Pakhtakor v Esteghlal FC prediction

AFC Champions League Elite · Mon, 08 Feb 2027 13:45 GMT · Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:24 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Pakhtakor v Esteghlal FC, AFC Champions League Elite on Mon, 08 Feb 2027 13:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Pakhtakor host Esteghlal FC in AFC Champions League Elite on Monday 8 February (kick-off 13:45 UK).

The key numbers

Pakhtakor are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Four of Pakhtakor’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in six of Pakhtakor’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Pakhtakor have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.38.

Six of Esteghlal FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Esteghlal FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Esteghlal FC have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.13.

Pakhtakor (14th) and Esteghlal FC (third) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Esteghlal FC the stronger side, 269 rating points above Pakhtakor (Esteghlal FC 1753, Pakhtakor 1484, after at least 49 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 November 2024, finished Esteghlal FC 0–0 Pakhtakor.

Team news

Predicted Pakhtakor XI (4-2-3-1): V. Nazarov, M. Abdumajidov, Z. Tahseen, M. Pouraliganji, S. Nasrullayev, A. Bo'riyev, Flamarion, A. Mozgovoy, S. Sobirkho'jaev, B. Resan, S. Chinedu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Abdurauf Bo'riyev (3.7 per match over three appearances) and Flamarion (3.6 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Pakhtakor’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions.

Predicted Esteghlal FC XI (4-4-2): H. Abbasi, A. Aghasi, S. Fallah, R. Ashurmatov, S. Fallah, A. Razzaghinia, S. Hardani, H. Goudarzi, R. Cheshmi, S. Saharkhizan, J. Asani — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Asani (6.0 per match over four appearances, three goals and one assist) and Saleh Hardani (5.1 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Esteghlal FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Esteghlal FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Asani averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 304 minutes. Saleh Hardani averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 495 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Mon, 08 Feb 2027 13:45 GMT · AFC Champions League Elite · Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium
Head-to-head (last 2): Pakhtakor 1 · draws 1 · Esteghlal FC 0 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Pakhtakor 1W 2D 2L · Esteghlal FC 3W 0D 2L

Pakhtakor v Esteghlal FC (AFC Champions League Elite): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.75 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.5 / 2.86

Corners

against 4.67 / 4.71 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.83 / 4.29

Shots on target

against 4 / 4 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.33 / 2 · 0 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 6 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Pakhtakor for / against	Line	Esteghlal FC for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.5 for · 4.67 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	2.86 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	14.5 for · 11.83 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	10.14 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.83 for · 4 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	4.29 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 9.5 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	11.43 for · 9.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.33 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Pakhtakor

Pakhtakor Goalkeeper

Pakhtakor — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Nazarov	2	90180 min	42 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
S. Kuvvatov	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Pakhtakor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pakhtakor before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Nazarov n 6	90	2.7 5/3

Pakhtakor Defensive

Pakhtakor — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Abdumajidov	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	144.7 /90	31 /90	00 /90
S. Nasrullayev	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Zayed Tahseen	2	90180 min	21 /90	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	157.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
M. Pouraliganji	2	86172 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	115.8 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
D. Saitov	1	9090 min	00 /90	44 /90	11 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90
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Pakhtakor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pakhtakor before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Abdumajidov n 7	90	1 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
Abdurauf Bo'riyev n 8	84.9	1.9 7/3	0.7 3/1	—
Flamarion n 7	85.7	0.8 3/1	1.5 5/3	—
B. Resan n 3	72.7	1.2 2/1	0.4 1/0	—
V. Nazarov n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
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Pakhtakor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pakhtakor before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Abdumajidov n 7	90	2 5/4
Abdurauf Bo'riyev n 8	84.9	1.5 5/2
Flamarion n 7	85.7	1.1 5/1
B. Resan n 3	72.7	1.2 3/0
I. Ibragimov n 3	41.3	0.7 1/0
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Pakhtakor Attacking

