Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne City prediction

A-League · Thu, 31 Dec 2026 08:00 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Central Coast Mariners · Melbourne City · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne City, A-League on Thu, 31 Dec 2026 08:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Central Coast Mariners host Melbourne City in the A-League on Thursday 31 December (kick-off 08:00 UK).

The key numbers

Melbourne City have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Central Coast Mariners are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Central Coast Mariners’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Central Coast Mariners’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Central Coast Mariners have one win, five draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.50.

Eight of Melbourne City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Melbourne City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Melbourne City have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.38.

Central Coast Mariners (10th) and Melbourne City (seventh) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Melbourne City the stronger side, 139 rating points above Central Coast Mariners (Melbourne City 1571, Central Coast Mariners 1432, after at least 248 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Melbourne City are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Central Coast Mariners. The most recent meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Melbourne City 2–1 Central Coast Mariners.

Team news

Predicted Central Coast Mariners XI (4-4-2): A. Redmayne, L. Mauragis, S. Roux, S. Dikoš, N. McCann, C. Donnell, A. Auglah, H. Eames, J. Mantell, O. Lavale, B. Brandtman — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Storm Roux (4.3 per match over three appearances) and Ali Auglah (4.1 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Central Coast Mariners’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Central Coast Mariners (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ali Auglah averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 326 minutes.

Predicted Melbourne City XI (4-2-3-1): P. Beach, A. Behich, N. Atkinson, H. Delbridge, G. Ferreyra, K. Rahmani, A. Mabil, M. Memeti, B. Kutleshi, Q. Macnicol, A. Nabbout — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Q. Macnicol (5.4 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Kavian Rahmani (5.2 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Melbourne City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Melbourne City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kavian Rahmani averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 270 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 31 Dec 2026 08:00 GMT · A-League
Head-to-head (last 6): Central Coast Mariners 2 · draws 2 · Melbourne City 2 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Central Coast Mariners 0W 2D 3L · Melbourne City 1W 2D 2L

Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne City (A-League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 3.71

Corners

against 6.5 / 5.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4 / 4.71

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 2.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.13 / 2.29

Cards

against 1.38 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Central Coast Mariners for / against	Line	Melbourne City for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.63 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.71 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	10.63 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.29 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.71 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.63 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.57 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.29 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5

Central Coast Mariners

Central Coast Mariners Goalkeeper

Central Coast Mariners — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Andrew Redmayne	4	89355 min	123 /90	92.3 /90	00 /90

Central Coast Mariners — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Central Coast Mariners before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Andrew Redmayne n 8	89.4	3.7 8/7

Central Coast Mariners Defensive

Central Coast Mariners — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lucas Mauragis	4	89355 min	41 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	174.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Noah McCann	4	89355 min	30.8 /90	92.3 /90	71.8 /90	215.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Samuel Dikoš	4	89355 min	82 /90	123 /90	20.5 /90	184.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Storm Roux	3	83248 min	93.3 /90	51.8 /90	20.7 /90	186.5 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90
Ty Mckibbin	2	4079 min	33.4 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	55.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Central Coast Mariners — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Central Coast Mariners before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Chris Donnell n 8	80.9	1.3 7/1	0.6 3/1	—
Lucas Mauragis n 8	86.9	0.4 3/0	1.2 6/2	—
Noah McCann n 4	88.8	0.3 1/0	1.3 3/1	—
Samuel Dikoš n 8	72.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	—
Andrew Redmayne n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Central Coast Mariners — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Central Coast Mariners before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lucas Mauragis n 8	86.9	2.2 6/4
Chris Donnell n 8	80.9	2.2 6/5
Samuel Dikoš n 8	72.5	1.2 3/3
Noah McCann n 4	88.8	0.8 3/0
Oliver Lavale n 8	79.8	0.8 3/2
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Central Coast Mariners Attacking

