Melbourne CityWellington Phoenix

Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix prediction

A-League · · AAMI Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Melbourne City · Wellington Phoenix · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix, A-League on Sun, 10 Jan 2027 06:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Melbourne City host Wellington Phoenix in the A-League on Sunday 10 January (kick-off 06:00 UK).

The key numbers

Melbourne City have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Melbourne City are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Wellington Phoenix.

Form and the table

Eight of Melbourne City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Melbourne City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Melbourne City have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.86.

Eight of Wellington Phoenix’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Wellington Phoenix’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Wellington Phoenix have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.25.

Melbourne City are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Wellington Phoenix are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Wellington Phoenix have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Melbourne City (third) and Wellington Phoenix (first) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Wellington Phoenix the stronger side, 65 rating points above Melbourne City (Wellington Phoenix 1672, Melbourne City 1606, after at least 247 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Melbourne City 2–0 Wellington Phoenix.

Team news

Predicted Melbourne City XI (4-2-3-1): J. Nieuwenhuizen, A. Behich, N. Atkinson, H. Delbridge, J. Cascante, K. Rahmani, A. Mabil, M. Memeti, Q. Macnicol, E. Marcondes, A. Nabbout — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kavian Rahmani (5.6 per match over four appearances, one assist) and N. Atkinson (4.9 per match over four appearances) have been Melbourne City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Melbourne City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kavian Rahmani averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 337 minutes. N. Atkinson averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.

Predicted Wellington Phoenix XI (4-4-2): H. Gray, B. Tuiloma, L. Kelly-Heald, M. Sheridan, J. McGarry, K. Nagasawa, A. Rufer, M. Anderson, B. Duke, C. Piper, R. Durán — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kazuki Nagasawa (6.3 per match over four appearances, four assists) and Corban Piper (5.3 per match over four appearances, three goals) have been Wellington Phoenix’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Wellington Phoenix (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kazuki Nagasawa averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 360 minutes. Corban Piper averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 349 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · A-League · AAMI Park
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Melbourne City 4 · draws 1 · Wellington Phoenix 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Melbourne City 2W 2D 1L · Wellington Phoenix 3W 1D 1L

Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix (A-League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.43 / 5.63
Corners
against 6.29 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 3.86 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.71 / 1.13
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMelbourne City for / againstLineWellington Phoenix for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.43 for · 6.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
12.86 for · 14.29 against n 7
19.5standard
11.25 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.29 for · 3.86 against n 7
8.5standard
3.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.43 for · 11 against n 7
21.5standard
11.75 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.71 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8

Melbourne City

Melbourne City Goalkeeper

Melbourne City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Nieuwenhuizen290180 min84 /9021 /9000 /90
Macklin Freke290180 min42 /9042 /9000 /90
Melbourne City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Melbourne City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Nieuwenhuizen n 490
32/2

Melbourne City Defensive

Melbourne City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Behich490360 min82 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90194.8 /9010.3 /9020.5 /90
H. Delbridge490360 min20.5 /90133.3 /9041 /90205 /9092.3 /9010.3 /90
N. Atkinson490360 min92.3 /90123 /9010.3 /90266.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
L. Bonetig449194 min41.9 /9010.5 /9000 /90115.1 /9010.5 /9000 /90
J. Cascante361183 min52.5 /9021 /9063 /90146.9 /9021 /9010.5 /90
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Melbourne City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Melbourne City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Delbridge n 885
1.98/4
0.52/1
—
N. Atkinson n 890
15/3
1.47/2
—
A. Behich n 890
0.32/0
0.84/2
—
Kavian Rahmani n 867.8
0.84/1
1.86/5
—
A. Mabil n 483.8
1.13/1
1.93/3
—
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Melbourne City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Melbourne City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Atkinson n 890
2.88/6
A. Behich n 890
1.87/4
H. Delbridge n 885
0.95/1
Kavian Rahmani n 867.8
38/6
A. Mabil n 483.8
1.13/1
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Melbourne City Attacking

