Gamba Osaka v Công An Nhân Dân result

Full-time · Gamba Osaka 4–1 Công An Nhân Dân

AFC Champions League Elite · · Panasonic Stadium Suita

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Gamba Osaka 4–1 Công An Nhân Dân — Gamba Osaka won this AFC Champions League Elite match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.20 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4945 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gamba Osaka beat Công An Nhân Dân 4–1 at Panasonic Stadium Suita in AFC Champions League Elite on Tuesday 15 September. Gamba Osaka are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Gamba Osaka led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Gamba Osaka: Takashi Usami (29’, assisted by Ryoya Yamashita; 67’, assisted by Ryoya Yamashita), Y. Toshida (58’, assisted by Ryoya Yamashita) and K. Sumi (90’, assisted by Issam Jebali); Công An Nhân Dân: B. Perea (79’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Takashi Usami’s goal on 29 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Gamba Osaka 1.59, Công An Nhân Dân 1.46, from 13 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Gamba Osaka: S. Fukuoka (90+4’); Công An Nhân Dân: S. Mauk (22’).

What it changes

Gamba Osaka have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryoya Yamashita (Gamba Osaka) 11.4, B. Perea (Công An Nhân Dân) 9.2 and Takashi Usami (Gamba Osaka) 8.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Gamba Osaka or Công An Nhân Dân (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3825 of 4945).

Next up

Gamba Osaka next travel to Machida Zelvia on 1 November 2026.

Công An Nhân Dân next host Kyoto Sanga on 3 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gamba Osaka: Machida Zelvia v Gamba Osaka, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for Công An Nhân Dân: Công An Nhân Dân v Kyoto Sanga, Tuesday 3 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Gamba Osaka 4–1 Công An Nhân Dân · AFC Champions League Elite
  • Venue: Panasonic Stadium Suita · Suita
  • Referee: Asker Nadjafaliev, Uzbekistan
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Gamba Osaka 4W 1D 0L · Công An Nhân Dân 2W 0D 3L

Gamba Osaka 4–1 Công An Nhân Dân (AFC Champions League Elite): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
3.17 / 6.2
Corners
against 4.33 / 3.6 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5.5 / 5.4
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.8 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.33 / 2.86
Cards
against 0.83 / 2.86 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGamba Osaka for / againstLineCông An Nhân Dân for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.17 for · 4.33 against n 6
9.5standard
6.2 for · 3.6 against n 5
Shots
11 for · 12.67 against n 6
19.5standard
17.2 for · 9.8 against n 5
Shots on target
5.5 for · 3.5 against n 6
8.5standard
5.4 for · 3.8 against n 5
Fouls committed
8.67 for · 11 against n 6
21.5standard
11.2 for · 15.6 against n 5
Cards shown
1.33 for · 0.83 against n 6
3.5standard
2.86 for · 2.86 against n 7

Referee: Asker Nadjafaliev, Uzbekistan.

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka Goalkeeper

Gamba Osaka — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Higashiguchi690540 min172.8 /9071.2 /9000 /90
Rui Araki590450 min153 /9061.2 /9000 /90
J. Ichimori19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /90
Gamba Osaka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gamba Osaka before kick-off, to 11 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Higashiguchi n 890
2.85/3
Rui Araki n 590
34/3

Gamba Osaka Defensive

Gamba Osaka — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Shinnosuke Nakatani1190990 min60.5 /90121.1 /9060.5 /90403.6 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90
G. Miura1186945 min50.5 /90101 /9070.7 /90363.4 /9010.1 /9000 /90
Ryo Hatsuse977693 min70.9 /9050.6 /9030.4 /90151.9 /9050.6 /9000 /90
Takeru Kishimoto776532 min162.7 /9061 /9010.2 /90396.6 /90111.9 /9030.5 /90
Ginjiro Ikegaya578390 min81.8 /9040.9 /9020.5 /90296.7 /9040.9 /9000 /90
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Gamba Osaka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gamba Osaka before kick-off, to 11 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Shinnosuke Nakatani n 888
0.52/1
0.95/1
—
G. Miura n 884.4
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
Deniz Hümmet n 858.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
—
Rin Mito n 882.4
0.86/0
13/2
—
Ryoya Yamashita n 881.4
0.75/0
2.86/6
—
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Gamba Osaka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gamba Osaka before kick-off, to 11 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Shinnosuke Nakatani n 888
0.32/0
G. Miura n 884.4
0.53/1
Deniz Hümmet n 858.5
0.42/0
Rin Mito n 882.4
2.67/5
Ryoya Yamashita n 881.4
1.27/2
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Gamba Osaka Attacking

