This Matchweek

1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach result

Full-time · 1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga · · RheinEnergieStadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach — 1. FC Köln won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.55 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 528 of 821 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said 1. FC Köln: 1.54 to 1.04 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the 54th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

1. FC Köln beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 at RheinEnergieStadion in the Bundesliga on Sunday 11 October. 1. FC Köln have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — 1. FC Köln: Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (26’) and Said El Mala (67’, assisted by Linton Maina); Borussia Mönchengladbach: Joseph Scally (39’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Said El Mala’s goal on 67 minutes.

Discipline

Florian Badstubner, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 2.2 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Köln: Marius Bülter (13’); Borussia Mönchengladbach: Jan Leszczyński (24’), Zento Uno (81’) and Shuto Machino (90+6’).

What it changes

1. FC Köln move up from 12th to 10th (five league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). 1. FC Köln have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Mönchengladbach stay 18th after this result (five league matches played). Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored 11 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

It is 1. FC Köln’s first win over Borussia Mönchengladbach since 22 October 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Borussia Mönchengladbach have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Linton Maina (1. FC Köln) 8.7, Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (1. FC Köln) 7.2 and Joseph Scally (Borussia Mönchengladbach) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Borussia Mönchengladbach are unbeaten in the last three meetings with 1. FC Köln.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (387 of 578).

Next up

1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.

Borussia Mönchengladbach next travel to Hamburger SV on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Borussia Mönchengladbach: Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga
  • Venue: RheinEnergieStadion · Köln
  • Referee: Florian Badstubner, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Köln 1 · draws 3 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 · 4.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 2L · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1W 0D 4L

1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.13
Goals
against 2.5 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6 / 5
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 6.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 3
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.2 yellows
Referee · Florian Badstubner, Germany
22.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1. FC Köln for / againstLineBorussia Mönchengladbach for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.25our book
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
16.63 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Florian Badstubner, Germany — 2.2 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 22.2 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Schwäbe590450 min163.2 /90102 /9010.2 /90
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
2.66/3

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey590450 min51 /9061.2 /9040.8 /90265.2 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
L. Lochoshvili588442 min10.2 /9010.2 /9040.8 /90163.3 /9030.6 /9000 /90
G. Mensah582409 min61.3 /9061.3 /9000 /90132.9 /9092 /9020.4 /90
A. Castro-Montes580401 min132.9 /9040.9 /9000 /90214.7 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
B. Sosa12626 min00 /9013.5 /9000 /9013.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
0.54/0
15/2
K. Diks
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
—
L. Lochoshvili n 588.4
0.63/0
0.63/0
K. Diks
T. Krauß n 883.5
1.26/2
1.26/2
—
G. Mensah n 581.8
25/4
0.41/1
—
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1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
1.17/2
L. Lochoshvili n 588.4
0.21/0
T. Krauß n 883.5
2.46/6
G. Mensah n 581.8
1.34/2
A. Castro-Montes n 865
2.87/6
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1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Ache553267 min10.3 /9010.3 /9062 /9031 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90
T. Dallinga442168 min21.1 /9000 /9073.8 /9042.1 /9021.1 /9000 /90
J. Thielmann370210 min00 /9000 /9031.3 /9000 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90
Reigan Heskey11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Krauß588438 min00 /9000 /9040.8 /9020.4 /9040.8 /9000 /90
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1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Lochoshvili n 588.4
0.83/1
00/0
T. Krauß n 883.5
0.74/1
0.43/0
G. Mensah n 581.8
0.42/0
00/0
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1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Lochoshvili n 588.4
00/0
00/0
T. Krauß n 883.5
00/0
0.11/0
G. Mensah n 581.8
00/0
00/0
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Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach Goalkeeper

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Nicolas590450 min234.6 /90163.2 /9000 /90
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Nicolas n 890
4.36/6

Borussia Mönchengladbach Defensive

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Diks590450 min40.8 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90183.6 /9030.6 /9030.6 /90
K. Itakura577387 min30.7 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90122.8 /9040.9 /9000 /90
L. Ullrich475298 min72.1 /9061.8 /9000 /90175.1 /9051.5 /9010.3 /90
J. Scally381243 min93.3 /9010.4 /9000 /90186.7 /9000 /9010.4 /90
D. Herold348143 min63.8 /9000 /9031.9 /90106.3 /9031.9 /9000 /90
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Sander n 889.5
26/5
0.43/0
—
K. Diks n 881.3
0.63/1
0.85/1
L. Lochoshvili
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
K. Itakura n 882.1
0.84/2
0.75/0
—
H. Bolin n 862.9
1.13/2
1.44/3
—
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Sander n 889.5
2.38/5
K. Diks n 881.3
0.84/2
K. Itakura n 882.1
0.84/2
H. Bolin n 862.9
1.64/3
W. Mohya n 857.8
1.96/3
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Borussia Mönchengladbach Attacking