Melbourne City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Nabbout470281 min20.6 /9000 /9082.6 /9051.6 /9051.6 /9031 /90
M. Leckie426104 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /90
T. Kanamori32471 min00 /9000 /9022.5 /9011.3 /9000 /9033.8 /90
Kavian Rahmani484337 min00 /9010.3 /9061.6 /9000 /9092.4 /9010.3 /90
A. Mabil484335 min10.3 /9000 /9071.9 /9030.8 /9092.4 /9051.3 /90
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Melbourne City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Melbourne City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Behich n 890
0.84/1
0.42/1
H. Delbridge n 885
0.85/1
0.42/1
N. Atkinson n 890
0.42/1
00/0
Kavian Rahmani n 867.8
1.55/3
0.21/0
A. Mabil n 483.8
1.93/2
0.82/1
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Melbourne City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Melbourne City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Behich n 890
0.11/0
00/0
N. Atkinson n 890
00/0
0.11/0
H. Delbridge n 885
00/0
00/0
Kavian Rahmani n 867.8
00/0
0.21/0
A. Mabil n 483.8
0.31/0
00/0
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Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix Goalkeeper

Wellington Phoenix — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
H. Gray490360 min102.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Wellington Phoenix — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wellington Phoenix before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
H. Gray n 490
2.53/2

Wellington Phoenix Defensive

Wellington Phoenix — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bill Tuiloma490360 min41 /9030.8 /9041 /90143.5 /9041 /9000 /90
Lukas Kelly-Heald490360 min51.3 /9071.8 /9030.8 /90102.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Matthew Sheridan490360 min20.5 /9061.5 /9030.8 /90123 /9020.5 /9000 /90
J. McGarry483332 min30.8 /9061.6 /9020.5 /90113 /9020.5 /9000 /90
W. Scott12828 min13.2 /9013.2 /9000 /90412.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Wellington Phoenix — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wellington Phoenix before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kazuki Nagasawa n 883.4
1.37/2
27/5
—
Bill Tuiloma n 890
15/2
0.53/1
—
M. Anderson n 490
0.83/0
00/0
—
Lukas Kelly-Heald n 874.1
0.53/0
0.32/0
—
Matthew Sheridan n 867.8
0.31/1
0.73/1
—
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Wellington Phoenix — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wellington Phoenix before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Anderson n 490
3.24/4
Lukas Kelly-Heald n 874.1
23/3
Kazuki Nagasawa n 883.4
1.67/3
Bill Tuiloma n 890
1.46/3
Matthew Sheridan n 867.8
1.25/2
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Wellington Phoenix Attacking

Wellington Phoenix — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Corban Piper487349 min30.8 /9000 /9071.8 /9041 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
R. Durán457229 min10.4 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
Nathan Walker24794 min11 /9011 /9021.9 /9021.9 /9021.9 /9011 /90
R. Bidois21937 min00 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Kazuki Nagasawa490360 min00 /9041 /9020.5 /9000 /90102.5 /9020.5 /90
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Wellington Phoenix — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wellington Phoenix before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bill Tuiloma n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
M. Anderson n 490
0.52/0
0.31/0
Kazuki Nagasawa n 883.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
Lukas Kelly-Heald n 874.1
0.32/0
00/0
Matthew Sheridan n 867.8
0.21/0
00/0
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Wellington Phoenix — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wellington Phoenix before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kazuki Nagasawa n 883.4
0.11/0
0.52/1
Matthew Sheridan n 867.8
00/0
0.32/0
Bill Tuiloma n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Anderson n 490
00/0
00/0
H. Gray n 490
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Melbourne CityDLDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Wellington PhoenixLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Melbourne City 4 · 1 draw · Wellington Phoenix 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-12 Melbourne City 2–0 Wellington Phoenix
  • 2026-01-30 Wellington Phoenix 2–2 Melbourne City
  • 2025-02-28 Wellington Phoenix 0–1 Melbourne City
  • 2025-01-03 Melbourne City 2–0 Wellington Phoenix
  • 2024-03-09 Melbourne City 1–0 Wellington Phoenix
  • 2023-11-25 Wellington Phoenix 1–0 Melbourne City
League standing · 2026/27
Melbourne City#3 pos7 pts4 pl0 GD
Wellington Phoenix#1 pos10 pts4 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Melbourne City scored1.5
Wellington Phoenix scored1.75
Melbourne City conceded1.5
Wellington Phoenix conceded0.25

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix?
In their last 6 meetings, Melbourne City won 4, Wellington Phoenix won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix?
Recent form — Melbourne City 2W 2D 1L; Wellington Phoenix 3W 1D 1L.

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