Chicago Fire v St. Louis City result

Full-time · Chicago Fire 1–2 St. Louis City

US Open Cup · · Soldier Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chicago Fire · St. Louis City

The model’s pre-match pick

Chicago Fire 1–2 St. Louis City — St. Louis City won this US Open Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

St. Louis City won 2–1 at Soldier Field in the US Open Cup on Thursday 30 April. Chicago Fire have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. St. Louis City have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Chicago Fire: A. Saletros (63’, assisted by P. Zinckernagel); St. Louis City: T. Totland (71’) and E. Lowen (78’, assisted by M. Joyner).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with E. Lowen’s goal on 78 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Chicago Fire: V. Radojevic (28’) and J. Waterman (82’); St. Louis City: D. Polvara (65’), L. MacNaughton (65’) and S. Becher (87’).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (414 of 630).

Next up

Chicago Fire next travel to Atlanta United FC on 24 October 2026.

St. Louis City next travel to Columbus Crew on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chicago Fire: Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for St. Louis City: Columbus Crew v St. Louis City, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Chicago Fire 1–2 St. Louis City · US Open Cup
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Chicago Fire 3 · draws 0 · St. Louis City 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chicago Fire 4W 1D 0L · St. Louis City 1W 2D 2L

Chicago Fire 1–2 St. Louis City (US Open Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.86 / 8
Corners
against 6.14 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 4.29
Shots on target
against 4.57 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.75 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChicago Fire for / againstLineSt. Louis City for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
2.86 for · 6.14 against n 7
9.5standard
8 for · 3.43 against n 7
Shots
13.71 for · 13.86 against n 7
19.5standard
14 for · 11.43 against n 7
Shots on target
3.86 for · 4.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.29 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.14 for · 11.14 against n 7
21.5standard
10.86 for · 10.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dylan Borso n 330.7
2.92/1
2.92/1
—
R. Lod n 861
2.48/3
0.73/1
—
V. Radojevic n 737.3
2.43/2
2.84/2
—
P. Zinckernagel n 878.3
2.26/4
2.67/4
—
P. Dithejane n 424
1.92/0
1.91/1
—
Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dylan Borso n 330.7
2.91/1
11/0
H. Cuypers n 891.1
2.26/6
1.56/3
Jonathan Bamba n 886.8
1.97/5
1.37/2
M. Haile-Selassie n 876.8
1.55/4
0.64/0
C. Mueller n 843.8
1.54/2
0.82/1
Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jason Shokalook n 67.8
00/0
1.91/0
H. Cuypers n 891.1
16/2
00/0
P. Zinckernagel n 878.3
0.63/1
0.32/0
Jonathan Bamba n 886.8
0.43/0
0.43/0
A. Gutman n 884.8
00/0
0.43/0
Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dylan Borso n 330.7
2.91/1
M. Pineda n 845.3
2.55/2
A. Gutman n 884.8
2.38/6
P. Zinckernagel n 878.3
2.36/5
D. D'Avilla n 867
26/2
Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Brady n 890
3.16/4
St. Louis City
St. Louis City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Durkin n 888.9
1.88/5
1.55/3
—
E. Lowen n 868.8
1.85/3
1.56/2
—
Jeong Sang-Bin n 844.5
1.84/2
13/1
—
Jaziel Orozco n 880.9
1.76/5
0.62/1
—
S. Becher n 877.6
1.76/3
1.47/1
—
St. Louis City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Teuchert n 830.3
3.78/2
2.25/1
Brendan McSorley n 817.4
3.24/1
3.24/1
M. Hartel n 891.9
3.18/7
28/6
M. Joyner n 829.9
35/3
1.13/0
E. Lowen n 868.8
2.56/4
1.56/1
St. Louis City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Lowen n 868.8
0.53/0
0.21/0
Brendan McSorley n 817.4
0.61/0
00/0
M. Hartel n 891.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
Célio Pompeu n 849.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Joyner n 829.9
0.41/0
00/0
St. Louis City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Joyner n 829.9
4.57/4
Célio Pompeu n 849.4
3.27/4
T. Totland n 844.4
35/3
C. Durkin n 888.9
2.57/5
M. Perez n 836.6
2.26/1
St. Louis City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Burki n 892
3.16/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Chicago Fire v St. Louis City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chicago FireWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
St. Louis CityDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Chicago Fire 3 · 0 draws · St. Louis City 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2025-08-17 Chicago Fire 3–2 St. Louis City
  • 2024-05-12 St. Louis City 3–1 Chicago Fire
  • 2023-05-13 Chicago Fire 1–0 St. Louis City
  • 2023-05-10 Chicago Fire 2–1 St. Louis City
Goals per game
Chicago Fire scored2.4
St. Louis City scored1.8
Chicago Fire conceded0.8
St. Louis City conceded1.8

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Chicago Fire v St. Louis City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chicago Fire v St. Louis City was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Fire and St. Louis City?
In their last 4 meetings, Chicago Fire won 3, St. Louis City won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chicago Fire and St. Louis City?
Recent form — Chicago Fire 4W 1D 0L; St. Louis City 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 182 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →