This Matchweek

1. FC Köln v 1899 Hoffenheim result

Full-time · 1. FC Köln 3–2 1899 Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · · RheinEnergieStadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Köln · 1899 Hoffenheim · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Köln 3–2 1899 Hoffenheim — 1. FC Köln won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 528 of 821 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said 1. FC Köln: 2.32 to 1.92 in expected goals, 0.76 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s from a penalty, from 18 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

1. FC Köln beat 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 at RheinEnergieStadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 29 August. 1. FC Köln have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

1. FC Köln came from behind: 1899 Hoffenheim led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — 1899 Hoffenheim: Adam Daghim (27’, assisted by Bambasé Conté) and Ozan Kabak (67’, assisted by Vladimír Coufal); 1. FC Köln: Said El Mala (51’) and Thijs Dallinga (72’, assisted by Linton Maina; 82’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Thijs Dallinga’s goal on 82 minutes.

Discipline

Florian Badstubner, Germany showed two yellow cards — against 2.2 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1899 Hoffenheim: Ozan Kabak (83’) and Max Moerstedt (90+4’).

What it changes

1. FC Köln are second (shared) after this result (one league match played). 1. FC Köln have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). 1. FC Köln have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

1899 Hoffenheim are 16th (shared) after this result (one league match played). 1899 Hoffenheim have scored 14 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Thijs Dallinga (1. FC Köln) 8.9, Adam Daghim (1899 Hoffenheim) 7.3 and Ozan Kabak (1899 Hoffenheim) 6.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

1. FC Köln are unbeaten in the last three meetings with 1899 Hoffenheim.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (387 of 578).

Next up

1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.

1899 Hoffenheim next travel to Crystal Palace on 5 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for 1899 Hoffenheim: Crystal Palace v 1899 Hoffenheim, Thursday 5 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1. FC Köln 3–2 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga
  • Venue: RheinEnergieStadion · Cologne
  • Referee: Florian Badstubner, Germany
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Köln 2 · draws 3 · 1899 Hoffenheim 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Köln 1W 1D 3L · 1899 Hoffenheim 3W 1D 1L

1. FC Köln 3–2 1899 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.5 / 7.5
Corners
against 5.25 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 3
Cards
against 2 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.2 yellows
Referee · Florian Badstubner, Germany
22.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1. FC Köln for / againstLine1899 Hoffenheim for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3our book
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7.5 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
15.38 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
16.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.38 for · 7.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 7.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: Florian Badstubner, Germany — 2.2 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 22.2 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Schwäbe19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
2.14/2

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Castro-Montes19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
L. Lochoshvili18282 min00 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /90
G. Mensah17575 min22.4 /9000 /9000 /9033.6 /9022.4 /9000 /90
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
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1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Castro-Montes n 863
1.34/3
0.94/1
A. Hajdari
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 866.9
14/1
0.21/0
L. Avdullahu
M. Bülter n 858.6
0.83/1
0.62/1
—
T. Krauß n 882.9
0.75/0
1.47/2
L. Avdullahu
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 883.1
0.54/0
0.53/1
A. Hajdari
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1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Krauß n 882.9
3.98/8
A. Castro-Montes n 863
2.96/5
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 866.9
1.53/3
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 883.1
0.85/1
M. Bülter n 858.6
0.62/1
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1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Ache17575 min00 /9011.2 /9022.4 /9022.4 /9011.2 /9000 /90
T. Dallinga11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson19090 min22 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9022 /9000 /90
M. Bülter19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
S. El Mala18989 min00 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9022 /9011 /90
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1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bülter n 858.6
1.55/2
13/1
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 866.9
1.24/3
0.73/1
A. Castro-Montes n 863
0.74/0
00/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 883.1
0.31/1
0.11/0
T. Krauß n 882.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
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1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 866.9
0.31/1
0.21/0
M. Bülter n 858.6
0.42/0
00/0
T. Krauß n 882.9
00/0
0.11/0
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 883.1
00/0
00/0
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1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim Defensive

1899 Hoffenheim — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Hajdari19090 min22 /9011 /9011 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
M. Rots19090 min11 /9000 /9022 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
O. Kabak19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
V. Coufal17777 min11.2 /9011.2 /9000 /9044.7 /9011.2 /9000 /90
L. Avdullahu19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Burger n 886.1
1.65/4
0.41/1
—
O. Kabak n 890
1.35/2
0.11/0
—
A. Hajdari n 884.1
1.25/3
0.32/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
L. Avdullahu n 882.4
0.84/2
0.31/1
T. Krauß
L. Philipp n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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1899 Hoffenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Burger n 886.1
2.56/4
A. Hajdari n 884.1
1.67/4
L. Avdullahu n 882.4
13/2
O. Kabak n 890
0.96/1
V. Coufal n 884.6
2.38/5
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1899 Hoffenheim Attacking

