Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth result

Full-time · Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 12:30 BST · Olympiastadion

Updated 25 Oct 2026, 03:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hertha BSC · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Hertha BSC won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.37 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Hertha BSC beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–1 at Olympiastadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 11 October. Hertha BSC have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Hertha BSC: M. Pedersen (65’, assisted by J. Brekalo) and P. Seguin (80’, assisted by J. Brekalo); SpVgg Greuther Fürth: J. Heuer (90’, assisted by A. Keller).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Pedersen’s goal on 65 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Hertha BSC 1.76, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.00, from 19 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Tobias Stieler, Germany showed two yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Hertha BSC: L. Gechter (60’) and J. Eitschberger (72’).

What it changes

Hertha BSC stay first after this result (seven league matches played). Hertha BSC have scored 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Hertha BSC have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth move down from 10th to 15th (seven league matches played). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored 12 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. SpVgg Greuther Fürth are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Brekalo (Hertha BSC) 9.0, J. Eitschberger (Hertha BSC) 7.6 and L. Gechter (Hertha BSC) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Hertha BSC are unbeaten in the last three meetings with SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Hertha BSC next travel to 1. FC Kaiserslautern on 31 October 2026.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth next host Holstein Kiel on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hertha BSC: 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: Olympiastadion · Berlin
Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Hertha BSC 4 · draws 1 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Hertha BSC 4W 1D 0L · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 2D 2L

Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.14 / 6.25

Corners

against 5.57 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.86 / 5.63

Shots on target

against 5.86 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.71 / 1.13

Cards

against 2.43 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Hertha BSC for / against	Line	SpVgg Greuther Fürth for / against
Goals scored	2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.14 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.71 for · 15.29 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	15.25 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.86 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.63 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.13 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.71 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany.

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC Goalkeeper

Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Gersbeck	6	91543 min	213.5 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90

Hertha BSC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Gersbeck n 8	90.4	2.9 6/4

Hertha BSC Defensive

Hertha BSC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Gechter	6	91543 min	122 /90	81.3 /90	50.8 /90	284.6 /90	91.5 /90	20.3 /90
N. Kolbe	6	91543 min	81.3 /90	122 /90	30.5 /90	396.5 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
J. Eitschberger	6	86513 min	152.6 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90	356.1 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90
M. Pedersen	4	85339 min	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.1 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90
D. Zeefuik	3	66197 min	52.3 /90	52.3 /90	10.5 /90	146.4 /90	41.8 /90	10.5 /90
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Hertha BSC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Gechter n 8	90.4	1.5 7/4	0.2 2/0	J. Heuer
N. Kolbe n 8	90.4	0.1 1/0	1.9 7/5	J. Heuer
M. Gersbeck n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
J. Brekalo n 8	82.3	1.6 7/3	0.8 4/1	F. Klaus
K. Sessa n 8	78.9	1.4 5/4	1.3 5/3	P. Will
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Hertha BSC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Gechter n 8	90.4	1.7 8/4
N. Kolbe n 8	90.4	1.2 7/3
J. Brekalo n 8	82.3	1 4/2
K. Sessa n 8	78.9	1.7 6/4
J. Eitschberger n 8	85.5	3 6/5
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Hertha BSC Attacking

Hertha BSC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Grønning	6	62370 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	133.2 /90	41 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
Oluwaseun Adewumi	5	49246 min	31.1 /90	00 /90	72.6 /90	51.8 /90	10.4 /90	62.2 /90
L. Schuler	4	2496 min	00 /90	10.9 /90	43.8 /90	21.9 /90	21.9 /90	10.9 /90
M. Winkler	2	85170 min	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	42.1 /90	21.1 /90	52.6 /90	31.6 /90
G. Nilsson	2	3467 min	00 /90	00 /90	68.1 /90	22.7 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90
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Hertha BSC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Gechter n 8	90.4	0.6 4/1	0.2 2/0
N. Kolbe n 8	90.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Gersbeck n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Brekalo n 8	82.3	1.2 5/2	0.8 4/2
K. Sessa n 8	78.9	1.7 7/5	0.3 2/0
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Hertha BSC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hertha BSC before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Gechter n 8	90.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Gersbeck n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Kolbe n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Brekalo n 8	82.3	0.5 3/1	0.4 3/0
K. Sessa n 8	78.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goalkeeper

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Florian Hellstern	7	90630 min	263.7 /90	131.9 /90	00 /90

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Florian Hellstern n 7	90	3.7 6/6

