Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg result
Team pages: Karlsruher SC · VfL Wolfsburg
The model’s pre-match pick
Karlsruher SC 2–5 VfL Wolfsburg — VfL Wolfsburg won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
The result
VfL Wolfsburg won 5–2 at BBBank Wildpark in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 29 August.
VfL Wolfsburg have scored 25 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).
The goals
VfL Wolfsburg led 3–2 at half-time. The goals — Karlsruher SC: S. Fukuda (7’, assisted by M. Franke) and M. Wanitzek (12’, assisted by Louey Ben Farhat); VfL Wolfsburg: A. Bernhardsson (10’), F. Reese (28’, assisted by J. Mæhle; 90’, assisted by A. Besio), Vinicius Souza (45’, assisted by J. Mæhle) and H. Wahl (88’, assisted by R. Glatzel).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Vinicius Souza’s goal on 45 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Karlsruher SC 1.59, VfL Wolfsburg 3.03, from 18 shots to 27 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Lars Erbst, Germany showed one yellow card — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — VfL Wolfsburg: Vinicius Souza (80’).
What it changes
Karlsruher SC move down from third to sixth (three league matches played). Karlsruher SC have scored 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Karlsruher SC have conceded 21 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.
VfL Wolfsburg move up from fourth to second (three league matches played). VfL Wolfsburg have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).
VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Reese (VfL Wolfsburg) 16.0, J. Mæhle (VfL Wolfsburg) 11.8 and M. Wanitzek (Karlsruher SC) 6.8 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or VfL Wolfsburg, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).
Next up
Karlsruher SC next travel to VfL Bochum on 8 November 2026.
VfL Wolfsburg next travel to Hertha BSC on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Karlsruher SC: VfL Bochum v Karlsruher SC, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for VfL Wolfsburg: Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Karlsruher SC 2–5 VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga
- Venue: BBBank Wildpark · Karlsruhe
- Referee: Lars Erbst, Germany
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Karlsruher SC 2W 2D 1L · VfL Wolfsburg 1W 3D 1L
Karlsruher SC 2–5 VfL Wolfsburg (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Karlsruher SC for / against | Line | VfL Wolfsburg for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.83 for · 3.83 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.25 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.17 for · 10.33 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.17 for · 3.33 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11 for · 8.5 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.33 for · 1.67 against n 6 Last 5 |
Referee: Lars Erbst, Germany — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.4 fouls over 5 matches.
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Karlsruher SC
Karlsruher SC Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Bernat | 3 | 90270 min | 82.7 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| H. Bernat n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
Karlsruher SC Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kobald | 3 | 90270 min | 62 /90 | 62 /90 | 31 /90 | 165.3 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Jung | 3 | 90270 min | 62 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 124 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Ofli | 3 | 80239 min | 103.8 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 166 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 20.8 /90 |
| M. Franke | 3 | 75225 min | 31.2 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 166.4 /90 | 52 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Viktor Bergh | 2 | 2040 min | 00 /90 | 12.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 36.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kobald n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.6 | K. Fischer |
| S. Jung n 8 | 78.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | K. Fischer |
| M. Wanitzek n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 2 | E. Rexhbeçaj |
| H. Bernat n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 | — |
| Rafael Pinto Pedrosa n 8 | 61.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Kobald n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| S. Jung n 8 | 78.9 | 1.1 |
| M. Wanitzek n 8 | 90 | 1 |
| Rafael Pinto Pedrosa n 8 | 61.1 | 2 |
| D. H. Zor n 3 | 80.3 | 0.7 |
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Karlsruher SC Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Broschinski | 3 | 75224 min | 20.8 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 83.2 /90 | 62.4 /90 | 62.4 /90 | 31.2 /90 |
| John Davis Meyer | 1 | 4646 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 12 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Wanitzek | 3 | 90270 min | 10.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 82.7 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 103.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| Rafael Pinto Pedrosa | 3 | 86257 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 31.1 /90 |
| D. H. Zor | 3 | 80241 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 20.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wanitzek n 8 | 90 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| S. Jung n 8 | 78.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| C. Kobald n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| H. Bernat n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Rafael Pinto Pedrosa n 8 | 61.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wanitzek n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| C. Kobald n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| S. Jung n 8 | 78.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| H. Bernat n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Rafael Pinto Pedrosa n 8 | 61.1 | 0.2 | 0 |
