Norway v England result
The model’s pre-match pick
Norway 1–2 England — England won this World Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
England won 2–1 at Hard Rock Stadium in the World Cup on Saturday 11 July. England are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Norway: Andreas Schjelderup (36’, assisted by Martin Ødegaard); England: Jude Bellingham (45’, assisted by Anthony Gordon; 93’).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Norway 0.68, England 1.04, from 13 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Clement Turpin, France showed one yellow card — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Norway: Kristoffer Ajer (117’).
What it changes
Norway have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jude Bellingham (England) 11.4, Andreas Schjelderup (Norway) 8.6 and Anthony Gordon (England) 6.1 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (421 of 641).
Next up
Norway next host Wales on 14 November 2026.
England next host Croatia on 12 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Norway: Norway v Wales, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for England: England v Croatia, Thursday 12 November — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Norway 1–2 England · World Cup
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium · Miami
- Referee: Clement Turpin, France
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Norway 4W 0D 1L · England 4W 1D 0L
Norway 1–2 England (World Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Norway for / against | Line | England for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.13 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 18.75 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.88 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.75 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.38 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Clement Turpin, France.
Norway
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sørloth n 8 | 60.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | J. Bellingham |
| D. Møller Wolfe n 8 | 79.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | N. O'Reilly |
| J. Ryerson n 8 | 72.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | N. O'Reilly |
| Fredrik André Bjørkan n 8 | 46 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| K. Thorstvedt n 8 | 57.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland n 8 | 87.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| J. Strand Larsen n 8 | 52.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| T. Aasgaard n 8 | 53.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| K. Thorstvedt n 8 | 57.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| L. Østigård n 8 | 43.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland n 8 | 87.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| A. Schjelderup n 8 | 42.5 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Martin Ødegaard n 8 | 76.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| J. Ryerson n 8 | 72.8 | 0 | 0.6 |
| T. Aasgaard n 8 | 53.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Aursnes n 8 | 58.1 | 3.3 |
| J. Ryerson n 8 | 72.8 | 2.5 |
| S. Langås n 8 | 56.6 | 2 |
| Henrik Sælebakke Falchener n 8 | 87 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Berg n 8 | 57.6 | 1.8 |
England
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bukayo Saka n 8 | 49 | 2.1 | 3 | — |
| M. Rogers n 8 | 48.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 75.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | Alexander Sørloth |
| H. Kane n 8 | 80.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | — |
| N. O'Reilly n 8 | 71.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | J. Ryerson |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane n 8 | 80.3 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| O. Watkins n 8 | 65.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| M. Rashford n 8 | 53.4 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 75.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| M. Rogers n 8 | 48.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Kane n 8 | 80.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| O. Watkins n 8 | 65.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| M. Rogers n 8 | 48.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Bukayo Saka n 8 | 49 | 0 | 0.9 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 75.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Anderson n 8 | 74.3 | 3.2 |
| Bukayo Saka n 8 | 49 | 3.2 |
| D. Spence n 8 | 45.5 | 2.5 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 75.9 | 2.2 |
| K. Mainoo n 8 | 75.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford n 8 | 82.6 | 1.5 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Norway | England | |
|---|---|---|
| 48% | Possession | 52% |
| 0.68 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.04 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 577 | Passes | 628 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
Norway player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ø. Nyland | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| K. Ajer | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| Martin Ødegaard | 120 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Berge | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Patrick Berg | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Haaland | 105 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Heggem | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Møller Wolfe | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Alexander Sørloth | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Schjelderup | 68 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8.2 |
| J. Ryerson | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Aursnes sub | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Oscar Bobb sub | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Nusa sub | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Pedersen sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Østigård sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Strand Larsen sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
England player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Stones | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Guéhi | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Anderson | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| H. Kane | 120 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| J. Bellingham | 111 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 |
| E. Konsa | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| N. O'Reilly | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Gordon | 71 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Declan Rice | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Noni Madueke | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Eberechi Eze sub | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Bukayo Saka sub | 75 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. James sub | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| D. Spence sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| M. Rogers sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Burn sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Norway v England — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Norway v England?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Norway v England was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.70 at Betano).
- What is the recent form of Norway and England?
- Recent form — Norway 4W 0D 1L; England 4W 1D 0L.
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