Adelaide United v Central Coast Mariners prediction

A-League · Sun, 27 Dec 2026 09:00 GMT · Coopers Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Adelaide United · Central Coast Mariners · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Adelaide United v Central Coast Mariners, A-League on Sun, 27 Dec 2026 09:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Adelaide United host Central Coast Mariners in the A-League on Sunday 27 December (kick-off 09:00 UK).

The key numbers

Adelaide United have lost their last four matches in all competitions. Central Coast Mariners are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Adelaide United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Adelaide United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Adelaide United have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.50.

10 of Central Coast Mariners’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Central Coast Mariners’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Central Coast Mariners have three wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 2.11.

Adelaide United have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Adelaide United (12th) and Central Coast Mariners (10th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Central Coast Mariners the stronger side, 60 rating points above Adelaide United (Central Coast Mariners 1432, Adelaide United 1372, after at least 248 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Central Coast Mariners 1–1 Adelaide United.

Team news

Predicted Adelaide United XI (3-1-4-2): J. Smits, P. Kikianis, S. Phillis, J. Barnett, E. Alagich, Anselmo, J. Garuccio, H. Crawford, J. Muñiz, B. Burkitt, A. Tatu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Juan Muñiz (3.6 per match over five appearances, one assist) and E. Alagich (3.2 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Adelaide United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Adelaide United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Juan Muñiz averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 346 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last five appearances. E. Alagich averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 405 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances.

Predicted Central Coast Mariners XI (4-4-2): A. Redmayne, L. Mauragis, S. Roux, S. Dikoš, N. McCann, C. Donnell, A. Auglah, H. Eames, J. Mantell, O. Lavale, B. Brandtman — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Storm Roux (4.3 per match over three appearances) and Ali Auglah (4.1 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Central Coast Mariners’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Central Coast Mariners (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ali Auglah averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 326 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 27 Dec 2026 09:00 GMT · A-League · Coopers Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Adelaide United 1 · draws 2 · Central Coast Mariners 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Adelaide United 1W 0D 4L · Central Coast Mariners 0W 2D 3L

Adelaide United v Central Coast Mariners (A-League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1

Goals

against 2.38 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6 / 2.63

Corners

against 5 / 6.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.86 / 4

Shots on target

against 6.71 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.57 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.43 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Adelaide United for / against	Line	Central Coast Mariners for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	2.63 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.86 for · 15.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.63 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.86 for · 6.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.43 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.57 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Adelaide United

Adelaide United Goalkeeper

Adelaide United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Smits	5	90450 min	255 /90	142.8 /90	00 /90

Adelaide United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Adelaide United before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Smits n 8	90	4 7/6

Adelaide United Defensive

Adelaide United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
P. Kikianis	5	90450 min	30.6 /90	71.4 /90	71.4 /90	204 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
Sotiri Phillis	4	87346 min	51.3 /90	61.6 /90	51.3 /90	112.9 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
J. Barnett	4	69275 min	20.7 /90	51.6 /90	10.3 /90	51.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Kitto	4	63252 min	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	72.5 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90
F. Talladira	3	61183 min	21 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Adelaide United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Adelaide United before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Kikianis n 8	90	1.6 6/5	0.9 4/2	—
J. Smits n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
E. Alagich n 8	84.4	0.5 4/0	0.9 4/2	—
H. Crawford n 8	75.4	0.7 3/1	0.9 5/1	—
Juan Muñiz n 8	58.9	1.5 5/2	2.3 5/3	—
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Adelaide United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Adelaide United before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Kikianis n 8	90	0.9 5/2
E. Alagich n 8	84.4	1.3 6/3
H. Crawford n 8	75.4	1.8 6/3
Juan Muñiz n 8	58.9	2.1 6/2
Brody Burkitt n 8	56.6	1.2 4/1
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Adelaide United Attacking

