1. FC KölnBayer Leverkusen

1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen result

Full-time · 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen — Bayer Leverkusen won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away offsides under 2.5.

Free pick
Away offsides under 2.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said 1. FC Köln: 3.50 to 1.86 in expected goals, 0.76 of Bayer Leverkusen’s from a penalty, from 25 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Bayer Leverkusen won 2–1 at 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga on Saturday 25 April. 1. FC Köln have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayer Leverkusen led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bayer Leverkusen: Patrik Schick (43’ pen; 52’, assisted by Nathan Tella); 1. FC Köln: L. Waldschmidt (77’, assisted by Said El Mala).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Patrik Schick’s goal on 43 minutes.

Discipline

Robert Hartmann, Germany showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Köln: Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (45’); Bayer Leverkusen: Edmond Tapsoba (10’) and Janis Blaswich (90+5’).

What it changes

1. FC Köln stay 12th after this result (31 league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored 49 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). 1. FC Köln have conceded 63 goals, the fourth-most of the 19 clubs.

Bayer Leverkusen stay fifth after this result (31 league matches played). Bayer Leverkusen have scored 68 goals, the fourth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 47 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Patrik Schick (Bayer Leverkusen) 9.8, Said El Mala (1. FC Köln) 7.3 and Robert Andrich (Bayer Leverkusen) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last four meetings with 1. FC Köln.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bayer Leverkusen offsides under 2.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.

Bayer Leverkusen next travel to 1. FC Köln on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga
  • Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Köln 1 · draws 0 · Bayer Leverkusen 5 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Köln 1W 4D 0L · Bayer Leverkusen 2W 1D 2L

1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 6.38
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.82 yellows
Referee · Robert Hartmann, Germany
22.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game1. FC Köln for / againstLineBayer Leverkusen for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.25 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
8 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
8.88 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany — 2.82 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 22.64 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Schwäbe30902700 min882.9 /90511.7 /9020.1 /90
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
2.45/4

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lund30692072 min341.5 /90251.1 /9060.3 /901175.1 /90120.5 /9020.1 /90
S. Sebulonsen29812336 min411.6 /90140.5 /9050.2 /90943.6 /90110.4 /9050.2 /90
C. Özkacar22691524 min271.6 /90191.1 /90130.8 /90895.3 /90100.6 /9020.1 /90
J. Schmied15761145 min120.9 /90110.9 /90100.8 /90413.2 /90141.1 /9040.3 /90
R. van den Berg13871128 min141.1 /90141.1 /90121 /90433.4 /90100.8 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kamiński n 889.8
0.53/1
1.15/3
—
S. El Mala n 873.1
0.52/1
0.95/1
—
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
K. Lund n 875.6
0.63/1
1.97/3
E. Tapsoba
E. Martel n 883.8
1.56/4
2.47/4
Álex Grimaldo
See more players · Pro
1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 889.8
0.84/2
S. El Mala n 873.1
0.52/1
K. Lund n 875.6
1.86/4
E. Martel n 883.8
2.77/5
S. Sebulonsen n 876.3
2.16/4
See more players · Pro

1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Ache29631814 min80.4 /9050.2 /90432.1 /90241.2 /90311.5 /9090.4 /90
M. Bülter24571375 min20.1 /9030.2 /90281.8 /90120.8 /90211.4 /9030.2 /90
L. Waldschmidt1244531 min20.3 /9030.5 /90101.7 /9061 /9091.5 /9020.3 /90
F. Schenten24385 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
J. Kamiński32892833 min70.2 /9030.1 /90391.2 /90240.8 /90521.7 /90220.7 /90
See more players · Pro
1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 889.8
1.35/2
1.14/2
S. El Mala n 873.1
1.57/3
0.85/0
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Lund n 875.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
E. Martel n 883.8
0.86/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 889.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. El Mala n 873.1
0.64/0
0.21/0
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Lund n 875.6
00/0
00/0
E. Martel n 883.8
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen Goalkeeper

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Flekken30892670 min1063.6 /90471.6 /9000 /90
J. Blaswich17861470 min482.9 /90130.8 /9000 /90
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 886.3
3.97/5
J. Blaswich n 890
3.96/6

Bayer Leverkusen Defensive

Bayer Leverkusen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Andrich40833311 min471.3 /90431.2 /90230.6 /901243.4 /90401.1 /9080.2 /90
E. Tapsoba38893386 min421.1 /90330.9 /90260.7 /901494 /90371 /90110.3 /90
J. Quansah38873299 min330.9 /90381 /90170.5 /901363.7 /90200.5 /9090.2 /90
L. Badé28802241 min502 /90271.1 /90261 /901265.1 /90200.8 /9050.2 /90
J. Belocian757398 min71.6 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90143.2 /9061.4 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Aleix García n 887.4
0.11/0
1.35/3
—
Álex Grimaldo n 890
0.94/2
0.54/0
E. Martel
R. Andrich n 888
16/2
0.42/1
—
E. Poku n 861.1
0.42/0
0.42/0
—
E. Tapsoba n 890
1.15/2
0.11/0
K. Lund
See more players · Pro
Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleix García n 887.4
0.85/1
Álex Grimaldo n 890
1.67/3
R. Andrich n 888
0.85/1
E. Poku n 861.1
1.35/2
E. Tapsoba n 890
1.16/3
See more players · Pro

