UgandaBotswana

Uganda v Botswana prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Uganda v Botswana, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1736 landed (95% range 74.4–78.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Uganda host Botswana in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Uganda or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Uganda have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Uganda are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Botswana are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Uganda’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Uganda’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Uganda have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.75.

Six of Botswana’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Botswana’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Botswana have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.63.

Botswana have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Uganda (second) and Botswana (second) are five points apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Uganda the stronger side, 26 rating points above Botswana (Uganda 1562, Botswana 1536, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 October 2025, finished Botswana 0–1 Uganda.

Team news

Predicted Uganda XI (4-4-2): D. Onyango, T. Sibbick, J. Obita, A. Kayondo, K. Semakula, R. Mato, B. Byaruhanga, B. Alhassan, K. Aucho, U. Ikpeazu, S. Mukwala — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Botswana XI (4-4-2): G. Phoko, M. Gaolaolwe, M. Johnson, T. Ditlhokwe, A. Velaphi, G. Mohutsiwa, K. Seakanyeng, M. Cooper, G. Baruti, T. Sesinyi, O. Kebatho — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Uganda 2 · draws 0 · Botswana 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Uganda 1W 1D 3L · Botswana 0W 1D 4L

Uganda v Botswana (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
1.83 / 0.5
Corners
against 2.33 / 1.83 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
1.33 / 0.33
Shots on target
against 2.17 / 4.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.83 / 1.67
Cards
against 1.67 / 0.83 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 December 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameUganda for / againstLineBotswana for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
1.83 for · 2.33 against n 6
9.5standard
0.5 for · 1.83 against n 6
Shots
5.33 for · 6.33 against n 6
19.5standard
2.5 for · 11 against n 6
Shots on target
1.33 for · 2.17 against n 6
8.5standard
0.33 for · 4.5 against n 6
Fouls committed
6.17 for · 7.5 against n 6
21.5standard
5.5 for · 8.5 against n 6
Cards shown
1.83 for · 1.67 against n 6
3.5standard
1.67 for · 0.83 against n 6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Uganda v Botswana — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UgandaWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
BotswanaLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Uganda 2 · 0 draws · Botswana 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-10-09 Botswana 0–1 Uganda
  • 2024-06-07 Uganda 1–0 Botswana
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Uganda#2 pos13 pts6 pl+3 GD
Botswana#2 pos8 pts6 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Uganda scored1.33
Botswana scored0.67
Uganda conceded0.83
Botswana conceded1.17

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Uganda v Botswana?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Uganda v Botswana is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Uganda and Botswana?
In their last 2 meetings, Uganda won 2, Botswana won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Uganda and Botswana?
Recent form — Uganda 1W 1D 3L; Botswana 0W 1D 4L.

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