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Lidberg457229 min10.4 /9000 /9083.1 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9000 /90
T. Kleindienst373219 min00 /9000 /9041.6 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
S. Machino32780 min11.1 /9000 /9022.3 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /90
F. Neuhaus16464 min11.4 /9000 /9022.8 /9011.4 /9045.6 /9000 /90
N. Kühn12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9028.6 /9000 /90
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Sander n 889.5
14/3
0.32/0
K. Diks n 881.3
0.85/1
0.11/0
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Itakura n 882.1
0.86/0
0.43/0
H. Bolin n 862.9
3.26/4
2.55/4
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Sander n 889.5
00/0
0.11/0
K. Diks n 881.3
0.11/0
00/0
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Itakura n 882.1
00/0
00/0
H. Bolin n 862.9
0.93/2
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach
48%Possession52%
1.32Expected goals (xG)1.17
19Shots16
7Shots on target7
10Shots off target4
2Blocked shots5
13Shots inside the box7
6Corners6
1Offsides1
8Fouls17
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
6Saves5
391Passes422
80%Pass accuracy80%

1. FC Köln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Schwäbe9000000008.3
S. Sebulonsen9000110106.5
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey9000211007.3
B. Sosa9000113307.7
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson9010112307.9
M. Bülter90000010Y6.9
L. Maina8901224407.5
M. Moore8500101007.5
L. Lochoshvili7800100406.7
S. El Mala7810711208.3
E. Skhiri4500001106.9
T. Krauß sub4500001307.9
J. Thielmann sub1200000006.6
J. Schmied sub1200000107.2
I. Rondić sub1200000006.7
L. Waldschmidt sub10010000–

Borussia Mönchengladbach Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Scally9010211107.6
L. Ullrich9000110006.3
P. Sander9000322006.9
K. Diks9000000106.7
H. Bolin9000111107.3
M. Nicolas9000000006.5
J. Leszczyński80000001Y6.7
D. Hashioka8000001206.2
F. Neuhaus6800111006.3
I. Lidberg6400100106.2
R. Hack6400001106.7
W. Mohya sub2600112006.7
S. Machino sub26001010Y6.2
Zento Uno sub22000011Y6.7
F. Fleck sub1000000006.6
F. Chiarodia sub1000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC KölnWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Borussia MönchengladbachWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 2.2 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1. FC Köln 1 · 3 draws · Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 · 4.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 1. FC Köln 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2025-11-08 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2024-03-09 Borussia Monchengladbach 3–3 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-10-22 1. FC Köln 3–1 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 2023-04-02 1. FC Köln 0–0 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 2022-10-09 Borussia Monchengladbach 5–2 1. FC Köln
League standing · 2026/27
1. FC Köln#12 pos9 pts8 pl-3 GD
Borussia Mönchengladbach#18 pos4 pts8 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
1. FC Köln scored1.13
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored1.38
1. FC Köln conceded1.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach conceded2.75

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1. FC Köln 1.54 xG from 20 shots, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.04 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Said El Mala 56' · 0.42 xGSaid El Mala 72' · 0.13 xGJahmai Simpson-Pusey 58' · 0.10 xGGian-Luca Waldschmidt 95' · 0.10 xGSaid El Mala 53' · 0.09 xGHugo Bolin 43' · 0.09 xGHugo Bolin 82' · 0.08 xGZento Uno 87' · 0.07 xGLinton Maina 41' · 0.06 xGPhilipp Sander 7' · 0.06 xGWael Mohya 72' · 0.06 xGSaid El Mala 14' · 0.06 xGLuka Lochoshvili 5' · 0.06 xGSaid El Mala 49' · 0.05 xGJahmai Simpson-Pusey 54' · 0.05 xGIsac Lidberg 33' · 0.05 xGSebastian Sebulonsen 54' · 0.05 xGBorna Sosa 44' · 0.05 xGSaid El Mala 15' · 0.05 xGHugo Bolin 29' · 0.05 xGSebastian Sebulonsen 12' · 0.05 xGShuto Machino 91' · 0.05 xGSaid El Mala 51' · 0.04 xGLukas Ullrich 80' · 0.04 xGMikey Moore 30' · 0.04 xGWael Mohya 91' · 0.04 xGLinton Maina 49' · 0.03 xGFlorian Neuhaus 1' · 0.02 xGPhilipp Sander 37' · 0.02 xGSebastian Sebulonsen 41' · 0.02 xGPhilipp Sander 2' · 0.01 xGJoe Scally 32' · 0.01 xGLukas Ullrich 89' · 0.01 xGJoe Scally 38' · 0.37 xG · goalSaid El Mala 66' · 0.04 xG · goalÍsak Bergmann Jóhannesson 25' · 0.04 xG · goal
1. FC Köln (attacking right)Borussia Mönchengladbach (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
1. FC Köln2021.54
Borussia Mönchengladbach1611.04

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: 1. FC Köln 0.42, Borussia Mönchengladbach 0.69. At full time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 1.54 to 1.04. The widest gap was 0.75 xG to 1. FC Köln, in the 72nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - 1. FC Köln 25 minGoal - Borussia Mönchengladbach 38 minGoal - 1. FC Köln 66 min
1. FC Köln 1.54 xGBorussia Mönchengladbach 1.04 xGdots = goals · 36 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Köln and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Recent form — 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 2L; Borussia Mönchengladbach 1W 0D 4L.

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