Malmo FF v Hammarby FF prediction

Allsvenskan · · Eleda Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Malmo FF v Hammarby FF, Allsvenskan on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 466 of 713 times (65.4%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Malmo FF host Hammarby FF in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Hammarby FF have conceded 21 goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Form and the table

Eight of Malmo FF’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of Malmo FF’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Malmo FF have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.13. Malmo FF have scored 41 goals, the sixth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Malmo FF have conceded 34 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Five of Hammarby FF’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Hammarby FF’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Hammarby FF have four wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 0.89. Hammarby FF have scored 52 goals, the third-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Malmo FF (seventh) and Hammarby FF (second) are nine points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hammarby FF the stronger side, 127 rating points above Malmo FF (Hammarby FF 1841, Malmo FF 1714, after at least 295 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Hammarby FF are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Malmo FF. The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Hammarby FF 4–1 Malmo FF.

Team news

Predicted Malmo FF XI (4-3-3): R. Olsen, Busanello, J. Stryger, A. Djuric, S. Gregersen, A. Skogmar, O. Rosengren, T. Lundbergh, S. Haksabanovic, D. T. Gudjohnsen, D. García — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Haksabanovic (4.1 per match over 25 appearances, five goals and six assists) and O. Rosengren (4.1 per match over 24 appearances, three goals and five assists) have been Malmo FF’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Malmo FF (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Haksabanovic averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 2030 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. O. Rosengren averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 2007 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Hammarby FF XI (4-3-3): W. Hahn, F. Winther, H. Skoglund, I. Fofana, N. Persson, M. Karlsson, F. Adjei, T. Tekie, P. Abraham, V. Lind, M. Madjed — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Victor Lind (6.6 per match over 25 appearances, nine goals and 12 assists) and Paulos Abraham (4.5 per match over 25 appearances, 14 goals and three assists) have been Hammarby FF’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Hammarby FF (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Victor Lind averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 1936 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Paulos Abraham averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1972 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Allsvenskan · Eleda Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Malmo FF 2 · draws 1 · Hammarby FF 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Malmo FF 2W 1D 2L · Hammarby FF 4W 0D 1L

Malmo FF v Hammarby FF (Allsvenskan): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.5 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 7.38
Corners
against 4.75 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 7.88
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMalmo FF for / againstLineHammarby FF for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
7.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
Shots
17.63 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
22.13 for · 7.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
7.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8

Malmo FF

Malmo FF Goalkeeper

Malmo FF — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Olsen19901709 min552.9 /90140.7 /9000 /90
J. Dahlin690540 min213.5 /90142.3 /9000 /90
Malmo FF — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malmo FF before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Olsen n 889.9
2.87/4
J. Dahlin n 890
3.15/4

Malmo FF Defensive

Malmo FF — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Stryger24811949 min231.1 /90150.7 /9090.4 /90522.4 /9090.4 /9040.2 /90
Busanello20761524 min432.5 /90251.5 /9070.4 /90925.4 /90181.1 /9050.3 /90
A. Djuric19891689 min311.7 /90110.6 /90201.1 /90874.6 /90231.2 /9060.3 /90
Malte Palsson1274886 min80.8 /90131.3 /9060.6 /90272.7 /9060.6 /9010.1 /90
B. Kurtulus1144484 min20.4 /9091.7 /9071.3 /90213.9 /90112 /9030.6 /90
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Malmo FF — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malmo FF before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Haksabanovic n 877.1
1.66/3
27/4
—
A. Skogmar n 889.9
1.65/3
0.95/2
—
O. Rosengren n 877.1
2.97/6
0.63/1
—
J. Stryger n 885.5
0.42/1
0.32/0
—
Theodor Lundbergh n 866.4
1.46/2
0.32/0
—
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Malmo FF — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malmo FF before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Haksabanovic n 877.1
0.64/0
A. Skogmar n 889.9
2.58/7
O. Rosengren n 877.1
1.65/4
J. Stryger n 885.5
1.16/1
Theodor Lundbergh n 866.4
1.76/4
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Malmo FF Attacking

