Switzerland v Scotland prediction

UEFA Nations League · Mon, 16 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 00:58 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Switzerland v Scotland, UEFA Nations League on Mon, 16 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 80.1% of 292 landed (95% range 75.2–84.3%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Switzerland host Scotland in the UEFA Nations League on Monday 16 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Switzerland to win.

The key numbers

Switzerland have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Switzerland have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Switzerland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Switzerland’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Switzerland have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.75 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 0.50.

Eight of Scotland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of Scotland’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Scotland have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.43.

Switzerland (first) and Scotland (third) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Switzerland the stronger side, 312 rating points above Scotland (Switzerland 1846, Scotland 1534, after at least 28 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 September 2026, finished Scotland 0–3 Switzerland.

Team news

Predicted Switzerland XI (4-2-3-1): G. Kobel, M. Akanji, N. Elvedi, R. Rodríguez, Z. Athekame, R. Freuler, D. Ndoye, A. Jashari, J. Manzambi, F. Rieder, Z. Amdouni — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dan Ndoye (5.4 per match over 14 appearances, seven goals and three assists) and Granit Xhaka (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Switzerland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Switzerland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dan Ndoye averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 1610 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Granit Xhaka averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1874 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Scotland XI (3-4-1-2): A. Gunn, S. Welsh, J. Hendry, L. Binks, L. Ferguson, A. Robertson, B. Gilmour, B. Doak, R. Christie, O. McBurnie, J. McGinn — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lawrence Shankland (5.8 per match over four appearances, three goals and one assist) and Lewis Ferguson (3.2 per match over 10 appearances) have been Scotland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Scotland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lawrence Shankland averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 750 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Lewis Ferguson averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1835 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Mon, 16 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · UEFA Nations League
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Switzerland 1 · draws 1 · Scotland 0 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Switzerland 4W 0D 1L · Scotland 1W 1D 3L

Switzerland v Scotland (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1

Goals

against 0.38 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.83 / 3.75

Corners

against 2.83 / 5 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

7 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 2 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

0.33 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.67 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Switzerland for / against	Line	Scotland for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.83 for · 2.83 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16 for · 6.33 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	11.88 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 13 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	14.13 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	0.33 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Switzerland

Switzerland Goalkeeper

Switzerland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Kobel	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90

Switzerland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Switzerland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Kobel n 8	90	2 5/2

Switzerland Defensive

Switzerland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Akanji	8	90720 min	151.9 /90	121.5 /90	00 /90	293.6 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
N. Elvedi	8	90720 min	81 /90	70.9 /90	30.4 /90	324 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
R. Rodríguez	8	78621 min	91.3 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	243.5 /90	111.6 /90	00 /90
Zachary Athekame	4	72287 min	41.3 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	92.8 /90	51.6 /90	00 /90
Sascha Britschgi	4	42168 min	00 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Switzerland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Switzerland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Elvedi n 8	90	0.5 3/1	1 5/2	—
M. Akanji n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.4 2/1	—
R. Freuler n 8	89.9	1.4 7/4	0.5 4/0	—
R. Rodríguez n 8	77.6	1.6 6/3	0.3 2/0	—
J. Manzambi n 8	57.6	1 5/0	3.1 6/5	—
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Switzerland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Switzerland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Akanji n 8	90	1.9 8/4
N. Elvedi n 8	90	1 5/2
R. Freuler n 8	89.9	1.8 8/4
R. Rodríguez n 8	77.6	1.3 4/3
J. Manzambi n 8	57.6	0.6 2/1
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Switzerland Attacking

Switzerland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Embolo	4	87347 min	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	61.6 /90	41 /90	82.1 /90	30.8 /90
Zeki Amdouni	4	80319 min	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	133.7 /90	92.5 /90	82.3 /90	51.4 /90
Winsley Boteli Mokango	1	2020 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Freuler	8	90719 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	50.6 /90	20.3 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
J. Manzambi	8	58461 min	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	112.1 /90	91.8 /90	91.8 /90	142.7 /90
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Switzerland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Switzerland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Akanji n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
N. Elvedi n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
R. Freuler n 8	89.9	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
R. Rodríguez n 8	77.6	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. Manzambi n 8	57.6	2.1 7/3	1.8 5/3
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Switzerland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Switzerland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Elvedi n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Akanji n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Freuler n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Rodríguez n 8	77.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Manzambi n 8	57.6	0.8 3/1	0.4 2/0
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Scotland

Scotland Goalkeeper

Scotland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Gunn	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	71 /90	00 /90

Scotland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Scotland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Gunn n 8	90	2.1 4/2

Scotland Defensive

Scotland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Hendry	5	90450 min	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	173.4 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90
S. McKenna	4	88353 min	30.8 /90	41 /90	51.3 /90	143.6 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
Stephen Welsh	4	81323 min	30.8 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	123.3 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
N. Patterson	4	61245 min	41.5 /90	31.1 /90	20.7 /90	72.6 /90	41.5 /90	00 /90
Luis Binks	3	90270 min	31 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	113.7 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
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Scotland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Scotland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Ferguson n 8	90	2.5 8/7	2 6/4	—
A. Gunn n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
J. McGinn n 8	88.5	0.6 4/1	4.6 8/8	—
A. Robertson n 8	82.4	1 4/3	0.4 3/0	—
B. Doak n 8	59.5	1.3 5/2	1.1 3/2	—
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Scotland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Scotland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 8	90	3.2 8/6
J. McGinn n 8	88.5	0.5 3/1
A. Robertson n 8	82.4	1 5/1
B. Doak n 8	59.5	1.7 6/2
J. Hendry n 8	82.1	0.7 4/1
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Scotland Attacking

Scotland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Oliver McBurnie	4	65260 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	51.7 /90	31 /90
Kieron Bowie	3	41122 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	96.6 /90	85.9 /90	21.5 /90	32.2 /90
Robbie Ure	3	38113 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	21.6 /90
L. Shankland	2	86172 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90
C. Adams	2	73146 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
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Scotland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Scotland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
A. Gunn n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. McGinn n 8	88.5	1.3 6/3	0.4 2/1
A. Robertson n 8	82.4	0.7 2/1	0.1 1/0
B. Doak n 8	59.5	1.7 5/2	0.9 2/2
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Scotland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Scotland before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Gunn n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. McGinn n 8	88.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Robertson n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Doak n 8	59.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Switzerland v Scotland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SwitzerlandLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

ScotlandLDLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Switzerland 1 · 1 draw · Scotland 0 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-09-29 Scotland 0–3 Switzerland
2024-06-19 Scotland 1–1 Switzerland

League standing · 2026/27

Switzerland#1 pos12 pts4 pl+10 GD

Scotland#3 pos4 pts4 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Switzerland scored2.75

Scotland scored0.75

Switzerland conceded0.25

Scotland conceded1.25

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Switzerland v Scotland?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Switzerland v Scotland is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Switzerland and Scotland?: In their last 2 meetings, Switzerland won 1, Scotland won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Switzerland and Scotland?: Recent form — Switzerland 4W 0D 1L; Scotland 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 00:58 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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