Central Coast Mariners — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Oliver Lavale	4	87349 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	82.1 /90	61.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90
Bailey Brandtman	4	73290 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.2 /90	20.6 /90	41.2 /90	51.6 /90
J. Gordon	1	2626 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.5 /90
P. Ortiz	1	2525 min	00 /90	00 /90	27.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Chris Donnell	4	89355 min	00 /90	00 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90
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Central Coast Mariners — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Central Coast Mariners before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Mauragis n 8	86.9	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
Chris Donnell n 8	80.9	0.6 2/1	0.1 1/0
Andrew Redmayne n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Noah McCann n 4	88.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samuel Dikoš n 8	72.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Central Coast Mariners — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Central Coast Mariners before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lucas Mauragis n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Andrew Redmayne n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Noah McCann n 4	88.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Chris Donnell n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samuel Dikoš n 8	72.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Melbourne City

Melbourne City Goalkeeper

Melbourne City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Macklin Freke	2	90180 min	42 /90	42 /90	00 /90
J. Nieuwenhuizen	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Melbourne City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Melbourne City before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Nieuwenhuizen n 3	90	1.3 1/1

Melbourne City Defensive

Melbourne City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Behich	3	90270 min	31 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	113.7 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90
H. Delbridge	3	90270 min	20.7 /90	124 /90	31 /90	165.3 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
N. Atkinson	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	82.7 /90	10.3 /90	237.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
L. Bonetig	3	59177 min	21 /90	00 /90	00 /90	94.6 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
J. Cascante	2	4793 min	43.9 /90	11 /90	11 /90	1211.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Melbourne City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Melbourne City before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Delbridge n 8	82.1	1.5 8/3	0.4 1/1	—
A. Mabil n 3	90	1 2/1	2.3 3/3	—
N. Atkinson n 8	90	0.9 4/3	1.5 8/2	—
Kavian Rahmani n 8	68.3	0.7 3/1	2 6/6	—
A. Behich n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.6 3/2	—
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Melbourne City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Melbourne City before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Atkinson n 8	90	3.5 8/6
Kavian Rahmani n 8	68.3	2.5 8/6
A. Behich n 8	90	1.6 7/4
H. Delbridge n 8	82.1	1.1 6/1
A. Mabil n 3	90	1 2/1
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Melbourne City Attacking

Melbourne City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Nabbout	3	69208 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.6 /90	31.3 /90	41.7 /90	20.9 /90
T. Kanamori	2	2754 min	00 /90	00 /90	23.3 /90	11.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
A. Mabil	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	62 /90	20.7 /90	72.3 /90	41.3 /90
Kavian Rahmani	3	90270 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	93 /90	10.3 /90
M. Memeti	3	79237 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.9 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90
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Melbourne City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Melbourne City before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Mabil n 3	90	2 2/2	0.7 1/1
Kavian Rahmani n 8	68.3	1.3 5/2	0.3 2/0
H. Delbridge n 8	82.1	1 6/1	0.5 3/1
A. Behich n 8	90	0.8 4/1	0.5 3/1
N. Atkinson n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
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Melbourne City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Melbourne City before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Mabil n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Kavian Rahmani n 8	68.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
A. Behich n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
N. Atkinson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
H. Delbridge n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Central Coast MarinersLDLDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Melbourne CityLDLDW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Central Coast Mariners 2 · 2 draws · Melbourne City 2 · 2 goals/game

2026-04-07 Melbourne City 2–1 Central Coast Mariners
2025-11-29 Central Coast Mariners 0–0 Melbourne City
2025-04-05 Melbourne City 1–0 Central Coast Mariners
2024-12-31 Central Coast Mariners 1–1 Melbourne City
2024-04-02 Central Coast Mariners 2–1 Melbourne City
2024-01-21 Central Coast Mariners 2–1 Melbourne City

League standing · 2026/27

Central Coast Mariners#10 pos2 pts3 pl-2 GD

Melbourne City#7 pos4 pts3 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Central Coast Mariners scored1

Melbourne City scored1.33

Central Coast Mariners conceded1.67

Melbourne City conceded1.67

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City?: In their last 6 meetings, Central Coast Mariners won 2, Melbourne City won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City?: Recent form — Central Coast Mariners 0W 2D 3L; Melbourne City 1W 2D 2L.

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