BotswanaUganda

Botswana v Uganda prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Botswana v Uganda, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 8 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Botswana host Uganda in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Uganda, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Uganda have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Botswana are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Uganda are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Botswana’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Botswana’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Botswana have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.71.

Seven of Uganda’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Uganda’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Uganda have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.57.

Botswana have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Uganda the stronger side, 26 rating points above Botswana (Uganda 1562, Botswana 1536, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 October 2025, finished Botswana 0–1 Uganda.

Team news

Predicted Botswana XI (4-4-2): G. Phoko, M. Gaolaolwe, M. Johnson, T. Ditlhokwe, A. Velaphi, G. Mohutsiwa, K. Seakanyeng, M. Cooper, G. Baruti, T. Sesinyi, O. Kebatho — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Uganda XI (4-4-2): D. Onyango, T. Sibbick, J. Obita, A. Kayondo, K. Semakula, R. Mato, B. Byaruhanga, B. Alhassan, K. Aucho, U. Ikpeazu, S. Mukwala — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Botswana 0 · draws 0 · Uganda 2 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Botswana 0W 1D 4L · Uganda 1W 1D 3L

Botswana v Uganda (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
0.5 / 1.83
Corners
against 1.83 / 2.33 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
0.33 / 1.33
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 2.17 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.67 / 1.83
Cards
against 0.83 / 1.67 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 December 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBotswana for / againstLineUganda for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
0.5 for · 1.83 against n 6
9.5standard
1.83 for · 2.33 against n 6
Shots
2.5 for · 11 against n 6
19.5standard
5.33 for · 6.33 against n 6
Shots on target
0.33 for · 4.5 against n 6
8.5standard
1.33 for · 2.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
5.5 for · 8.5 against n 6
21.5standard
6.17 for · 7.5 against n 6
Cards shown
1.67 for · 0.83 against n 6
3.5standard
1.83 for · 1.67 against n 6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Botswana v Uganda — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BotswanaLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
UgandaWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Botswana 0 · 0 draws · Uganda 2 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-10-09 Botswana 0–1 Uganda
  • 2024-06-07 Uganda 1–0 Botswana
Goals per game
Botswana scored0.4
Uganda scored1
Botswana conceded2
Uganda conceded1.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Botswana v Uganda?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Botswana v Uganda is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Botswana and Uganda?
In their last 2 meetings, Botswana won 0, Uganda won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Botswana and Uganda?
Recent form — Botswana 0W 1D 4L; Uganda 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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