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VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Zieliński | 2 | 93185 min | 52.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
VfL Wolfsburg Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Wahl | 2 | 93185 min | 31.5 /90 | 73.4 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 73.4 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Kumbedi | 2 | 93185 min | 31.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 83.9 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| E. Rexhbeçaj | 2 | 86171 min | 73.7 /90 | 31.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 84.2 /90 | 52.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Fischer | 1 | 9595 min | 65.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 87.6 /90 | 21.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Angely | 1 | 9595 min | 10.9 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.9 /90 | 21.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kumbedi n 8 | 80.1 | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| Vinicius Souza n 8 | 84.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | — |
| E. Rexhbeçaj n 5 | 79.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | M. Wanitzek |
| K. Shiogai n 8 | 28.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 | — |
| K. Fischer n 8 | 67.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | S. Jung |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Kumbedi n 8 | 80.1 | 2.1 |
| E. Rexhbeçaj n 5 | 79.2 | 3.4 |
| Vinicius Souza n 8 | 84.6 | 3.2 |
| K. Shiogai n 8 | 28.4 | 2.4 |
| K. Fischer n 8 | 67.4 | 3.3 |
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VfL Wolfsburg Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hornby | 2 | 57113 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 32.4 /90 | 21.6 /90 | 21.6 /90 | 10.8 /90 |
| R. Glatzel | 2 | 57113 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.6 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Shiogai | 2 | 2243 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 12.1 /90 | 12.1 /90 | 12.1 /90 | 24.2 /90 |
| A. Besio | 1 | 2727 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 13.3 /90 | 13.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| F. Reese | 2 | 93185 min | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 62.9 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 62.9 /90 | 41.9 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kumbedi n 8 | 80.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Vinicius Souza n 8 | 84.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| E. Rexhbeçaj n 5 | 79.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| K. Shiogai n 8 | 28.4 | 2.4 | 2 |
| K. Fischer n 8 | 67.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kumbedi n 8 | 80.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Vinicius Souza n 8 | 84.6 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Rexhbeçaj n 5 | 79.2 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Shiogai n 8 | 28.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| K. Fischer n 8 | 67.4 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Karlsruher SC | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Possession | 58% |
| 1.59 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.03 |
| 18 | Shots | 27 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 11 |
| 9 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 12 | Shots inside the box | 19 |
| 10 | Corners | 8 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 326 | Passes | 473 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
Karlsruher SC Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Bergh | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.4 |
| M. Franke | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| C. Kobald | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 |
| D. Ofli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| M. Wanitzek | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| H. Bernat | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Jung | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5.8 |
| K. Wiethaup | 58 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 |
| Louey Ben Farhat | 58 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Santeri Väänänen | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| S. Fukuda | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| J. D. Meyer | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Egloff | 32 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| D. H. Zor | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| N. Eichinger | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Paul Scholl | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.4 |
| John Davis Meyer sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| P. Scholl sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 |
VfL Wolfsburg Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Wahl | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| M. Angely | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Fischer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Mæhle | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8.3 |
| F. Reese | 90 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9.7 |
| Vinicius Souza | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.9 |
| J. Zieliński | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Bernhardsson | 79 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| E. Rexhbeçaj | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Damar | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Shiogai | 66 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Glatzel | 24 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| M. Svanberg | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Y. Gerhardt | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| A. Besio | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg was Draw or Away (best price 1.33 at Betano).
- What is the recent form of Karlsruher SC and VfL Wolfsburg?
- Recent form — Karlsruher SC 2W 2D 1L; VfL Wolfsburg 1W 3D 1L.
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