Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück result

Full-time · Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 12:30 BST · SchücoArena

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 03:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arminia Bielefeld · VfL Osnabrück

The model’s pre-match pick

Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück — Arminia Bielefeld won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.65 at Betvictor

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Arminia Bielefeld beat VfL Osnabrück 2–1 at SchücoArena in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 18 October. Arminia Bielefeld have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. VfL Osnabrück have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — VfL Osnabrück: R. Meissner (16’); Arminia Bielefeld: M. Bauer (26’, assisted by A. Sicker) and J. Rochelt (85’, assisted by M. Momuluh).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Rochelt’s goal on 85 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: VfL Osnabrück, from fewer shots (8 to 15), created the better chances, 1.41 xG to 1.04 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Michael Bacher, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arminia Bielefeld: Benjamin Bediako Boakye (38’), M. Großer (86’) and S. Russo (89’); VfL Osnabrück: R. Fabinski (2’).

What it changes

Arminia Bielefeld stay eighth after this result (eight league matches played). Arminia Bielefeld have scored 13 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arminia Bielefeld have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

VfL Osnabrück move down from eighth to 11th (eight league matches played). VfL Osnabrück have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfL Osnabrück have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Arminia Bielefeld are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. VfL Osnabrück are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Bauer (Arminia Bielefeld) 9.2, M. Wörl (Arminia Bielefeld) 7.5 and J. Rochelt (Arminia Bielefeld) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Arminia Bielefeld next host Eintracht Braunschweig on 30 October 2026.

VfL Osnabrück next travel to VfL Wolfsburg on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arminia Bielefeld: Arminia Bielefeld v Eintracht Braunschweig, Friday 30 October — the preview. Next for VfL Osnabrück: VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: SchücoArena · Bielefeld
Referee: Michael Bacher, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Arminia Bielefeld 1 · draws 1 · VfL Osnabrück 0 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Arminia Bielefeld 1W 2D 2L · VfL Osnabrück 1W 2D 2L

Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5.86 / 3

Corners

against 5.71 / 7.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.57 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 4.71 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.86 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.57 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

5.2 yellows

Referee · Michael Bacher, Germany

26.8 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Arminia Bielefeld for / against	Line	VfL Osnabrück for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.86 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.29 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.75 for · 19 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.57 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.29 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Michael Bacher, Germany — 5.2 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 26.8 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld Goalkeeper

Arminia Bielefeld — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Kersken	7	90630 min	213 /90	121.7 /90	00 /90

Arminia Bielefeld — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Kersken n 8	90	2.9 7/4

Arminia Bielefeld Defensive

Arminia Bielefeld — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Bauer	7	90630 min	131.9 /90	50.7 /90	40.6 /90	415.9 /90	101.4 /90	20.3 /90
M. Großer	7	90630 min	101.4 /90	81.1 /90	71 /90	395.6 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90
H. Koudossou	6	81486 min	50.9 /90	112 /90	00 /90	163 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
A. Sicker	5	76378 min	122.9 /90	92.1 /90	20.5 /90	204.8 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
T. Handwerker	3	81244 min	41.5 /90	51.8 /90	00 /90	51.8 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
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Arminia Bielefeld — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Bauer n 8	90	1.5 7/4	1 6/2	N. Wiemann
M. Großer n 8	90	1 5/1	1.3 6/3	J. Muller
J. Kersken n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
S. Russo n 8	87.6	1.5 7/4	0.8 4/1	—
J. Grodowski n 8	82.6	1.2 6/3	1.5 6/3	R. Meissner
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Arminia Bielefeld — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Bauer n 8	90	1.6 6/5
M. Großer n 8	90	1.3 3/2
S. Russo n 8	87.6	2.2 6/5
J. Grodowski n 8	82.6	0.4 3/0
M. Wörl n 8	74.1	1.7 6/2
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Arminia Bielefeld Attacking

Arminia Bielefeld — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Grodowski	7	84589 min	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	101.5 /90	81.2 /90	50.8 /90	91.4 /90
Benjamin Bediako Boakye	5	32161 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	63.4 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90	84.5 /90
D. Min	3	40121 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	21.5 /90
I. Young	3	37111 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	75.7 /90
Roberts Uldriķis	2	1734 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.6 /90	00 /90
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Arminia Bielefeld — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Großer n 8	90	0.9 5/1	0.3 1/1
M. Bauer n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
J. Kersken n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Russo n 8	87.6	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
J. Grodowski n 8	82.6	1.6 7/4	1.4 6/3
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Arminia Bielefeld — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Kersken n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Bauer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Großer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Russo n 8	87.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Grodowski n 8	82.6	1 4/2	0.1 1/0
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VfL Osnabrück

