Grazer AK v Sturm Graz prediction

Bundesliga – Austria · Sat, 12 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Merkur-Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Grazer AK · Sturm Graz · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Grazer AK v Sturm Graz, Bundesliga – Austria on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Grazer AK host Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga – Austria on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Grazer AK are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Sturm Graz are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Sturm Graz have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Sturm Graz are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Grazer AK, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

10 of Grazer AK’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in six of Grazer AK’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Grazer AK have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29. Grazer AK have scored eight goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Grazer AK have conceded 27 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs.

Seven of Sturm Graz’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Sturm Graz’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Sturm Graz have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.67. Sturm Graz have scored 19 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Sturm Graz have conceded 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Grazer AK (ninth) and Sturm Graz (fourth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sturm Graz the stronger side, 286 rating points above Grazer AK (Sturm Graz 1721, Grazer AK 1435, after at least 75 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 October 2026, finished Sturm Graz 6–1 Grazer AK.

Team news

Predicted Grazer AK XI (3-4-3): C. Stanković, Y. Oberleitner, M. Sollbauer, B. Owusu, P. Michorl, C. Cvetko, Anderson, L. Klassen, A. Hofleitner, M. Große, C. Lichtenberger — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Y. Oberleitner (5.9 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and I. Guerti (4.4 per match over three appearances) have been Grazer AK’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Grazer AK (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Y. Oberleitner averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 807 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Sturm Graz XI (3-4-2-1): A. Helac, J. Quarshie, P. Koller, A. Malic, J. Stankovic, L. Weinhandl, J. Hödl, L. Balbo, J. Heil, O. Diakité, S. Seidl — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Emran Soglo (5.1 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and Oumar Diakité (4.9 per match over 10 appearances, 10 goals) have been Sturm Graz’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sturm Graz (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Emran Soglo averages 3.8 tackles per 90 over 638 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Oumar Diakité averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 590 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Bundesliga – Austria · Merkur-Arena
Head-to-head (last 5): Grazer AK 0 · draws 0 · Sturm Graz 5 · 4.6 goals/game
Recent form: Grazer AK 0W 3D 2L · Sturm Graz 2W 2D 1L

Grazer AK v Sturm Graz (Bundesliga – Austria): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 6.63

Corners

against 5.75 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 5

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.38

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Grazer AK for / against	Line	Sturm Graz for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.88 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.63 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.75 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.38 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Grazer AK

Grazer AK Goalkeeper

Grazer AK — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Stanković	11	90990 min	423.8 /90	232.1 /90	00 /90

Grazer AK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grazer AK before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Stanković n 8	90	3.1 7/5

Grazer AK Defensive

Grazer AK — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Y. Oberleitner	9	90807 min	313.5 /90	151.7 /90	70.8 /90	879.7 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
B. Owusu	9	89803 min	222.5 /90	141.6 /90	121.3 /90	465.2 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
M. Sollbauer	6	90540 min	50.8 /90	81.3 /90	20.3 /90	203.3 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90
Donovan Pines	6	83495 min	40.7 /90	112 /90	40.7 /90	285.1 /90	81.5 /90	30.5 /90
M. Gragger	6	48285 min	61.9 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	196 /90	61.9 /90	00 /90
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Grazer AK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grazer AK before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Stanković n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
P. Michorl n 8	89.1	0.9 6/1	1.1 6/3	—
Alexander Hofleitner n 8	84.3	2.3 8/6	1.3 6/4	—
Y. Oberleitner n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.5 4/0	—
B. Owusu n 8	89.1	1 5/3	0.9 5/2	—
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Grazer AK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grazer AK before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Michorl n 8	89.1	1.3 5/4
Alexander Hofleitner n 8	84.3	1.3 4/4
Y. Oberleitner n 8	90	3.8 8/7
B. Owusu n 8	89.1	2.4 7/5
Leon Klassen n 8	85.8	2.1 7/6
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Grazer AK Attacking

Grazer AK — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Alexander Hofleitner	11	81894 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	171.7 /90	90.9 /90	121.2 /90	30.3 /90
Christian Lichtenberger	9	69622 min	00 /90	20.3 /90	101.4 /90	40.6 /90	101.4 /90	81.2 /90
Mark Große	8	50403 min	00 /90	00 /90	81.8 /90	51.1 /90	51.1 /90	71.6 /90
D. Maderner	7	42294 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.5 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
Jacob Italiano	4	76303 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	82.4 /90
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Grazer AK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grazer AK before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Stanković n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Michorl n 8	89.1	1.1 5/3	0.4 2/1
Alexander Hofleitner n 8	84.3	1.7 7/4	0.8 5/1
Y. Oberleitner n 8	90	1.6 6/4	0.9 6/1
B. Owusu n 8	89.1	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0
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Grazer AK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grazer AK before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Stanković n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Michorl n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Alexander Hofleitner n 8	84.3	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Y. Oberleitner n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
B. Owusu n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz Goalkeeper

