Adelaide United v Brisbane Roar prediction

A-League · Tue, 15 Dec 2026 08:30 GMT · Coopers Stadium

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Adelaide United · Brisbane Roar · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Adelaide United v Brisbane Roar, A-League on Tue, 15 Dec 2026 08:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Adelaide United host Brisbane Roar in the A-League on Tuesday 15 December (kick-off 08:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Adelaide United to win.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 13 of Brisbane Roar’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Brisbane Roar have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Adelaide United have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Adelaide United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Adelaide United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Adelaide United have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.50.

10 of Brisbane Roar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Away from home, Brisbane Roar have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.83.

Adelaide United have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Adelaide United (12th) and Brisbane Roar (fifth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brisbane Roar the stronger side, 10 rating points above Adelaide United (Brisbane Roar 1382, Adelaide United 1372, after at least 242 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 January 2026, finished Brisbane Roar 2–3 Adelaide United.

Team news

Predicted Adelaide United XI (3-1-4-2): J. Smits, P. Kikianis, S. Phillis, J. Barnett, E. Alagich, Anselmo, J. Garuccio, H. Crawford, J. Muñiz, B. Burkitt, A. Tatu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Juan Muñiz (3.6 per match over five appearances, one assist) and E. Alagich (3.2 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Adelaide United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Adelaide United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Juan Muñiz averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 346 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last five appearances. E. Alagich averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 405 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances.

Predicted Brisbane Roar XI (4-4-2): D. Bouzanis, D. Valkanis, Y. Salas, M. Lode, J. King, N. Maieroni, S. Klein, H. Hore, T. Nam, J. Vidic, V. Postolachi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 15 Dec 2026 08:30 GMT · A-League · Coopers Stadium
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Adelaide United 3 · draws 2 · Brisbane Roar 1 · 3.67 goals/game
Recent form: Adelaide United 1W 0D 4L · Brisbane Roar 1W 2D 2L

Adelaide United v Brisbane Roar (A-League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.38

Goals

against 2.38 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6 / 5.88

Corners

against 5 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.86 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 6.71 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.57 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.43 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Adelaide United for / against	Line	Brisbane Roar for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.86 for · 15.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.86 for · 6.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.43 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.57 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Adelaide United

Adelaide United Goalkeeper

Adelaide United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Smits	5	90450 min	255 /90	142.8 /90	00 /90

Adelaide United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Adelaide United before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Smits n 8	90	4 7/6

Adelaide United Defensive

Adelaide United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
P. Kikianis	5	90450 min	30.6 /90	71.4 /90	71.4 /90	204 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
Sotiri Phillis	4	87346 min	51.3 /90	61.6 /90	51.3 /90	112.9 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
J. Barnett	4	69275 min	20.7 /90	51.6 /90	10.3 /90	51.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Kitto	4	63252 min	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	72.5 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90
F. Talladira	3	61183 min	21 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Adelaide United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Adelaide United before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Kikianis n 8	90	1.6 6/5	0.9 4/2	—
J. Smits n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
E. Alagich n 8	84.4	0.5 4/0	0.9 4/2	—
H. Crawford n 8	75.4	0.7 3/1	0.9 5/1	—
Juan Muñiz n 8	58.9	1.5 5/2	2.3 5/3	—
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Adelaide United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Adelaide United before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Kikianis n 8	90	0.9 5/2
E. Alagich n 8	84.4	1.3 6/3
H. Crawford n 8	75.4	1.8 6/3
Juan Muñiz n 8	58.9	2.1 6/2
Brody Burkitt n 8	56.6	1.2 4/1
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Adelaide United Attacking

Adelaide United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Brody Burkitt	5	64319 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	72 /90	61.7 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
A. Tatu	3	59176 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90
A. Riak	3	3192 min	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90
Ben Folami	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90
Mitchell Smith	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90
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Adelaide United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Adelaide United before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Kikianis n 8	90	0.5 2/2	0 0/0
J. Smits n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Alagich n 8	84.4	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
H. Crawford n 8	75.4	1 5/1	0.3 1/1
Juan Muñiz n 8	58.9	0.8 3/1	0.8 3/1
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Adelaide United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Adelaide United before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Smits n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Kikianis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Alagich n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. Crawford n 8	75.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Juan Muñiz n 8	58.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar Goalkeeper

Brisbane Roar — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
George Plusnin	2	90180 min	00 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Brisbane Roar Defensive

Brisbane Roar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. King	2	90180 min	42 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	136.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
T. Aldred	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	157.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
M. Stajic	2	70140 min	53.2 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	95.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Noah Maieroni	2	90180 min	105 /90	21 /90	00 /90	2110.5 /90	63 /90	10.5 /90
Tae Hee Nam	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	73.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Brisbane Roar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Noah Maieroni n 8	81.1	2.4 6/6	0.8 4/2	—
Justin Vidic n 8	65.6	1.7 7/2	1.5 6/3	—
T. Aldred n 4	90	1.3 3/2	0.8 2/1	—
M. Stajic n 7	82.9	1.1 4/3	1.9 6/3	—
H. Bility n 8	72.3	0.6 4/0	0.5 3/0	—
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Brisbane Roar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Noah Maieroni n 8	81.1	2.8 7/4
T. Aldred n 4	90	1.3 3/2
Justin Vidic n 8	65.6	0.7 4/0
M. Stajic n 7	82.9	1.9 5/5
H. Bility n 8	72.3	1.2 5/3
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Brisbane Roar Attacking

Brisbane Roar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Justin Vidic	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90
V. Postolachi	2	62123 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
M. Ilic	2	2957 min	00 /90	00 /90	23.2 /90	11.6 /90	23.2 /90	11.6 /90
N. Amanatidis	1	1515 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	16 /90	00 /90
Noah Maieroni	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	52.5 /90
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Brisbane Roar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Justin Vidic n 8	65.6	2.9 7/4	0.9 4/1
T. Aldred n 4	90	1 2/2	0.5 2/0
Noah Maieroni n 8	81.1	0.7 2/1	0.1 1/0
M. Stajic n 7	82.9	1.1 6/1	0.2 1/0
H. Bility n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Brisbane Roar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Aldred n 4	90	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
Justin Vidic n 8	65.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Noah Maieroni n 8	81.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Stajic n 7	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Bility n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Adelaide United v Brisbane Roar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Adelaide UnitedWLLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

Brisbane RoarDLLWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Adelaide United 3 · 2 draws · Brisbane Roar 1 · 3.67 goals/game

2026-01-24 Brisbane Roar 2–3 Adelaide United
2025-12-07 Adelaide United 0–1 Brisbane Roar
2025-04-22 Brisbane Roar 1–1 Adelaide United
2025-03-08 Adelaide United 1–1 Brisbane Roar
2024-11-23 Brisbane Roar 2–3 Adelaide United
2024-04-26 Brisbane Roar 3–4 Adelaide United

League standing · 2026/27

Adelaide United#12 pos0 pts2 pl-5 GD

Brisbane Roar#5 pos4 pts2 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Adelaide United scored0.5

Brisbane Roar scored1.5

Adelaide United conceded3

Brisbane Roar conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Adelaide United v Brisbane Roar?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Adelaide United v Brisbane Roar is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Adelaide United and Brisbane Roar?: In their last 6 meetings, Adelaide United won 3, Brisbane Roar won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Adelaide United and Brisbane Roar?: Recent form — Adelaide United 1W 0D 4L; Brisbane Roar 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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