VfL Osnabrück Goalkeeper

VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Krumrey	8	91727 min	293.6 /90	162 /90	00 /90

VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Krumrey n 8	90.9	3.6 6/5

VfL Osnabrück Defensive

VfL Osnabrück — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Wiemann	8	91727 min	222.7 /90	111.4 /90	60.7 /90	354.3 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90
R. Fabinski	8	91727 min	263.2 /90	121.5 /90	81 /90	425.2 /90	50.6 /90	30.4 /90
J. Muller	8	91726 min	151.9 /90	151.9 /90	60.7 /90	303.7 /90	60.7 /90	00 /90
K. Faber	6	36213 min	52.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	83.4 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90
J. Abu Hanna	1	2525 min	13.6 /90	13.6 /90	00 /90	27.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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VfL Osnabrück — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	1.1 6/2	0.5 4/0	M. Bauer
R. Fabinski n 8	90.9	0.6 5/0	0.6 4/1	—
J. Krumrey n 8	90.9	0.1 1/0	0.2 1/1	—
J. Muller n 8	90.8	0.7 5/1	0.5 2/1	M. Großer
R. Meissner n 8	86.6	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1	J. Grodowski
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VfL Osnabrück — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Fabinski n 8	90.9	3.2 7/7
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	2.7 8/7
J. Muller n 8	90.8	1.9 7/4
R. Meissner n 8	86.6	0.8 4/1
B. Jacobsen n 8	84.9	1.9 5/3
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VfL Osnabrück Attacking

VfL Osnabrück — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Meissner	8	87693 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	182.3 /90	111.4 /90	70.9 /90	81 /90
A. Beck	6	90539 min	00 /90	20.3 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90	132.2 /90	61 /90
L. Munst	6	48287 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.6 /90	20.6 /90
Bernd Riesselmann	4	49196 min	00 /90	00 /90	62.8 /90	31.4 /90	20.9 /90	31.4 /90
D. Kopacz	2	63125 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	32.2 /90	32.2 /90
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VfL Osnabrück — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
R. Fabinski n 8	90.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Krumrey n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Muller n 8	90.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Meissner n 8	86.6	2.3 8/6	1.4 6/4
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VfL Osnabrück — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Fabinski n 8	90.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Krumrey n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Muller n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Meissner n 8	86.6	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Arminia Bielefeld		VfL Osnabrück
51%	Possession	49%
1.04	Expected goals (xG)	1.41
15	Shots	8
3	Shots on target	1
7	Shots off target	6
5	Blocked shots	1
10	Shots inside the box	3
6	Corners	0
1	Offsides	0
14	Fouls	11
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	1
511	Passes	505
76%	Pass accuracy	74%

Arminia Bielefeld Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Bauer	90	1	0	2	1	0	5	0	8
J. Kersken	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Wörl	90	0	0	2	1	2	3	0	7.2
A. Sicker	90	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
S. Russo	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	7
M. Großer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
J. Grodowski	88	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	6.2
L. Jensen	81	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.6
F. Hagmann	81	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
Benjamin Bediako Boakye	59	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
I. Young	59	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
J. Rochelt sub	31	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	8
M. Momuluh sub	31	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	6.7
Vincent Ocansey sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
H. Koudossou sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Felix sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

VfL Osnabrück Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Wiemann	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
R. Meissner	90	1	3	1	2	0	0	6.3
P. Kammerbauer	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
B. Jacobsen	90	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.3
R. Fabinski	90	0	0	0	0	4	Y	6.6
J. Krumrey	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Muller	89	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
J. Gómez	89	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
A. Beck	89	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.3
L. Flach	83	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Ismail Badjie	68	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
D. Kyereh sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
L. Raimund sub	14	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
T. Janotta sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
L. Munst sub	8	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
Bernd Riesselmann sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Arminia BielefeldLDLDW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

VfL OsnabrückLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Arminia Bielefeld 1 · 1 draw · VfL Osnabrück 0 · 1.5 goals/game

2020-05-17 Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Osnabruck
2019-10-07 VfL Osnabruck 0–1 Arminia Bielefeld

League standing · 2026/27

Arminia Bielefeld#9 pos11 pts9 pl-1 GD

VfL Osnabrück#8 pos11 pts9 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Arminia Bielefeld scored1.44

VfL Osnabrück scored1.56

Arminia Bielefeld conceded1.56

VfL Osnabrück conceded1.67

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Osnabrück?: In their last 2 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 1, VfL Osnabrück won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Osnabrück?: Recent form — Arminia Bielefeld 1W 2D 2L; VfL Osnabrück 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 03:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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