuat	3	84252 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan	3	83250 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	145 /90	00 /90
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Kazakhstan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kazakhstan before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Alip n 8	89	0.8 3/2	0.4 2/1
D. Karaman n 5	73.6	0.7 3/0	0.5 2/0
T. Erlanov n 4	86	0.8 3/0	0.3 1/0
I. Kuat n 8	72.6	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan n 4	83	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
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Kazakhstan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kazakhstan before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Alip n 8	89	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
D. Karaman n 5	73.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
T. Erlanov n 4	86	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
I. Kuat n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan n 4	83	0 0/0	0.5 2/0
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Slovakia

Slovakia Goalkeeper

Slovakia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Greif	3	90270 min	113.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
M. Dúbravka	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Slovakia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slovakia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Greif n 3	90	3.7 2/2
M. Dúbravka n 8	90	3 7/4

Slovakia Defensive

Slovakia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Škriniar	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	205 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
A. Obert	3	87262 min	41.4 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	113.8 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Dávid Hancko	3	84252 min	51.8 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	134.6 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
M. Valjent	3	66198 min	31.4 /90	20.9 /90	10.5 /90	125.5 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90
I. Mesík	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90	84 /90	21 /90	00 /90
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Slovakia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slovakia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Škriniar n 8	90	0.8 4/2	1.3 7/2	—
S. Lobotka n 8	90	0.4 2/1	2 8/8	—
T. Suslov n 8	83.4	0.3 2/0	3.9 8/8	—
L. Haraslín n 8	71.3	0.9 5/1	3.3 8/6	—
O. Duda n 8	68.6	0.8 5/0	1.6 5/3	—
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Slovakia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slovakia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Škriniar n 8	90	2.1 7/5
S. Lobotka n 8	90	1 5/3
T. Suslov n 8	83.4	1.3 6/3
L. Haraslín n 8	71.3	1.9 6/3
O. Duda n 8	68.6	2 5/3
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Slovakia Attacking

Slovakia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Strelec	4	62248 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.5 /90	31.1 /90	41.5 /90	41.5 /90
I. Schranz	4	43172 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
L. Sauer	4	40161 min	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	31.7 /90	21.1 /90	42.2 /90	21.1 /90
R. Boženík	2	4385 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.2 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90
A. Kaprálik	1	6363 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22.9 /90	00 /90
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Slovakia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slovakia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Škriniar n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0
S. Lobotka n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
T. Suslov n 8	83.4	1.2 5/3	0.5 3/1
L. Haraslín n 8	71.3	2.1 6/4	0.9 3/2
O. Duda n 8	68.6	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0
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Slovakia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Slovakia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Škriniar n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Lobotka n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Suslov n 8	83.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
L. Haraslín n 8	71.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
O. Duda n 8	68.6	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kazakhstan v Slovakia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KazakhstanDDLLD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

SlovakiaLWWDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Kazakhstan 2 · 0 draws · Slovakia 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-09-29 Slovakia 2–1 Kazakhstan
2022-06-13 Kazakhstan 2–1 Slovakia
2022-06-06 Slovakia 0–1 Kazakhstan

League standing · 2026/27

Kazakhstan#4 pos2 pts4 pl-2 GD

Slovakia#1 pos10 pts4 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Kazakhstan scored1.25

Slovakia scored2.25

Kazakhstan conceded1.75

Slovakia conceded0.5

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Kazakhstan v Slovakia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Kazakhstan v Slovakia is Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Kazakhstan and Slovakia?: In their last 3 meetings, Kazakhstan won 2, Slovakia won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kazakhstan and Slovakia?: Recent form — Kazakhstan 0W 3D 2L; Slovakia 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 00:58 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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