SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel result

Full-time · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 Holstein Kiel

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 24 Aug 2025 12:30 BST · Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Holstein Kiel · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 Holstein Kiel — Holstein Kiel won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Holstein Kiel won 2–0 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 24 August.

The goals

Holstein Kiel led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Holstein Kiel: J. Therkelsen (31’, assisted by P. Harres) and J. Tolkin (90’, assisted by J. Krumrey).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Therkelsen’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.00, Holstein Kiel 0.00, from 15 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Bickel showed 11 yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SpVgg Greuther Fürth: J. Dehm (25’), B. Hrgota (56’) and Pelle Boevink (90+1’); Holstein Kiel: D. Zec (22’), M. Komenda (59’), Magnus Knudsen (62’), A. Bernhardsson (73’), L. Rosenboom (81’), M. Müller (89’), S. Schwab (90+1’) and K. Davidsen (90+4’).

What it changes

SpVgg Greuther Fürth move down from ninth to 13th (three league matches played).

Holstein Kiel move up from 17th to 11th (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Tolkin (Holstein Kiel) 6.2, J. Therkelsen (Holstein Kiel) 5.9 and A. Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

SpVgg Greuther Fürth next travel to VfL Osnabrück on 25 October 2026.

Holstein Kiel next host Dynamo Dresden on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: VfL Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Holstein Kiel: Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer · Fürth
Referee: F. Bickel
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3 · draws 1 · Holstein Kiel 2 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3W 1D 1L · Holstein Kiel 1W 0D 4L

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 Holstein Kiel (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

8.67 / 5.63

Corners

against 5 / 7 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 3 matches

5.67 / 5.38

Shots on target

against 3 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1.33 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.33 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

2.86 yellows

Referee · F. Bickel

1.14 home / 1.71 away

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	SpVgg Greuther Fürth for / against	Line	Holstein Kiel for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.67 for · 5 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	19.67 for · 12 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	13.75 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.67 for · 3 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	5.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.33 for · 14.67 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	12.13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.33 for · 2.33 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: F. Bickel — 2.86 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 21.14 fouls over 7 matches (1.14 to the home side, 1.71 to the away side).

Home 1.14Away 1.71

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Srbeny n 8	24.8	2.3 3/1	0.5 1/0	—
F. Klaus n 8	58.8	1.5 5/2	2.3 4/3	—
Mathias Olesen n 8	74.5	1.4 5/3	0.9 4/1	R. Wagner
P. Ziereis n 8	80	1.3 7/2	0.6 3/1	D. Zec
J. Dehm n 8	77.5	1.2 4/3	1.3 6/2	—

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Higl n 3	32.7	5.5 2/2	3.7 2/2
D. Srbeny n 8	24.8	2.7 4/2	1.4 3/0
F. Klaus n 8	58.8	2.5 6/4	1.1 3/2
J. Green n 4	83.5	2.4 3/2	1.6 3/2
B. Bjarnason n 8	89.5	1.3 6/3	0.4 3/0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Srbeny n 8	24.8	0.9 2/0	0.5 1/0
F. Higl n 3	32.7	0.9 1/0	0 0/0
F. Klaus n 8	58.8	0.6 3/0	0 0/0
J. Consbruch n 5	28	0 0/0	0.6 1/0
Mathias Olesen n 8	74.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Bjarnason n 8	89.5	2.4 8/6
D. Srbeny n 8	24.8	2.3 3/2
P. Ziereis n 8	80	2.1 6/5
G. Itter n 3	82.7	1.8 3/1
F. Higl n 3	32.7	1.8 2/0

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Davidsen n 5	48	3 3/2	0.4 1/0	—
S. Schwab n 8	24.6	2.3 4/1	0.5 1/0	—
F. Porath n 8	25.1	2.2 3/1	2.2 4/1	—
R. Wagner n 8	28.4	2 3/1	0.8 2/0	Mathias Olesen
D. Zec n 8	88.3	1.8 6/3	0.3 2/0	P. Ziereis

Holstein Kiel — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Niehoff n 3	80.3	2.6 2/2	0.7 2/0
P. Harres n 8	37.4	2.4 4/2	1.5 3/1
S. Machino n 8	72.4	2.3 7/4	1.4 5/2
F. Porath n 8	25.1	2.2 3/1	0.4 1/0
A. Bernhardsson n 8	74.4	2.1 8/5	1.7 6/4

Holstein Kiel — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Bernhardsson n 8	74.4	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
S. Machino n 8	72.4	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
A. Gigović n 8	80.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
S. Schwab n 8	24.6	0 0/0	0.5 1/0
J. Therkelsen n 8	67.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Holstein Kiel — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Davidsen n 5	48	4.1 4/3
S. Schwab n 8	24.6	3.7 5/3
T. Becker n 8	87	2.5 8/6
A. Bernhardsson n 8	74.4	2.3 8/4
L. Rosenboom n 8	73.1	2.3 7/3

Holstein Kiel — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Dähne n 8	90	3.9 7/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth		Holstein Kiel
55%	Possession	45%
15	Shots	17
2	Shots on target	4
9	Shots off target	9
4	Blocked shots	4
7	Shots inside the box	13
6	Corners	3
1	Offsides	4
13	Fouls	18
3	Yellow cards	8
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
437	Passes	361
81%	Pass accuracy	77%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
P. Boevink	90	0	0	0	0	Y	7.2
M. Dietz	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
F. Klaus	90	3	0	0	1	0	6.2
G. Itter	90	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
B. Hrgota	90	2	0	3	0	Y	7.3
N. Futkeu	90	1	0	1	0	0	6.6
N. König	89	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
J. Dehm	76	0	0	1	1	Y	6.3
J. Green	76	2	1	1	1	0	6.6
P. Ziereis	45	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
Mathias Olesen	45	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
B. Bjarnason sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	7
A. Keller sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Consbruch sub	15	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
F. Higl sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
O. Sillah sub	2	0	0	0	0	0	–

Holstein Kiel player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Krumrey	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	7.3
D. Zec	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	6.5
C. Johansson	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7.7
M. Komenda	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
R. Wagner	90	0	0	2	0	3	1	0	6.6
J. Tolkin	90	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	8.3
J. Therkelsen	84	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	8.2
P. Harres	84	0	1	2	0	2	0	0	7.2
A. Bernhardsson	74	0	0	1	0	2	3	Y	7.6
M. Knudsen	74	0	0	0	0	2	2	Y	6.6
S. Skrzybski	64	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	6.3
L. Rosenboom sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
K. Davidsen sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
N. Niehoff sub	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
S. Schwab sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
M. Müller sub	12	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SpVgg Greuther FürthDWWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Holstein KielLLLLW

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3 · 1 draw · Holstein Kiel 2 · 3.33 goals/game

2024-01-28 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–1 Holstein Kiel
2023-08-05 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
2023-01-28 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
2022-07-16 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–2 Holstein Kiel
2021-02-22 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–1 Holstein Kiel
2020-10-24 Holstein Kiel 1–3 SpVgg Greuther Furth

League standing · 2025/26

SpVgg Greuther Fürth#16 pos37 pts34 pl-19 GD

Holstein Kiel#12 pos41 pts34 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.44

Holstein Kiel scored1.29

SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded2

Holstein Kiel conceded1.41

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel?: TACTIX’s free model pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel?: In their last 6 meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 3, Holstein Kiel won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel?: Recent form — SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3W 1D 1L; Holstein Kiel 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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