Karlsruher SCVfL Wolfsburg

Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg result

Full-time · Karlsruher SC 2–5 VfL Wolfsburg

2. Bundesliga · · BBBank Wildpark

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Karlsruher SC 2–5 VfL Wolfsburg — VfL Wolfsburg won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

VfL Wolfsburg won 5–2 at BBBank Wildpark in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 29 August.

VfL Wolfsburg have scored 25 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

The goals

VfL Wolfsburg led 3–2 at half-time. The goals — Karlsruher SC: S. Fukuda (7’, assisted by M. Franke) and M. Wanitzek (12’, assisted by Louey Ben Farhat); VfL Wolfsburg: A. Bernhardsson (10’), F. Reese (28’, assisted by J. Mæhle; 90’, assisted by A. Besio), Vinicius Souza (45’, assisted by J. Mæhle) and H. Wahl (88’, assisted by R. Glatzel).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Vinicius Souza’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Karlsruher SC 1.59, VfL Wolfsburg 3.03, from 18 shots to 27 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Lars Erbst, Germany showed one yellow card — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — VfL Wolfsburg: Vinicius Souza (80’).

What it changes

Karlsruher SC move down from third to sixth (three league matches played). Karlsruher SC have scored 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Karlsruher SC have conceded 21 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

VfL Wolfsburg move up from fourth to second (three league matches played). VfL Wolfsburg have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Reese (VfL Wolfsburg) 16.0, J. Mæhle (VfL Wolfsburg) 11.8 and M. Wanitzek (Karlsruher SC) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or VfL Wolfsburg, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Karlsruher SC next travel to VfL Bochum on 8 November 2026.

VfL Wolfsburg next travel to Hertha BSC on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Karlsruher SC: VfL Bochum v Karlsruher SC, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for VfL Wolfsburg: Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Karlsruher SC 2–5 VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: BBBank Wildpark · Karlsruhe
  • Referee: Lars Erbst, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Karlsruher SC 2W 2D 1L · VfL Wolfsburg 1W 3D 1L

Karlsruher SC 2–5 VfL Wolfsburg (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.75 / 6.83
Corners
against 3.25 / 3.83 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5.38 / 6.17
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.33 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2 / 1.33
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4 yellows
Referee · Lars Erbst, Germany
24.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKarlsruher SC for / againstLineVfL Wolfsburg for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.25our book
1 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.83 for · 3.83 against n 6
Shots
14.25 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
17.17 for · 10.33 against n 6
Shots on target
5.38 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.17 for · 3.33 against n 6
Fouls committed
11 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 8.5 against n 6
Cards shown
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.33 for · 1.67 against n 6

Referee: Lars Erbst, Germany — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Karlsruher SC

Karlsruher SC Goalkeeper

Karlsruher SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
H. Bernat390270 min82.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Karlsruher SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Karlsruher SC before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
H. Bernat n 890
3.28/3

Karlsruher SC Defensive

Karlsruher SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Kobald390270 min62 /9062 /9031 /90165.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
S. Jung390270 min62 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90124 /9020.7 /9000 /90
D. Ofli380239 min103.8 /9010.4 /9000 /90166 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90
M. Franke375225 min31.2 /9020.8 /9000 /90166.4 /9052 /9000 /90
Viktor Bergh22040 min00 /9012.3 /9000 /9036.8 /9000 /9000 /90
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Karlsruher SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Karlsruher SC before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Kobald n 890
15/3
0.63/1
K. Fischer
S. Jung n 878.9
0.62/2
0.74/1
K. Fischer
M. Wanitzek n 890
0.42/1
27/6
E. Rexhbeçaj
H. Bernat n 890
0.11/0
00/0
—
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa n 861.1
0.73/1
0.94/1
—
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Karlsruher SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Karlsruher SC before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Kobald n 890
1.45/3
S. Jung n 878.9
1.14/3
M. Wanitzek n 890
17/1
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa n 861.1
26/2
D. H. Zor n 380.3
0.71/1
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Karlsruher SC Attacking

Karlsruher SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Broschinski375224 min20.8 /9010.4 /9083.2 /9062.4 /9062.4 /9031.2 /90
John Davis Meyer14646 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
M. Wanitzek390270 min10.3 /9020.7 /9082.7 /9041.3 /90103.3 /9010.3 /90
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa386257 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9031.1 /90
D. H. Zor380241 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
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Karlsruher SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Karlsruher SC before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Wanitzek n 890
2.68/5
1.47/3
S. Jung n 878.9
0.63/1
0.32/0
C. Kobald n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
H. Bernat n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa n 861.1
0.73/1
0.42/0
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Karlsruher SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Karlsruher SC before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Wanitzek n 890
0.32/0
0.31/1
C. Kobald n 890
0.11/0
00/0
S. Jung n 878.9
0.11/0
00/0
H. Bernat n 890
00/0
00/0
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa n 861.1
0.21/0
00/0
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VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Goalkeeper

