Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg result

Full-time · Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg

2. Bundesliga · Fri, 16 Oct 2026 17:30 BST · LEAG Energie Stadion

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 03:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Energie Cottbus · 1. FC Nürnberg

The model’s pre-match pick

Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg — this 2. Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.34 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg drew 1–1 at LEAG Energie Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 16 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Energie Cottbus, from fewer shots (14 to 19), created the better chances, 1.86 xG to 1.35 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Energie Cottbus: J. Butler (56’, assisted by L. Bittencourt); 1. FC Nürnberg: S. Mkrtchyan (79’, assisted by E. Porstner).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Mkrtchyan’s goal on 79 minutes.

Discipline

Felix Bickel, Germany showed five yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Energie Cottbus: Henry Rorig (45+1’), Tolcay Cigerci (68’) and Christian Kinsombi (90+1’); 1. FC Nürnberg: A. Marhiev (34’) and A. Kalogeropoulos (61’).

What it changes

Energie Cottbus move down from seventh to eighth (eight league matches played). Energie Cottbus have scored 17 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Energie Cottbus have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Nürnberg stay second after this result (eight league matches played). 1. FC Nürnberg have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Nürnberg have conceded 12 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Energie Cottbus are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. 1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions. Energie Cottbus have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. 1. FC Nürnberg have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, E. Porstner (1. FC Nürnberg) 6.7, L. Bittencourt (Energie Cottbus) 6.1 and King Samuel Manu (Energie Cottbus) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Energie Cottbus next host VfL Bochum on 30 October 2026.

1. FC Nürnberg next travel to FC St. Pauli on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Energie Cottbus: Energie Cottbus v VfL Bochum, Friday 30 October — the preview. Next for 1. FC Nürnberg: FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: LEAG Energie Stadion · Cottbus
Referee: Felix Bickel, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Energie Cottbus 1W 2D 2L · 1. FC Nürnberg 3W 2D 0L

Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.63

Goals

against 2.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

7.88 / 5.14

Corners

against 5.5 / 5.57 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.75 / 6.86

Shots on target

against 6.25 / 4.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.13 / 2.29

Cards

against 2.75 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4 yellows

Referee · Felix Bickel, Germany

20.33 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Energie Cottbus for / against	Line	1. FC Nürnberg for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.14 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	17 for · 17.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.29 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.86 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.63 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.71 for · 14.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.29 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Felix Bickel, Germany — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 20.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Energie Cottbus

Energie Cottbus Goalkeeper

Energie Cottbus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Lotka	8	90720 min	324 /90	121.5 /90	00 /90

Energie Cottbus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Lotka n 8	90	4 7/6

Energie Cottbus Defensive

Energie Cottbus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Luca Erlein	8	84675 min	111.5 /90	60.8 /90	81.1 /90	212.8 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
Henry Rorig	8	76604 min	71 /90	71 /90	71 /90	203 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90
King Samuel Manu	7	90630 min	111.6 /90	121.7 /90	71 /90	486.9 /90	81.1 /90	30.4 /90
Axel Borgmann	7	77540 min	101.7 /90	40.7 /90	50.8 /90	233.8 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90
Fousseny Doumbia	6	49291 min	20.6 /90	72.2 /90	10.3 /90	103.1 /90	82.5 /90	00 /90
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Energie Cottbus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Lotka n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Luca Erlein n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	A. Kalogeropoulos
Lukas Michelbrink n 8	83.9	0.8 5/1	0.5 4/0	J. Fernandez
Henry Rorig n 8	75.5	1 4/2	0.4 2/1	A. Kalogeropoulos
Tolcay Cigerci n 8	74.5	1.7 7/3	1.4 6/1	M. Zoma
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Energie Cottbus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Luca Erlein n 8	84.4	1.5 7/3
Lukas Michelbrink n 8	83.9	1.3 6/2
Henry Rorig n 8	75.5	1 4/2
Tolcay Cigerci n 8	74.5	0.6 4/0
J. Butler n 8	55.6	0.8 2/1
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Energie Cottbus Attacking

Energie Cottbus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Butler	8	56445 min	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	132.6 /90	91.8 /90	51 /90	102 /90
L. Copado	4	79315 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.4 /90	51.4 /90	20.6 /90	41.1 /90
Dmytro Bohdanov	4	26103 min	10.9 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	10.9 /90	21.7 /90	00 /90
Lukas Michelbrink	8	84671 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	50.7 /90	30.4 /90	91.2 /90	20.3 /90
Tolcay Cigerci	8	75596 min	40.6 /90	10.2 /90	203 /90	81.2 /90	192.9 /90	81.2 /90
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Energie Cottbus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lotka n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Luca Erlein n 8	84.4	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Lukas Michelbrink n 8	83.9	0.7 3/1	0.4 3/0
Henry Rorig n 8	75.5	1.3 6/2	0.1 1/0
Tolcay Cigerci n 8	74.5	3 7/6	1.2 5/2
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Energie Cottbus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Lotka n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Luca Erlein n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Lukas Michelbrink n 8	83.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Henry Rorig n 8	75.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tolcay Cigerci n 8	74.5	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
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1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg Goalkeeper