Sturm Graz — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniil Khudyakov	13	861116 min	433.5 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90
A. Helac	7	86602 min	192.8 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90

Sturm Graz — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniil Khudyakov n 8	82.6	3.3 6/5
A. Helac n 7	86	2.8 5/4

Sturm Graz Defensive

Sturm Graz — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Heil	16	851353 min	392.6 /90	251.7 /90	30.2 /90	795.3 /90	161.1 /90	50.3 /90
Albert Vallci	12	76906 min	202 /90	40.4 /90	70.7 /90	535.3 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90
A. Malic	11	77849 min	222.3 /90	131.4 /90	70.7 /90	565.9 /90	151.6 /90	10.1 /90
Paul-Friedrich Koller	10	89890 min	60.6 /90	141.4 /90	70.7 /90	505.1 /90	141.4 /90	10.1 /90
Joshua Quarshie	10	87869 min	80.8 /90	80.8 /90	40.4 /90	353.6 /90	161.7 /90	10.1 /90
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Sturm Graz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jacob Hödl n 8	67	2 5/2	0.8 1/1	—
Jon Stankovic n 8	87.1	1 3/2	2.2 7/6	—
Simon Seidl n 8	81.6	0.8 4/2	0.8 4/2	—
J. Heil n 8	87.1	0.9 5/2	1.3 4/2	—
Luca Weinhandl n 8	86.9	1.2 5/2	2.5 8/5	—
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Sturm Graz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jacob Hödl n 8	67	0.8 4/1
Jon Stankovic n 8	87.1	1.3 4/3
Simon Seidl n 8	81.6	0.3 2/0
J. Heil n 8	87.1	2.2 8/4
Luca Weinhandl n 8	86.9	1.8 7/3
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Sturm Graz Attacking

Sturm Graz — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Seedy Jatta	10	64641 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	111.5 /90	60.8 /90	50.7 /90	50.7 /90
Oumar Diakité	10	51511 min	101.8 /90	00 /90	284.9 /90	142.5 /90	30.5 /90	50.9 /90
B. Beganović	10	45451 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	102 /90	71.4 /90	51 /90	51 /90
S. Włodarczyk	9	50449 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	91.8 /90	40.8 /90	51 /90	20.4 /90
Axel Kayombo	9	35317 min	00 /90	00 /90	72 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	72 /90
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Sturm Graz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jacob Hödl n 8	67	1.5 5/2	0.5 3/0
Jon Stankovic n 8	87.1	2.1 8/4	0.4 3/0
Simon Seidl n 8	81.6	2.8 7/6	1.1 4/2
J. Heil n 8	87.1	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Luca Weinhandl n 8	86.9	1.4 6/4	0.8 5/1
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Sturm Graz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jacob Hödl n 8	67	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Jon Stankovic n 8	87.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Simon Seidl n 8	81.6	0.1 1/0	0.4 1/1
J. Heil n 8	87.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Luca Weinhandl n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grazer AK v Sturm Graz — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Grazer AKDDLDL

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Sturm GrazWWDDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Grazer AK 0 · 0 draws · Sturm Graz 5 · 4.6 goals/game

2026-10-18 Sturm Graz 6–1 Grazer AK
2025-12-07 Sturm Graz 2–1 Grazer AK
2025-08-30 Grazer AK 0–3 Sturm Graz
2025-03-09 Grazer AK 1–2 Sturm Graz
2024-10-19 Sturm Graz 5–2 Grazer AK

League standing · 2026/27

Grazer AK#9 pos10 pts11 pl-19 GD

Sturm Graz#4 pos19 pts11 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Grazer AK scored0.73

Sturm Graz scored1.73

Grazer AK conceded2.45

Sturm Graz conceded1.18

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Grazer AK and Sturm Graz?: In their last 5 meetings, Grazer AK won 0, Sturm Graz won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grazer AK and Sturm Graz?: Recent form — Grazer AK 0W 3D 2L; Sturm Graz 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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