1899 Hoffenheim — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Lemperle16161 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /90
A. Daghim12929 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9026.2 /9000 /90
Max Moerstedt12929 min13.1 /9000 /90412.4 /9039.3 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Avdullahu19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9044 /9000 /90
W. Burger19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Burger n 886.1
1.25/3
0.32/0
O. Kabak n 890
1.17/2
0.43/0
A. Hajdari n 884.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
L. Avdullahu n 882.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Philipp n 890
00/0
00/0
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1899 Hoffenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Burger n 886.1
0.11/0
00/0
A. Hajdari n 884.1
00/0
0.11/0
O. Kabak n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Philipp n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Avdullahu n 882.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim
41%Possession59%
1.95Expected goals (xG)1.88
18Shots15
6Shots on target4
7Shots off target7
5Blocked shots4
13Shots inside the box8
6Corners7
11Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves3
344Passes492
81%Pass accuracy86%

1. FC Köln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Thielmann9000001307.2
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson9000003407.3
L. Lochoshvili9000200106.6
G. Mensah9000100206.7
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey9000000106.2
M. Schwäbe9000000007.5
A. Castro-Montes8900002206.3
T. Krauß8900110207.3
R. Ache6500102006.9
S. El Mala6510430107.5
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler6500101106.3
T. Dallinga sub2520320008.9
L. Maina sub2501001006.9
E. Skhiri sub2500000106.3
M. Bülter sub10000000–
J. Schmied sub10000000–

1899 Hoffenheim Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Avdullahu9000100206.9
W. Burger9000000006.7
B. Conté9001203006.6
V. Coufal9001004106.6
O. Kabak90101101Y7.7
O. Baumann9000000007.9
A. Daghim8710111107.3
A. Hajdari8700100106.2
P. Wimmer7100001106.9
Bernardo5300000307.3
A. Hložek5300201107
R. Hranáč sub3700000106.7
Max Moerstedt sub37003201Y6.2
Nathan De Cat sub1900001006.5
A. Kramarić sub900000006.3
M. Rots sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Köln v 1899 Hoffenheim — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC KölnLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
1899 HoffenheimWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1. FC Köln 2 · 3 draws · 1899 Hoffenheim 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-21 1. FC Köln 2–2 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2025-10-03 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2024-02-11 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-09-16 1. FC Köln 1–3 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2023-04-22 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 1. FC Köln
  • 2022-10-30 1. FC Köln 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim
League standing · 2026/27
1. FC Köln#12 pos9 pts8 pl-3 GD
1899 Hoffenheim#11 pos9 pts8 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
1. FC Köln scored1.13
1899 Hoffenheim scored1.75
1. FC Köln conceded1.5
1899 Hoffenheim conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1. FC Köln 2.32 xG from 18 shots, 1899 Hoffenheim 1.92 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Max Moerstedt 56' · 0.76 xGTom Krauß 80' · 0.44 xGBambasé Conté 85' · 0.40 xGMax Moerstedt 58' · 0.37 xGSaid El Mala 39' · 0.29 xGTom Krauß 6' · 0.10 xGPaul Okon-Engstler 52' · 0.09 xGLuka Lochoshvili 63' · 0.09 xGRagnar Ache 6' · 0.08 xGLuka Lochoshvili 68' · 0.08 xGJan Thielmann 60' · 0.08 xGSaid El Mala 4' · 0.06 xGSaid El Mala 18' · 0.06 xGMax Moerstedt 94' · 0.06 xGAdam Hlozek 46' · 0.05 xGThijs Dallinga 69' · 0.05 xGAdam Hlozek 21' · 0.03 xGPatrick Wimmer 54' · 0.03 xGAndrej Kramaric 93' · 0.03 xGÍsak Bergmann Jóhannesson 49' · 0.03 xGLeon Avdullahu 76' · 0.02 xGPatrick Wimmer 10' · 0.02 xGGideon Mensah 46' · 0.02 xGBambasé Conté 7' · 0.02 xGLeon Avdullahu 23' · 0.01 xGSaid El Mala 32' · 0.01 xGSaid El Mala 62' · 0.01 xGAlbian Hajdari 14' · 0.01 xGSaid El Mala 50' · 0.42 xG · goalThijs Dallinga 71' · 0.36 xG · goalOzan Kabak 66' · 0.08 xG · goalThijs Dallinga 81' · 0.05 xG · goalAdam Daghim 26' · 0.03 xG · goal
1. FC Köln (attacking right)1899 Hoffenheim (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
1. FC Köln1832.32
1899 Hoffenheim1521.92

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 0.61 to 0.13. At full time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 2.32 to 1.92, 0.76 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.99 xG to 1. FC Köln, in the 52nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - 1899 Hoffenheim 26 minGoal - 1. FC Köln 50 minGoal - 1899 Hoffenheim 66 minGoal - 1. FC Köln 71 minGoal - 1. FC Köln 81 min
1. FC Köln 2.32 xG1899 Hoffenheim 1.92 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Köln v 1899 Hoffenheim?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Köln v 1899 Hoffenheim was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim?
In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 2, 1899 Hoffenheim won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim?
Recent form — 1. FC Köln 1W 1D 3L; 1899 Hoffenheim 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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