Bayer Leverkusen Attacking

Bayer Leverkusen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Poku39612361 min50.2 /9050.2 /90261 /90120.5 /90371.4 /90411.6 /90
I. Maza37692566 min40.1 /9050.2 /90471.6 /90170.6 /90381.3 /90622.2 /90
P. Schick36682446 min170.6 /9040.1 /90662.4 /90381.4 /90180.7 /90150.6 /90
M. Tillman34652196 min70.3 /9000 /90291.2 /90130.5 /90281.1 /90150.6 /90
Christian Kofane31571775 min60.3 /9040.2 /90472.4 /90231.2 /90221.1 /90100.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix García n 887.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
Álex Grimaldo n 890
1.34/3
0.62/1
R. Andrich n 888
0.84/2
0.32/0
E. Poku n 861.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
E. Tapsoba n 890
0.84/1
0.53/1
See more players · Pro
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Aleix García n 887.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Álex Grimaldo n 890
0.42/1
0.42/1
R. Andrich n 888
0.32/0
00/0
E. Poku n 861.1
00/0
00/0
E. Tapsoba n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC KölnBayer Leverkusen
45%Possession55%
3.04Expected goals (xG)1.33
25Shots8
10Shots on target3
8Shots off target3
7Blocked shots2
19Shots inside the box5
2Corners5
1Offsides2
11Fouls5
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves8
459Passes574
85%Pass accuracy87%

1. FC Köln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Schwäbe9000000006.6
S. Sebulonsen9000110106.2
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey9000001206.3
C. Özkacar9000000106.9
J. Kamiński9000321106.6
S. El Mala9001831207.6
E. Martel8500111106.6
K. Lund7200000106.2
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson72000010Y6.3
L. Maina5900003106.9
M. Bülter5900002106.5
J. Thielmann sub3100004007.3
A. Castro-Montes sub3100101206.9
F. Chávez sub1800110006.9
L. Waldschmidt sub1810320007.7
Youssoupha Niang sub1200000006.3

Bayer Leverkusen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Blaswich90000000Y8.7
R. Andrich9000100506.5
E. Tapsoba90000002Y7.9
E. Palacios9000000106.3
Álex Grimaldo9000100206.9
P. Schick9020320007.9
J. Quansah8500110105.9
M. Culbreath7200000207
Aleix García7200000107.2
N. Tella7201002007.3
I. Maza6100000206.5
M. Tillman sub2900000106.3
Arthur sub1800000006.2
E. Fernández sub1800000206.9
E. Ben Seghir sub1800000006.6
L. Badé sub1200000007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC KölnDDDWD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Bayer LeverkusenDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1. FC Köln 1 · 0 draws · Bayer Leverkusen 5 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-13 Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Köln
  • 2025-02-05 Bayer Leverkusen 3–2 1. FC Köln
  • 2024-03-03 1. FC Köln 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2023-10-08 Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-05-05 Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 1. FC Köln
  • 2022-11-09 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen
League standing · 2025/26
1. FC Köln#14 pos32 pts34 pl-14 GD
Bayer Leverkusen#6 pos59 pts34 pl+21 GD
Goals per game
1. FC Köln scored1.44
Bayer Leverkusen scored2
1. FC Köln conceded1.85
Bayer Leverkusen conceded1.38

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1. FC Köln 3.50 xG from 25 shots, Bayer Leverkusen 1.86 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jakub Kaminski 50' · 0.52 xGJakub Kaminski 3' · 0.39 xGSaid El Mala 47' · 0.34 xGSaid El Mala 35' · 0.30 xGSaid El Mala 17' · 0.29 xGPatrik Schick 12' · 0.27 xGSaid El Mala 65' · 0.10 xGSaid El Mala 2' · 0.09 xGJakub Kaminski 54' · 0.08 xGSaid El Mala 80' · 0.08 xGÁlex Grimaldo 37' · 0.08 xGJarell Quansah 15' · 0.08 xGGian-Luca Waldschmidt 75' · 0.08 xGSaid El Mala 65' · 0.07 xGEric Martel 28' · 0.07 xGSaid El Mala 8' · 0.07 xGFelipe Chávez 86' · 0.06 xGFelipe Chávez 92' · 0.06 xGJakub Kaminski 96' · 0.06 xGAlessio Castro-Montes 62' · 0.06 xGSaid El Mala 55' · 0.05 xGNathan Tella 37' · 0.05 xGSaid El Mala 70' · 0.04 xGFelipe Chávez 96' · 0.04 xGSebastian Sebulonsen 10' · 0.04 xGEric Martel 6' · 0.03 xGGian-Luca Waldschmidt 86' · 0.02 xGJan Thielmann 70' · 0.02 xGÁlex Grimaldo 39' · 0.01 xGRobert Andrich 67' · 0.01 xGPatrik Schick 42' · 0.76 xG · goalPatrik Schick 51' · 0.60 xG · goalGian-Luca Waldschmidt 76' · 0.53 xG · goal
1. FC Köln (attacking right)Bayer Leverkusen (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
1. FC Köln2513.50
Bayer Leverkusen821.86

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: 1. FC Köln 1.28, Bayer Leverkusen 1.25, including 0.76 from a penalty. At full time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 3.50 to 1.86, 0.76 of Bayer Leverkusen’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.64 xG to 1. FC Köln, in the 96th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.51.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bayer Leverkusen 42 minGoal - Bayer Leverkusen 51 minGoal - 1. FC Köln 76 min
1. FC Köln 3.50 xGBayer Leverkusen 1.86 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen was Away offsides under 2.5.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and Bayer Leverkusen?
In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, Bayer Leverkusen won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Köln and Bayer Leverkusen?
Recent form — 1. FC Köln 1W 4D 0L; Bayer Leverkusen 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+