Energie Cottbus v VfL Bochum prediction

2. Bundesliga · · LEAG Energie Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Energie Cottbus v VfL Bochum, 2. Bundesliga on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Energie Cottbus host VfL Bochum in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 30 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

VfL Bochum have scored six goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Energie Cottbus have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Energie Cottbus are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Energie Cottbus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Energie Cottbus’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Energie Cottbus have two wins, two draws and six defeats in their last 10 home matches in all competitions — 0.80 points per game, scoring 1.20 and conceding 2.50. Energie Cottbus have scored 17 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Energie Cottbus have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Five of VfL Bochum’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in nine of VfL Bochum’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, VfL Bochum have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.14. VfL Bochum have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Energie Cottbus (11th) and VfL Bochum (14th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Energie Cottbus the stronger side, 83 rating points above VfL Bochum (Energie Cottbus 1508, VfL Bochum 1425, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Energie Cottbus XI (4-2-3-1): M. Lotka, K. Manu, H. Rorig, L. Erlein, A. Borgmann, L. Michelbrink, T. Cigerci, L. Bittencourt, M. Hannemann, C. Kinsombi, J. Butler — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tolcay Cigerci (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and two assists) and King Samuel Manu (4.3 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Energie Cottbus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Energie Cottbus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tolcay Cigerci averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 776 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. King Samuel Manu averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 802 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances.

Predicted VfL Bochum XI (4-2-3-1): T. Horn, M. Steinwender, K. Mets, M. Wittek, S. Klaiber, T. Meyer, M. Pannewig, G. Holtmann, K. Miyoshi, B. Taz, P. Hofmann — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Hofmann (3.3 per match over 11 appearances, four goals) and M. Pannewig (3.2 per match over 10 appearances) have been VfL Bochum’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfL Bochum (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Hofmann averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 928 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. M. Pannewig averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 775 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · 2. Bundesliga · LEAG Energie Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Energie Cottbus 1W 3D 1L · VfL Bochum 1W 1D 3L

Energie Cottbus v VfL Bochum (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 2 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.88 / 5.63
Corners
against 6.75 / 5.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 6 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.88
Cards
against 2.75 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEnergie Cottbus for / againstLineVfL Bochum for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.25our book
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
16.88 for · 18.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.5 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 9 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Energie Cottbus

Energie Cottbus Goalkeeper

Energie Cottbus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Lotka1090900 min414.1 /90131.3 /9000 /90
Energie Cottbus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Lotka n 890
3.97/7

Energie Cottbus Defensive

Energie Cottbus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Luca Erlein1086855 min161.7 /9070.7 /9090.9 /90282.9 /9050.5 /9000 /90
Henry Rorig1077774 min111.3 /9091 /9080.9 /90252.9 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
King Samuel Manu989802 min141.6 /90202.2 /9091 /90627 /90101.1 /9040.4 /90
Fousseny Doumbia848382 min30.7 /9092.1 /9010.2 /90153.5 /9081.9 /9000 /90
Axel Borgmann777540 min101.7 /9040.7 /9050.8 /90233.8 /9061 /9010.2 /90
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Energie Cottbus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Lotka n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Luca Erlein n 884.4
0.74/1
0.54/0
—
Lukas Michelbrink n 885.8
0.74/1
0.75/0
—
Tolcay Cigerci n 875.4
1.26/2
0.64/0
—
Henry Rorig n 876.1
0.73/1
0.42/1
—
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Energie Cottbus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luca Erlein n 884.4
1.97/5
Lukas Michelbrink n 885.8
1.35/2
Tolcay Cigerci n 875.4
15/2
Henry Rorig n 876.1
1.55/3
King Samuel Manu n 889
1.58/3
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Energie Cottbus Attacking

Energie Cottbus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Butler958525 min50.9 /9010.2 /90162.7 /90101.7 /9050.9 /90101.7 /90
Dmytro Bohdanov537186 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
L. Copado479315 min10.3 /9000 /9051.4 /9051.4 /9020.6 /9041.1 /90
Lukas Michelbrink1085851 min10.1 /9010.1 /9060.6 /9040.4 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90
Tolcay Cigerci1078776 min40.5 /9020.2 /90263 /90111.3 /90252.9 /90111.3 /90
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Energie Cottbus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lotka n 890
00/0
00/0
Luca Erlein n 884.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
Lukas Michelbrink n 885.8
0.84/1
0.54/0
Tolcay Cigerci n 875.4
3.48/7
1.36/2
Henry Rorig n 876.1
1.36/2
0.11/0
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Energie Cottbus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Lotka n 890
00/0
00/0
Luca Erlein n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
Lukas Michelbrink n 885.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
Tolcay Cigerci n 875.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
Henry Rorig n 876.1
00/0
00/0
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VfL Bochum

VfL Bochum Goalkeeper

VfL Bochum — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Horn1191998 min322.9 /90100.9 /9000 /90
VfL Bochum — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Bochum before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Horn n 890
3.15/5

VfL Bochum Defensive

VfL Bochum — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Steinwender1191998 min121.1 /90121.1 /90141.3 /90423.8 /9070.6 /9020.2 /90
M. Wittek1187957 min100.9 /90111 /9040.4 /90413.9 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90
Karol Mets1187953 min70.7 /90161.5 /9030.3 /90272.5 /90100.9 /9010.1 /90
S. Klaiber780557 min81.3 /9081.3 /9020.3 /90203.2 /9071.1 /9030.5 /90
O. Olsen565324 min51.4 /90113.1 /9020.6 /90164.4 /9092.5 /9010.3 /90
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VfL Bochum — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Bochum before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Steinwender n 890
0.65/0
0.11/0
—
T. Horn n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Wittek n 886.9
0.94/2
1.76/5
—
Karol Mets n 890
1.17/2
0.32/0
—
P. Hofmann n 881.3
1.97/4
0.75/0
—
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VfL Bochum — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Bochum before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Steinwender n 890
0.95/2
M. Wittek n 886.9
0.96/1
Karol Mets n 890
0.43/0
P. Hofmann n 881.3
0.32/0
K. Miyoshi n 877.8
0.93/1
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VfL Bochum Attacking

VfL Bochum — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Hofmann1184928 min40.4 /9000 /90222.1 /90111.1 /9090.9 /9010.1 /90
Jarne Steuckers642250 min00 /9010.4 /9062.2 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9031.1 /90
Alessandro Crimaldi433131 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.4 /9010.7 /90
K. Miyoshi1179867 min20.2 /9010.1 /90171.8 /9070.7 /90141.5 /90101 /90
C. Rasmussen1155610 min20.3 /9000 /90121.8 /9071 /90111.6 /90101.5 /90
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VfL Bochum — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Bochum before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Steinwender n 890
0.43/0
00/0
T. Horn n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Wittek n 886.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
Karol Mets n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Hofmann n 881.3
2.18/3
0.74/1
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VfL Bochum — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Bochum before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Steinwender n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Horn n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Wittek n 886.9
00/0
0.11/0
Karol Mets n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Hofmann n 881.3
0.32/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Energie Cottbus v VfL Bochum — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Energie CottbusWDLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
VfL BochumLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Energie Cottbus#11 pos10 pts9 pl-1 GD
VfL Bochum#14 pos8 pts9 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Energie Cottbus scored1.89
VfL Bochum scored0.67
Energie Cottbus conceded2
VfL Bochum conceded1.11

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Energie Cottbus v VfL Bochum?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Energie Cottbus v VfL Bochum is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Energie Cottbus and VfL Bochum?
Recent form — Energie Cottbus 1W 3D 1L; VfL Bochum 1W 1D 3L.

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