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Calibrated track record

Champions League Predictions

The Champions League is between seasons — free TACTIX picks for every fixture resume around September. Until then, here’s how accurately the model has called the Champions League — calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, losers included.

±0.2%Mean calibration error

Champions League Track Record by Market

Calibration error and flat-stake ROI on the model’s top pick, losers included. Lower calibration error = more honest probabilities. The complete, filterable record is on the scoreboard.

The full per-market record is on the live scoreboard.

Champions League predictions: the calibrated track record, losers included

Responsible Gambling

Predictions are probabilities, not certainties, and no model reliably beats the bookmakers’ margin. 18+. Please gamble responsibly — see our responsible-gambling policy.

In Season Now

Coupe de FranceUEFA Nations LeagueFriendliesAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationPrimera APrimera DivisiónSerie BMajor League Soccer

Be Ready for Kick-Off

Free picks for every Champions League fixture the moment the season starts — with the full win probability, xG and value on Pro.

Frequently Asked Questions

When do Champions League predictions resume?
TACTIX posts a free model pick for every Champions League fixture once the season is underway (around September). Between seasons this page shows the calibrated track record instead.
How accurate were TACTIX’s Champions League predictions?
About ±0.2% mean calibration error — when the model says 60%, it happens close to 60% of the time. Losing predictions are included.