Pakhtakor — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Chinedu	2	74148 min	00 /90	00 /90	53 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
Aymen Hussein	2	55109 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
Abdurauf Bo'riyev	3	84251 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90
Flamarion	3	82247 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	72.6 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90
B. Resan	3	73218 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	72.9 /90	10.4 /90
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Pakhtakor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pakhtakor before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Abdumajidov n 7	90	0.9 3/3	0.1 1/0
Abdurauf Bo'riyev n 8	84.9	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Flamarion n 7	85.7	2.1 6/3	0.9 5/1
B. Resan n 3	72.7	0.8 1/1	0.4 1/0
V. Nazarov n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Pakhtakor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pakhtakor before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Abdumajidov n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Abdurauf Bo'riyev n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Flamarion n 7	85.7	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
B. Resan n 3	72.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Nazarov n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Esteghlal FC

Esteghlal FC Goalkeeper

Esteghlal FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Habib Far Abbasi	4	90360 min	153.8 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Esteghlal FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Esteghlal FC before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Habib Far Abbasi n 5	90	3.8 5/5

Esteghlal FC Defensive

Esteghlal FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Aghasi	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	133.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
Saman Fallah	4	90360 min	00 /90	41 /90	00 /90	92.3 /90	41 /90	00 /90
R. Ashurmatov	3	90270 min	31 /90	72.3 /90	20.7 /90	82.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Hossein Goudarzi	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	174.3 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
R. Cheshmi	4	90360 min	41 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	143.5 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
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Esteghlal FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Esteghlal FC before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Saleh Hardani n 8	89.8	2 7/5	2 7/5	—
Hossein Goudarzi n 4	90	1.3 2/2	0 0/0	—
R. Cheshmi n 8	90	0.8 3/1	1 5/3	—
Saman Fallah n 8	86.6	0.8 5/1	0.4 2/1	—
A. Aghasi n 5	87.8	0.4 2/0	0 0/0	—
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Esteghlal FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Esteghlal FC before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Saleh Hardani n 8	89.8	3.9 8/8
Hossein Goudarzi n 4	90	1.8 2/2
A. Aghasi n 5	87.8	1.4 5/2
R. Cheshmi n 8	90	1.1 4/3
Saman Fallah n 8	86.6	0.1 1/0
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Esteghlal FC Attacking

Esteghlal FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Asani	4	76304 min	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	72.1 /90	61.8 /90	92.7 /90	51.5 /90
S. Saharkhizan	4	76304 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	82.4 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
E. Saitmuratov	4	71282 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.9 /90	41.3 /90	20.6 /90	31 /90
A. Koushki	2	4691 min	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Hossein Goudarzi	4	90360 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	41 /90
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Esteghlal FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Esteghlal FC before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Hossein Goudarzi n 4	90	1 3/1	0.3 1/0
Saleh Hardani n 8	89.8	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
Saman Fallah n 8	86.6	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
R. Cheshmi n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Habib Far Abbasi n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Esteghlal FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Esteghlal FC before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Hossein Goudarzi n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Saleh Hardani n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
R. Cheshmi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Habib Far Abbasi n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Aghasi n 5	87.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Pakhtakor v Esteghlal FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PakhtakorWDDLL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Esteghlal FCLWWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Pakhtakor 1 · 1 draw · Esteghlal FC 0 · 1.5 goals/game

2024-11-25 Esteghlal FC 0–0 Pakhtakor
2020-09-26 Pakhtakor 2–1 Esteghlal FC

League standing · 2026/27

Pakhtakor#14 pos2 pts4 pl-5 GD

Esteghlal FC#3 pos9 pts4 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Pakhtakor scored1

Esteghlal FC scored1.5

Pakhtakor conceded2.25

Esteghlal FC conceded0.75

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Pakhtakor and Esteghlal FC?: In their last 2 meetings, Pakhtakor won 1, Esteghlal FC won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Pakhtakor and Esteghlal FC?: Recent form — Pakhtakor 1W 2D 2L; Esteghlal FC 3W 0D 2L.

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