Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld prediction

2. Bundesliga · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 12:00 GMT · Holstein-Stadion

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 11:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Holstein Kiel · Arminia Bielefeld · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld, 2. Bundesliga on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 12:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Holstein Kiel host Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 12:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Holstein Kiel or Arminia Bielefeld (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Arminia Bielefeld are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Holstein Kiel, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Six of Holstein Kiel’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Holstein Kiel’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Holstein Kiel have two wins, five draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.13. Holstein Kiel have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Holstein Kiel have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Arminia Bielefeld’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Arminia Bielefeld’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Arminia Bielefeld have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.88. Arminia Bielefeld have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arminia Bielefeld have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Holstein Kiel are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Holstein Kiel (14th) and Arminia Bielefeld (seventh) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arminia Bielefeld the stronger side, 64 rating points above Holstein Kiel (Arminia Bielefeld 1594, Holstein Kiel 1530, after at least 182 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 January 2026, finished Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 Holstein Kiel.

Team news

Predicted Holstein Kiel XI (4-5-1): T. Weiner, H. Sekine, N. Madsen, L. Parduzi, I. Nekić, J. Meffert, A. Kaprálik, J. Therkelsen, G. Balzi, K. Davidsen, P. Harres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Harres (4.9 per match over 11 appearances, six goals and three assists) and G. Balzi (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, two goals) have been Holstein Kiel’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Holstein Kiel (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Harres averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 1018 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. G. Balzi averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 789 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Arminia Bielefeld XI (5-3-2): J. Kersken, M. Bauer, M. Großer, A. Sicker, F. Hagmann, H. Koudossou, S. Russo, M. Wörl, L. Jensen, J. Grodowski, M. Momuluh — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Grodowski (4.9 per match over 11 appearances, eight goals and one assist) and A. Sicker (3.9 per match over nine appearances, two assists) have been Arminia Bielefeld’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arminia Bielefeld (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Grodowski averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 972 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. A. Sicker averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 700 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 12:00 GMT · 2. Bundesliga · Holstein-Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Holstein Kiel 0 · draws 1 · Arminia Bielefeld 5 · 3.83 goals/game
Recent form: Holstein Kiel 1W 3D 1L · Arminia Bielefeld 3W 1D 1L

Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.5

Goals

against 1 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.71 / 4.88

Corners

against 5.14 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

2.57 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 4.29 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

3.71 / 2.13

Cards

against 2.71 / 2 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Holstein Kiel for / against	Line	Arminia Bielefeld for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.71 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 14.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.5 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.57 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.14 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.71 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel Goalkeeper

Holstein Kiel — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Weiner	9	90810 min	273 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90
L. Rothenhagen	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Holstein Kiel — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Weiner n 8	90	3.2 7/6

Holstein Kiel Defensive

Holstein Kiel — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Sekine	10	90899 min	272.7 /90	121.2 /90	20.2 /90	585.8 /90	50.5 /90	30.3 /90
D. Zec	9	83744 min	91.1 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	354.2 /90	141.7 /90	30.4 /90
I. Nekić	7	90630 min	142 /90	121.7 /90	30.4 /90	344.9 /90	71 /90	30.4 /90
Leon Parduzi	7	78543 min	162.7 /90	91.5 /90	50.8 /90	386.3 /90	71.2 /90	30.5 /90
N. Madsen	5	79393 min	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90	143.2 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90
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Holstein Kiel — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Sekine n 8	89.9	0.6 5/0	1 5/2	—
P. Harres n 8	89.8	1.1 4/2	1.1 5/2	—
J. Meffert n 8	87	0.8 4/2	0.9 5/2	—
A. Kaprálik n 8	83.1	1.6 6/5	2.3 7/6	—
T. Weiner n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Holstein Kiel — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Sekine n 8	89.9	3 7/6
P. Harres n 8	89.8	0.3 2/0
J. Meffert n 8	87	1.4 5/4
A. Kaprálik n 8	83.1	0.8 3/2
D. Zec n 8	81.8	1 6/1
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Holstein Kiel Attacking