Adelaide United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Brody Burkitt	5	64319 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	72 /90	61.7 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
A. Tatu	3	59176 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90
A. Riak	3	3192 min	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90
Ben Folami	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90
Mitchell Smith	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90
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Adelaide United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Adelaide United before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Kikianis n 8	90	0.5 2/2	0 0/0
J. Smits n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Alagich n 8	84.4	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
H. Crawford n 8	75.4	1 5/1	0.3 1/1
Juan Muñiz n 8	58.9	0.8 3/1	0.8 3/1
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Adelaide United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Adelaide United before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Smits n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Kikianis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Alagich n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. Crawford n 8	75.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Juan Muñiz n 8	58.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Central Coast Mariners

Central Coast Mariners Goalkeeper

Central Coast Mariners — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Andrew Redmayne	4	89355 min	123 /90	92.3 /90	00 /90

Central Coast Mariners — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Central Coast Mariners before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Andrew Redmayne n 8	89.4	3.7 8/7

Central Coast Mariners Defensive

Central Coast Mariners — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lucas Mauragis	4	89355 min	41 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	174.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Noah McCann	4	89355 min	30.8 /90	92.3 /90	71.8 /90	215.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Samuel Dikoš	4	89355 min	82 /90	123 /90	20.5 /90	184.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Storm Roux	3	83248 min	93.3 /90	51.8 /90	20.7 /90	186.5 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90
Ty Mckibbin	2	4079 min	33.4 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	55.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Central Coast Mariners — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Central Coast Mariners before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Chris Donnell n 8	80.9	1.3 7/1	0.6 3/1	—
Lucas Mauragis n 8	86.9	0.4 3/0	1.2 6/2	—
Noah McCann n 4	88.8	0.3 1/0	1.3 3/1	—
Samuel Dikoš n 8	72.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	—
Andrew Redmayne n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Central Coast Mariners — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Central Coast Mariners before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lucas Mauragis n 8	86.9	2.2 6/4
Chris Donnell n 8	80.9	2.2 6/5
Samuel Dikoš n 8	72.5	1.2 3/3
Noah McCann n 4	88.8	0.8 3/0
Oliver Lavale n 8	79.8	0.8 3/2
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Central Coast Mariners Attacking

Central Coast Mariners — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Oliver Lavale	4	87349 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	82.1 /90	61.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90
Bailey Brandtman	4	73290 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.2 /90	20.6 /90	41.2 /90	51.6 /90
J. Gordon	1	2626 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.5 /90
P. Ortiz	1	2525 min	00 /90	00 /90	27.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Chris Donnell	4	89355 min	00 /90	00 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90
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Central Coast Mariners — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Central Coast Mariners before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Mauragis n 8	86.9	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
Chris Donnell n 8	80.9	0.6 2/1	0.1 1/0
Andrew Redmayne n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Noah McCann n 4	88.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samuel Dikoš n 8	72.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Central Coast Mariners — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Central Coast Mariners before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lucas Mauragis n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Andrew Redmayne n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Noah McCann n 4	88.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Chris Donnell n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samuel Dikoš n 8	72.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Adelaide United v Central Coast Mariners — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Adelaide UnitedWLLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

Central Coast MarinersLDLDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Adelaide United 1 · 2 draws · Central Coast Mariners 3 · 3 goals/game

2026-03-14 Central Coast Mariners 1–1 Adelaide United
2026-01-04 Adelaide United 0–4 Central Coast Mariners
2024-12-13 Central Coast Mariners 0–4 Adelaide United
2024-10-26 Adelaide United 1–1 Central Coast Mariners
2024-05-01 Central Coast Mariners 2–0 Adelaide United
2024-02-03 Adelaide United 0–4 Central Coast Mariners

League standing · 2026/27

Adelaide United#12 pos0 pts2 pl-5 GD

Central Coast Mariners#10 pos2 pts3 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Adelaide United scored0.5

Central Coast Mariners scored1

Adelaide United conceded3

Central Coast Mariners conceded1.67

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Adelaide United and Central Coast Mariners?: In their last 6 meetings, Adelaide United won 1, Central Coast Mariners won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Adelaide United and Central Coast Mariners?: Recent form — Adelaide United 1W 0D 4L; Central Coast Mariners 0W 2D 3L.

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