1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden result

Full-time · 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 Dynamo Dresden

2. Bundesliga · · Max-Morlock-Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 Dynamo Dresden — 1. FC Nürnberg won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

1. FC Nürnberg beat Dynamo Dresden 3–0 at Max-Morlock-Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 9 August. 1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

1. FC Nürnberg led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — 1. FC Nürnberg: M. Zoma (9’, assisted by F. Becker; 45’; 75’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Zoma’s goal on 9 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: 1. FC Nürnberg 2.23, Dynamo Dresden 1.96, from 16 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Wienefeld showed two yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Dynamo Dresden: T. Keller (73’) and Simon Straudi (74’).

What it changes

1. FC Nürnberg are second after this result (one league match played). 1. FC Nürnberg have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Nürnberg have conceded 12 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Dynamo Dresden are 17th after this result (one league match played). Dynamo Dresden have scored 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Dynamo Dresden have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Nürnberg have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Zoma (1. FC Nürnberg) 16.0, J. Fernandez (1. FC Nürnberg) 6.9 and T. Schreiber (Dynamo Dresden) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, 1. FC Nürnberg or Dynamo Dresden (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3740 of 4833).

Next up

1. FC Nürnberg next travel to FC St. Pauli on 1 November 2026.

Dynamo Dresden next travel to Hannover 96 on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Nürnberg: FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for Dynamo Dresden: Hannover 96 v Dynamo Dresden, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: Max-Morlock-Stadion · Nuremberg
  • Referee: J. Wienefeld
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Nürnberg 4 · draws 1 · Dynamo Dresden 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Nürnberg 2W 3D 0L · Dynamo Dresden 3W 0D 2L

1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 23 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.25
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.75 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3 yellows
Referee · J. Wienefeld
22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1. FC Nürnberg for / againstLineDynamo Dresden for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
15.13 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: J. Wienefeld — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 22 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC NürnbergDynamo Dresden
56%Possession44%
2.23Expected goals (xG)1.96
16Shots10
7Shots on target1
6Shots off target7
3Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box8
5Corners5
1Offsides5
6Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves4
491Passes378
84%Pass accuracy82%

1. FC Nürnberg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Reichert9000000007.3
A. Kalogeropoulos9000000007
F. Otto9000000007.5
A. Marhiev9000101307.6
J. Fernandez9000221508.2
F. Becker9001004007.5
M. Zoma8530541508.3
P. Scobel8500201106.5
T. Janisch7200110006.6
J. Justvan7200000106.7
E. Porstner6600001207.2
Tobias Hess sub2400100006.2
G. Masouras sub1800100006.6
Rafael Lubach sub1800000307.2
A. Grimaldi sub1100000006.5
R. Ghrieb sub1100000006.7

Dynamo Dresden Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Schreiber9000000006.3
T. Keller90000001Y5.9
F. Muller9000000005.9
A. Rossipal9000002206.7
R. Wagner9000001206.2
N. Hauptmann9000002206.5
N. Rapp7800000206.6
B. Bobzien7800001106.7
J. Lemmer6100410206.3
V. Vermeij6100300006.2
J. Sterner4500000206.2
Simon Straudi sub45000003Y6.3
C. Daferner sub2900100006
K. Inanoglu sub2900000106.3
L. Herrmann sub1200000006.6
N. Fröling sub1200000206.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC NürnbergDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Dynamo DresdenWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1. FC Nürnberg 4 · 1 draw · Dynamo Dresden 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 1. FC Nürnberg 0–2 Dynamo Dresden
  • 2025-11-07 Dynamo Dresden 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg
  • 2022-03-20 FC Nurnberg 1–1 Dynamo Dresden
  • 2021-10-17 Dynamo Dresden 0–1 FC Nurnberg
  • 2019-12-20 FC Nurnberg 2–0 Dynamo Dresden
  • 2019-07-27 Dynamo Dresden 0–1 FC Nurnberg
League standing · 2026/27
1. FC Nürnberg#2 pos18 pts9 pl+9 GD
Dynamo Dresden#15 pos8 pts9 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
1. FC Nürnberg scored2.33
Dynamo Dresden scored1.22
1. FC Nürnberg conceded1.33
Dynamo Dresden conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Nürnberg and Dynamo Dresden?
In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 4, Dynamo Dresden won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Nürnberg and Dynamo Dresden?
Recent form — 1. FC Nürnberg 2W 3D 0L; Dynamo Dresden 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+