Holstein Kiel — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Harres	10	90898 min	60.6 /90	30.3 /90	303 /90	141.4 /90	111.1 /90	60.6 /90
G. de Regt	6	45271 min	00 /90	00 /90	31 /90	00 /90	72.3 /90	41.3 /90
F. Alidou	2	4488 min	00 /90	00 /90	44.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
G. Kvilitaia	2	3876 min	11.2 /90	00 /90	44.7 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90
S. Skrzybski	1	2121 min	00 /90	00 /90	28.6 /90	14.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Holstein Kiel — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Sekine n 8	89.9	0.9 4/3	0 0/0
P. Harres n 8	89.8	3.1 8/7	1.4 7/4
J. Meffert n 8	87	0.5 2/2	0 0/0
A. Kaprálik n 8	83.1	2 7/5	0.3 2/0
T. Weiner n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Holstein Kiel — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Sekine n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Harres n 8	89.8	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. Meffert n 8	87	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Kaprálik n 8	83.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
T. Weiner n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld Goalkeeper

Arminia Bielefeld — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Kersken	10	90900 min	242.4 /90	141.4 /90	00 /90

Arminia Bielefeld — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Kersken n 8	90	2.4 6/3

Arminia Bielefeld Defensive

Arminia Bielefeld — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Bauer	10	90900 min	191.9 /90	80.8 /90	50.5 /90	535.3 /90	101 /90	20.2 /90
M. Großer	10	90900 min	101 /90	121.2 /90	90.9 /90	535.3 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90
A. Sicker	8	78625 min	202.9 /90	131.9 /90	30.4 /90	365.2 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
H. Koudossou	7	80558 min	91.5 /90	111.8 /90	10.2 /90	223.5 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
F. Hagmann	5	65324 min	51.4 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	92.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Arminia Bielefeld — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Großer n 8	90	1.3 6/2	1.6 7/5	—
M. Bauer n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.9 5/2	—
J. Kersken n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
S. Russo n 8	90	1.5 7/4	0.4 3/0	—
J. Grodowski n 8	84	1.3 6/3	1.3 6/2	—
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Arminia Bielefeld — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Bauer n 8	90	1.9 6/4
M. Großer n 8	90	1.3 3/2
S. Russo n 8	90	1.1 5/2
J. Grodowski n 8	84	0.3 2/0
M. Wörl n 8	80.6	2.1 7/4
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Arminia Bielefeld Attacking

Arminia Bielefeld — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Grodowski	10	85852 min	70.7 /90	10.1 /90	171.8 /90	111.2 /90	80.8 /90	121.3 /90
Benjamin Bediako Boakye	7	34238 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	72.6 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	93.4 /90
D. Min	3	40121 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	21.5 /90
Roberts Uldriķis	2	1734 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.6 /90	00 /90
S. Russo	10	89885 min	00 /90	00 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90
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Arminia Bielefeld — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bauer n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
M. Großer n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. Kersken n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Russo n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
J. Grodowski n 8	84	1.6 7/4	0.8 5/1
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Arminia Bielefeld — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arminia Bielefeld before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Bauer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Kersken n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Großer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Russo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Grodowski n 8	84	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Holstein KielDLDWD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Arminia BielefeldDWWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Holstein Kiel 0 · 1 draw · Arminia Bielefeld 5 · 3.83 goals/game

2026-01-23 Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 Holstein Kiel
2025-08-10 Holstein Kiel 0–2 Arminia Bielefeld
2023-04-02 Holstein Kiel 2–3 Arminia Bielefeld
2022-09-17 Arminia Bielefeld 4–2 Holstein Kiel
2020-05-30 Holstein Kiel 1–2 Arminia Bielefeld
2019-11-03 Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 Holstein Kiel

League standing · 2026/27

Holstein Kiel#14 pos8 pts9 pl-1 GD

Arminia Bielefeld#7 pos14 pts10 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Holstein Kiel scored1.11

Arminia Bielefeld scored1.6

Holstein Kiel conceded1.22

Arminia Bielefeld conceded1.5

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld?: In their last 6 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 0, Arminia Bielefeld won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld?: Recent form — Holstein Kiel 1W 3D 1L; Arminia Bielefeld 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 11:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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