Norway v England result

Full-time · Norway 1–2 England

World Cup · · Hard Rock Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Norway 1–2 England — England won this World Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.70 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

England won 2–1 at Hard Rock Stadium in the World Cup on Saturday 11 July. England are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Norway: Andreas Schjelderup (36’, assisted by Martin Ødegaard); England: Jude Bellingham (45’, assisted by Anthony Gordon; 93’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Norway 0.68, England 1.04, from 13 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Clement Turpin, France showed one yellow card — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Norway: Kristoffer Ajer (117’).

What it changes

Norway have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jude Bellingham (England) 11.4, Andreas Schjelderup (Norway) 8.6 and Anthony Gordon (England) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (421 of 641).

Next up

Norway next host Wales on 14 November 2026.

England next host Croatia on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Norway: Norway v Wales, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for England: England v Croatia, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Norway 1–2 England · World Cup
  • Venue: Hard Rock Stadium · Miami
  • Referee: Clement Turpin, France
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Norway 4W 0D 1L · England 4W 1D 0L

Norway 1–2 England (World Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.38 / 7.63
Corners
against 4.5 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.38 / 1
Cards
against 0.63 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNorway for / againstLineEngland for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
7.63 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
18.75 for · 7.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 2.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.88 for · 7.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 16 against n 8
Cards shown
0.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Clement Turpin, France.

Norway
Norway — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alexander Sørloth n 860.1
2.15/3
0.74/0
J. Bellingham
D. Møller Wolfe n 879.5
1.75/5
0.43/0
N. O'Reilly
J. Ryerson n 872.8
1.76/5
0.83/2
N. O'Reilly
Fredrik André Bjørkan n 846
1.74/2
13/1
—
K. Thorstvedt n 857.5
1.66/2
1.86/3
—
Norway — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 887.8
2.87/5
2.37/5
J. Strand Larsen n 852.4
2.66/3
1.13/1
T. Aasgaard n 853.5
2.35/3
1.13/2
K. Thorstvedt n 857.5
1.66/1
0.42/0
L. Østigård n 843.9
1.54/2
0.52/0
Norway — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 887.8
1.26/3
0.32/0
A. Schjelderup n 842.5
00/0
0.82/1
Martin Ødegaard n 876.1
0.11/0
0.64/0
J. Ryerson n 872.8
00/0
0.63/1
T. Aasgaard n 853.5
0.63/0
00/0
Norway — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Aursnes n 858.1
3.36/5
J. Ryerson n 872.8
2.57/5
S. Langås n 856.6
25/4
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener n 887
1.86/5
Patrick Berg n 857.6
1.85/2
Norway — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Selvik n 881.1
3.57/7
Ø. Nyland n 882.1
2.76/4
England
England — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bukayo Saka n 849
2.14/3
37/3
—
M. Rogers n 848.8
1.85/2
1.24/1
—
J. Bellingham n 875.9
1.66/4
1.96/3
Alexander Sørloth
H. Kane n 880.3
1.36/3
1.16/2
—
N. O'Reilly n 871.8
1.35/2
0.94/1
J. Ryerson
England — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 880.3
3.48/7
2.48/5
O. Watkins n 865.8
2.97/4
2.25/4
M. Rashford n 853.4
2.76/3
0.63/0
J. Bellingham n 875.9
2.16/5
1.65/4
M. Rogers n 848.8
1.84/2
0.93/1
England — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 880.3
1.46/3
0.11/0
O. Watkins n 865.8
1.25/2
0.32/0
M. Rogers n 848.8
0.52/0
0.52/0
Bukayo Saka n 849
00/0
0.94/0
J. Bellingham n 875.9
0.74/1
0.11/0
England — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Anderson n 874.3
3.28/7
Bukayo Saka n 849
3.26/4
D. Spence n 845.5
2.56/2
J. Bellingham n 875.9
2.26/5
K. Mainoo n 875.5
2.16/5
England — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 882.6
1.53/2

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NorwayEngland
48%Possession52%
0.68Expected goals (xG)1.04
13Shots14
4Shots on target8
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box8
7Corners4
1Offsides5
10Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
6Saves3
577Passes628
86%Pass accuracy90%

Norway player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ø. Nyland12000001007.7
K. Ajer120001002Y6.3
Martin Ødegaard12001112006.9
S. Berge12000002006.9
Patrick Berg12000100306.3
E. Haaland10500210106.3
T. Heggem9000000206.3
D. Møller Wolfe8900000006.5
Alexander Sørloth6800101006.7
A. Schjelderup6810110608.2
J. Ryerson6000002407.2
F. Aursnes sub6000101207.2
Oscar Bobb sub5200102206.7
A. Nusa sub5200110106.3
M. Pedersen sub3100000106.2
L. Østigård sub3000000006.5
J. Strand Larsen sub1500000006.3

England player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pickford12000000006.5
J. Stones12000001007
M. Guéhi12000000006.3
E. Anderson12000000207
H. Kane12000321106
J. Bellingham11120420108.5
E. Konsa8900000107
N. O'Reilly8600000107.3
A. Gordon7101001106.6
Declan Rice4500001006.9
Noni Madueke4500000106.3
Eberechi Eze sub7500002006.7
Bukayo Saka sub7500222307.2
R. James sub4900000207
D. Spence sub3400110207.9
M. Rogers sub3100110006.3
D. Burn sub900000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Norway v England — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorwayWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
EnglandWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Norway#2 pos6 pts3 pl+1 GD
England#1 pos7 pts3 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Norway scored2.67
England scored2
Norway conceded2.33
England conceded0.67

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Norway v England?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Norway v England was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.70 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Norway and England?
Recent form — Norway 4W 0D 1L; England 4W 1D 0L.

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