Malmo FF — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Erik Botheim19801522 min100.6 /9030.2 /90251.5 /90171 /90160.9 /9010.1 /90
D. T. Gudjohnsen1345590 min10.2 /9010.2 /90162.4 /9091.4 /9081.2 /9071.1 /90
Diego García1046463 min20.4 /9000 /90132.5 /9061.2 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90
Isaac Assibu630177 min00 /9000 /9042 /9000 /9042 /9021 /90
Mayckel Lahdo442168 min00 /9000 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9052.7 /90
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Malmo FF — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malmo FF before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Haksabanovic n 877.1
2.36/6
0.64/0
A. Skogmar n 889.9
0.65/0
0.32/0
O. Rosengren n 877.1
1.54/2
0.73/1
J. Stryger n 885.5
1.86/5
0.54/0
Theodor Lundbergh n 866.4
0.82/1
0.31/1
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Malmo FF — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malmo FF before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Haksabanovic n 877.1
0.11/0
00/0
A. Skogmar n 889.9
00/0
00/0
O. Rosengren n 877.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Stryger n 885.5
00/0
0.11/0
Theodor Lundbergh n 866.4
00/0
0.53/0
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Hammarby FF

Hammarby FF Goalkeeper

Hammarby FF — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Hahn24902160 min492 /90190.8 /9000 /90
Hammarby FF — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hammarby FF before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Hahn n 890
1.94/3

Hammarby FF Defensive

Hammarby FF — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Winther24892138 min351.5 /90281.2 /90120.5 /901114.7 /90220.9 /9010 /90
Hampus Skoglund24882122 min733.1 /90351.5 /90100.4 /901255.3 /90331.4 /9050.2 /90
N. Persson22731595 min241.4 /90120.7 /9070.4 /90724.1 /90261.5 /9030.2 /90
V. Eriksson17871479 min181.1 /90332 /90110.7 /90915.5 /90241.5 /9060.4 /90
I. Fofana17801368 min281.8 /90120.8 /9060.4 /90634.1 /90130.9 /9010.1 /90
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Hammarby FF — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hammarby FF before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Karlsson n 890
1.46/3
26/5
—
Paulos Abraham n 884.1
0.96/1
1.25/3
—
V. Lind n 889.8
1.16/3
1.45/4
—
W. Hahn n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
F. Winther n 889.9
0.86/0
0.54/0
—
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Hammarby FF — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hammarby FF before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Karlsson n 890
2.58/7
Paulos Abraham n 884.1
0.74/1
V. Lind n 889.8
28/5
F. Winther n 889.9
1.46/3
Hampus Skoglund n 888.5
2.58/7
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Hammarby FF Attacking

Hammarby FF — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Paulos Abraham25791972 min140.6 /9030.1 /90602.7 /90371.7 /90391.8 /90200.9 /90
Oliver Jordan Hagen525125 min00 /9000 /9032.2 /9021.4 /9021.4 /9064.3 /90
E. Kabore351154 min00 /9000 /9042.3 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
N. Vasic32780 min33.4 /9000 /9066.8 /9044.5 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Kebbeh21631 min00 /9000 /9012.9 /9012.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Hammarby FF — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hammarby FF before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Karlsson n 890
0.94/3
0.32/0
Paulos Abraham n 884.1
2.78/6
1.95/4
V. Lind n 889.8
3.38/7
1.57/3
W. Hahn n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Winther n 889.9
0.93/3
0.31/1
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Hammarby FF — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hammarby FF before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Karlsson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Paulos Abraham n 884.1
0.54/0
00/0
V. Lind n 889.8
0.32/0
0.64/1
W. Hahn n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Winther n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Malmo FF v Hammarby FF — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Malmo FFLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Hammarby FFWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Malmo FF 2 · 1 draw · Hammarby FF 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Hammarby FF 4–1 Malmo FF
  • 2025-10-27 Malmo FF 1–3 Hammarby FF
  • 2025-04-23 Hammarby FF 2–0 Malmo FF
  • 2024-11-02 Hammarby FF 2–2 Malmo FF
  • 2024-04-07 Malmo FF 2–0 Hammarby FF
  • 2023-09-17 Hammarby FF 1–3 Malmo FF
League standing · 2026
Malmo FF#7 pos40 pts26 pl+7 GD
Hammarby FF#2 pos49 pts25 pl+31 GD
Goals per game
Malmo FF scored1.58
Hammarby FF scored2.08
Malmo FF conceded1.31
Hammarby FF conceded0.84

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Malmo FF v Hammarby FF?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Malmo FF v Hammarby FF is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Malmo FF and Hammarby FF?
In their last 6 meetings, Malmo FF won 2, Hammarby FF won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Malmo FF and Hammarby FF?
Recent form — Malmo FF 2W 1D 2L; Hammarby FF 4W 0D 1L.

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