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Defensive

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Itter	7	90630 min	213 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90	365.1 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
J. Heuer	7	90630 min	81.1 /90	121.7 /90	60.9 /90	263.7 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90
K. Keresztes	6	81486 min	50.9 /90	112 /90	81.5 /90	163 /90	61.1 /90	20.4 /90
J. Dehm	5	77384 min	51.2 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	143.3 /90	61.4 /90	00 /90
Lukas Reich	4	53210 min	104.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	125.1 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Will n 8	90	0.9 4/3	1.1 5/2	K. Sessa
J. Heuer n 7	90	0.7 4/1	0.4 2/1	N. Kolbe
G. Itter n 8	89.6	0.5 4/0	0.6 3/2	—
Florian Hellstern n 7	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
F. Klaus n 8	88.3	0.5 4/0	2.5 8/5	J. Brekalo
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Itter n 8	89.6	3.5 7/6
P. Will n 8	90	2.1 8/7
J. Heuer n 7	90	1.1 4/3
F. Klaus n 8	88.3	0.4 3/0
Ole Pohlmann n 7	80.1	1.9 6/4
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth Attacking

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Klaus	7	88616 min	50.7 /90	10.1 /90	213.1 /90	162.3 /90	111.6 /90	60.9 /90
D. Srbeny	7	62433 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	102.1 /90	30.6 /90
O. Sillah	4	41165 min	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	63.3 /90	52.7 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90
J. Siebatcheu	2	4590 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90
P. Will	7	90630 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90	91.3 /90	40.6 /90
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Heuer n 7	90	0.6 2/2	0.6 2/2
G. Itter n 8	89.6	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0
P. Will n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Florian Hellstern n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Klaus n 8	88.3	2.8 8/6	2.2 7/4
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Itter n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
P. Will n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Heuer n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Florian Hellstern n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Klaus n 8	88.3	0.6 3/2	0.3 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hertha BSC		SpVgg Greuther Fürth
42%	Possession	58%
1.76	Expected goals (xG)	1.00
19	Shots	17
10	Shots on target	5
7	Shots off target	9
2	Blocked shots	3
12	Shots inside the box	10
5	Corners	12
1	Offsides	4
10	Fouls	8
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	8
338	Passes	454
77%	Pass accuracy	82%

Hertha BSC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Gersbeck	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
P. Seguin	90	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	8.2
N. Kolbe	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
L. Gechter	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	Y	7
J. Eitschberger	90	0	0	1	0	3	7	Y	7.7
J. Brekalo	90	0	2	1	1	7	0	0	8.3
K. Sessa	87	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	6.6
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson	87	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.3
M. Pedersen	76	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.7
Oluwaseun Adewumi	64	0	0	4	3	2	0	0	7.2
L. Schuler	64	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
G. Nilsson sub	26	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	7.2
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht sub	26	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	7
D. Zeefuik sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
P. Klemens sub	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	–
Soufian Gouram sub	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
P. Will	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.7
F. Klaus	90	0	0	3	1	4	0	7.2
J. Heuer	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	7.7
J. Dehm	90	0	0	2	0	1	1	6.5
Hendry Aron Blank	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	6.3
Florian Hellstern	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
O. Sillah	81	0	0	4	2	1	0	6.3
Lukas Reich	81	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.3
Ole Pohlmann	81	0	0	0	0	4	3	6.3
S. Banse	75	0	0	1	1	1	2	7.2
S. Appelkamp	66	0	0	1	0	1	0	6.7
F. Ademi sub	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
J. Siebatcheu sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Keller sub	9	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
D. Srbeny sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Olgherto Balliu sub	9	0	0	1	0	1	1	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Hertha BSCDWWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

SpVgg Greuther FürthLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Hertha BSC 4 · 1 draw · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 · 3.5 goals/game

2026-05-10 Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2025-12-12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–3 Hertha BSC
2025-05-04 Hertha BSC 1–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2024-12-07 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–1 Hertha BSC
2024-02-11 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–2 Hertha Berlin
2023-08-26 Hertha Berlin 5–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth

League standing · 2026/27

Hertha BSC#1 pos25 pts9 pl+12 GD

SpVgg Greuther Fürth#12 pos9 pts9 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Hertha BSC scored2.22

SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.33

Hertha BSC conceded0.89

SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded1.78

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.37 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: In their last 6 meetings, Hertha BSC won 4, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: Recent form — Hertha BSC 4W 1D 0L; SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 25 Oct 2026, 03:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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