Gamba Osaka — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Deniz Hümmet1166731 min40.5 /9000 /90162 /90131.6 /9050.6 /9050.6 /90
Harumi Minamino1057574 min50.8 /9000 /90162.5 /90101.6 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
S. Toyama22651 min11.8 /9000 /9035.3 /9011.8 /9000 /9023.5 /90
Rin Mito1084841 min10.1 /9010.1 /9050.5 /9050.5 /9050.5 /9050.5 /90
Ryoya Yamashita1078779 min00 /9010.1 /9091 /9060.7 /90111.3 /9040.5 /90
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Gamba Osaka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gamba Osaka before kick-off, to 11 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Shinnosuke Nakatani n 888
0.32/0
00/0
G. Miura n 884.4
0.31/1
0.11/0
Deniz Hümmet n 858.5
2.16/4
1.76/3
Rin Mito n 882.4
0.73/1
0.41/1
Ryoya Yamashita n 881.4
15/1
0.63/1
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Gamba Osaka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gamba Osaka before kick-off, to 11 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Shinnosuke Nakatani n 888
00/0
0.11/0
G. Miura n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
Deniz Hümmet n 858.5
0.21/0
00/0
Rin Mito n 882.4
0.11/0
00/0
Ryoya Yamashita n 881.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Gamba OsakaCông An Nhân Dân
52%Possession48%
1.59Expected goals (xG)1.46
13Shots14
7Shots on target7
3Shots off target6
3Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box7
1Corners3
1Offsides1
16Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves3
508Passes450
82%Pass accuracy79%

Gamba Osaka Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Ichimori9000000007.6
Takeru Kishimoto9000000107
Shinnosuke Nakatani9000000006.3
S. Fukuoka90000002Y6.2
Ryo Hatsuse9000001007
Shuto Abe9000210206.3
Rin Mito8900001306.6
Y. Toshida8910312107.7
Ryoya Yamashita7403004109.3
Takashi Usami6920330008.8
Ryotaro Meshino6900310006.4
K. Sumi2110110107.1
Issam Jebali2101101106.6
Eli Adams1600000106.3
T. Suzuki100000000
N. Nakatsumi100000000

Công An Nhân Dân Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Nguyen9000000005.4
Frans Putros9000002306.1
Bùi Hoàng Việt Anh9000000306
J. Pendant9000001306.1
B. Perea9010211308
Alan Grafite9000400006.5
Đoàn Văn Hậu8000001205.6
S. Mauk80000001Y5.6
Nguyễn Quang Hải7000221106.4
D. Henen5900111106.2
Damia Sabater5900101105.9
Lê Phạm Thành Long3100111307
Nguyen Dinh Bac3100320107
Le Van Do2000000005.8
A. Leygley1000000005.7
Hoang Van Toan1000000105.8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gamba Osaka v Công An Nhân Dân — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Gamba OsakaWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Công An Nhân DânLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Gamba Osaka#3 pos7 pts3 pl+5 GD
Công An Nhân Dân#11 pos3 pts3 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Gamba Osaka scored2.67
Công An Nhân Dân scored1.33
Gamba Osaka conceded1
Công An Nhân Dân conceded2.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Gamba Osaka v Công An Nhân Dân?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gamba Osaka v Công An Nhân Dân was Home or Away (best price 1.20 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Gamba Osaka and Công An Nhân Dân?
Recent form — Gamba Osaka 4W 1D 0L; Công An Nhân Dân 2W 0D 3L.

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