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Zieliński293185 min52.4 /9000 /9000 /90

VfL Wolfsburg Defensive

VfL Wolfsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Wahl293185 min31.5 /9073.4 /9010.5 /9073.4 /9010.5 /9000 /90
S. Kumbedi293185 min31.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9083.9 /9031.5 /9000 /90
E. Rexhbeçaj286171 min73.7 /9031.6 /9000 /9084.2 /9052.6 /9000 /90
K. Fischer19595 min65.7 /9000 /9000 /9087.6 /9021.9 /9000 /90
M. Angely19595 min10.9 /9010.9 /9000 /9021.9 /9021.9 /9000 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Kumbedi n 880.1
15/1
0.75/0
—
Vinicius Souza n 884.6
2.37/4
0.97/0
—
E. Rexhbeçaj n 579.2
1.43/2
1.44/1
M. Wanitzek
K. Shiogai n 828.4
3.27/1
0.41/0
—
K. Fischer n 867.4
0.73/1
0.53/0
S. Jung
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VfL Wolfsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Kumbedi n 880.1
2.16/5
E. Rexhbeçaj n 579.2
3.45/5
Vinicius Souza n 884.6
3.28/7
K. Shiogai n 828.4
2.44/2
K. Fischer n 867.4
3.35/5
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VfL Wolfsburg Attacking

VfL Wolfsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Hornby257113 min00 /9000 /9032.4 /9021.6 /9021.6 /9010.8 /90
R. Glatzel257113 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /90
K. Shiogai22243 min00 /9000 /9012.1 /9012.1 /9012.1 /9024.2 /90
A. Besio12727 min00 /9000 /9013.3 /9013.3 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Reese293185 min10.5 /9000 /9062.9 /9010.5 /9062.9 /9041.9 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Kumbedi n 880.1
0.11/0
00/0
Vinicius Souza n 884.6
0.74/1
0.11/0
E. Rexhbeçaj n 579.2
0.51/1
0.21/0
K. Shiogai n 828.4
2.44/2
23/2
K. Fischer n 867.4
0.32/0
00/0
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VfL Wolfsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Kumbedi n 880.1
00/0
00/0
Vinicius Souza n 884.6
00/0
00/0
E. Rexhbeçaj n 579.2
00/0
00/0
K. Shiogai n 828.4
0.41/0
00/0
K. Fischer n 867.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Karlsruher SCVfL Wolfsburg
42%Possession58%
1.59Expected goals (xG)3.03
18Shots27
5Shots on target11
9Shots off target6
4Blocked shots10
12Shots inside the box19
10Corners8
3Offsides0
13Fouls14
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves3
326Passes473
79%Pass accuracy86%

Karlsruher SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Viktor Bergh9000201206.4
M. Franke9001301005.9
C. Kobald9000000005.5
D. Ofli9000000105.9
M. Wanitzek9010324007.6
H. Bernat9000000006.5
S. Jung8200003105.8
K. Wiethaup5800200005.8
Louey Ben Farhat5801321107.4
Santeri Väänänen5800000206
S. Fukuda4510110107.7
J. D. Meyer4500100106.2
L. Egloff3200400005.6
D. H. Zor3200002106.4
N. Eichinger3200001006.1
Paul Scholl800000005.4
John Davis Meyer sub4500100106.3
P. Scholl sub800000005.3

VfL Wolfsburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Wahl9010110107.3
M. Angely9000200306.9
K. Fischer9000311206.9
J. Mæhle9002004408.3
F. Reese9020526209.7
Vinicius Souza90101110Y7.9
J. Zieliński9000000006.6
A. Bernhardsson7910523008.2
E. Rexhbeçaj7200002006.6
M. Damar6600111106.3
K. Shiogai6600310006.5
R. Glatzel2401312007.3
M. Svanberg2400112006.4
Y. Gerhardt1800000006
A. Besio1101201007.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Karlsruher SCDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
VfL WolfsburgDLDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Karlsruher SC#13 pos11 pts10 pl-8 GD
VfL Wolfsburg#3 pos19 pts10 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Karlsruher SC scored1.3
VfL Wolfsburg scored2.5
Karlsruher SC conceded2.1
VfL Wolfsburg conceded1.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg was Draw or Away (best price 1.33 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Karlsruher SC and VfL Wolfsburg?
Recent form — Karlsruher SC 2W 2D 1L; VfL Wolfsburg 1W 3D 1L.

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