1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Reichert	7	90630 min	192.7 /90	101.4 /90	10.1 /90

1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Reichert n 8	90	3.1 5/5

1. FC Nürnberg Defensive

1. FC Nürnberg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Kalogeropoulos	7	90630 min	81.1 /90	121.7 /90	71 /90	233.3 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90
E. Porstner	7	85597 min	132 /90	40.6 /90	30.5 /90	284.2 /90	60.9 /90	20.3 /90
T. Janisch	7	73512 min	50.9 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	254.4 /90	81.4 /90	10.2 /90
F. Otto	6	88529 min	50.9 /90	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	284.8 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90
G. Masouras	5	24118 min	53.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	107.6 /90	10.8 /90	21.5 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Marhiev n 8	90	2.4 8/5	2.3 8/6	—
A. Kalogeropoulos n 7	90	1 3/2	0.6 2/2	Henry Rorig
J. Reichert n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
J. Fernandez n 8	88.4	1.9 8/5	1.1 6/3	Lukas Michelbrink
M. Zoma n 8	87.5	0.5 4/0	2.1 6/5	Tolcay Cigerci
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1. FC Nürnberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 8	90	2.5 7/5
A. Kalogeropoulos n 7	90	1.1 5/2
J. Fernandez n 8	88.4	1.5 5/3
M. Zoma n 8	87.5	1 3/2
E. Porstner n 8	77.4	1.9 7/5
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1. FC Nürnberg Attacking

1. FC Nürnberg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Scobel	7	83579 min	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	243.7 /90	132 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90
W. Bøving	3	2574 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
S. Haugen	2	1938 min	00 /90	00 /90	24.7 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
A. Marhiev	7	90630 min	30.4 /90	20.3 /90	91.3 /90	40.6 /90	131.9 /90	71 /90
J. Fernandez	7	88617 min	00 /90	30.4 /90	71 /90	30.4 /90	91.3 /90	91.3 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.5 3/1
A. Kalogeropoulos n 7	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Reichert n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fernandez n 8	88.4	1 5/3	0.5 3/1
M. Zoma n 8	87.5	2.8 8/7	2.1 8/5
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1. FC Nürnberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
J. Reichert n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Kalogeropoulos n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fernandez n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0.5 4/0
M. Zoma n 8	87.5	1.2 6/2	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Energie Cottbus		1. FC Nürnberg
38%	Possession	62%
1.86	Expected goals (xG)	1.35
14	Shots	19
5	Shots on target	5
6	Shots off target	8
3	Blocked shots	6
11	Shots inside the box	13
2	Corners	8
2	Offsides	1
9	Fouls	12
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	4
324	Passes	525
76%	Pass accuracy	86%

Energie Cottbus Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Lotka	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
Lucas Copado	90	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	6.9
Lukas Michelbrink	90	0	0	1	1	2	3	0	7.2
Moritz Hannemann	90	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	7.2
Luca Erlein	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Tolcay Cigerci	90	0	0	3	2	4	2	Y	7.2
King Samuel Manu	82	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.3
J. Butler	80	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	6.3
Henry Rorig	80	0	0	1	0	0	3	Y	6.3
L. Bittencourt	65	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	8.3
L. Guwara	65	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
D. Pelivan sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Fousseny Doumbia sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Dmytro Bohdanov sub	10	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
Christian Kinsombi sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
T. Campulka sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

1. FC Nürnberg Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
P. Scobel	90	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	6.2
E. Porstner	90	0	1	0	0	4	2	0	7.3
F. Otto	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.3
A. Marhiev	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	6.7
J. Justvan	90	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	6.9
T. Janisch	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
J. Fernandez	90	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	6.5
J. Reichert	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
A. Kalogeropoulos	66	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7.3
R. Ghrieb	65	0	0	1	1	3	1	0	6.9
M. Zoma	33	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
W. Bøving sub	57	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	7
Rafael Lubach sub	25	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
S. Mkrtchyan sub	24	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Energie CottbusLDWDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

1. FC NürnbergWDWWD

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Energie Cottbus#11 pos10 pts9 pl-1 GD

1. FC Nürnberg#2 pos18 pts9 pl+9 GD

Goals per game

Energie Cottbus scored1.89

1. FC Nürnberg scored2.33

Energie Cottbus conceded2

1. FC Nürnberg conceded1.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.34 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg?: Recent form — Energie Cottbus 1W 2D 2L; 1. FC Nürnberg 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 03:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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