1. FC Köln v SC Freiburg result

Full-time · 1. FC Köln 4–1 SC Freiburg

Bundesliga · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 18:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Köln · SC Freiburg · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Köln 4–1 SC Freiburg — 1. FC Köln won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,041 of 1,389 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said 1. FC Köln: 1.84 to 0.93 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

1. FC Köln beat SC Freiburg 4–1 in the Bundesliga on Sunday 31 August. It is 1. FC Köln’s first win over SC Freiburg since 5 February 2022, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

1. FC Köln led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — 1. FC Köln: Jakub Kamiński (35’, assisted by Marius Bülter), Marius Bülter (47’, assisted by Jan Thielmann), Jan Thielmann (56’, assisted by Marius Bülter) and Said El Mala (81’); SC Freiburg: Maximilian Eggestein (84’, assisted by Christian Günter).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jakub Kamiński’s goal on 35 minutes.

Discipline

Tobias Reichel, Germany showed three yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Köln: Eric Martel (41’) and Joël Schmied (55’); SC Freiburg: Johan Manzambi (29’).

What it changes

1. FC Köln move up from seventh to third (two league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored 49 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). 1. FC Köln have conceded 63 goals, the fourth-most of the 19 clubs.

SC Freiburg move down from 16th to 18th (two league matches played). SC Freiburg have scored 51 goals, the eighth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). SC Freiburg have conceded 57 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs.

1. FC Köln are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. SC Freiburg have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marius Bülter (1. FC Köln) 11.1, Jan Thielmann (1. FC Köln) 7.9 and Jakub Kamiński (1. FC Köln) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

SC Freiburg are unbeaten in the last four meetings with 1. FC Köln.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, 1. FC Köln or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.

SC Freiburg next host Union Berlin on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for SC Freiburg: SC Freiburg v Union Berlin, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: 1. FC Köln 4–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Reichel, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Köln 1 · draws 2 · SC Freiburg 3 · 1.33 goals/game
Recent form: 1. FC Köln 4W 1D 0L · SC Freiburg 2W 1D 2L

1. FC Köln 4–1 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246

Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC Köln		SC Freiburg
39%	Possession	61%
2.11	Expected goals (xG)	0.91
18	Shots	12
6	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	8
5	Blocked shots	2
12	Shots inside the box	8
3	Corners	5
1	Offsides	2
12	Fouls	9
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	2
353	Passes	554
79%	Pass accuracy	85%

1. FC Köln Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Schwäbe	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
S. Sebulonsen	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.3
R. van den Berg	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
E. Martel	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	7.2
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
J. Kamiński	90	1	0	3	2	4	0	0	7.9
M. Bülter	76	1	2	2	1	3	1	0	9.2
K. Lund	68	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
J. Thielmann	68	1	1	3	2	3	0	0	8
D. Huseinbašić	59	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
T. Hubers	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Schmied sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
T. Krauß sub	31	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	6.2
Jusuf Gazibegović sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. El Mala sub	22	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.3
R. Ache sub	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3

SC Freiburg Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Atubolu	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
M. Ginter	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
P. Lienhart	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6
C. Günter	90	0	1	1	0	4	0	0	6
M. Eggestein	90	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.5
J. Manzambi	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	Y	7
L. Kübler	85	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
L. Höler	85	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	6.2
Y. Suzuki	69	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.9
V. Grifo	69	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
E. Dinkçi	45	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
M. Röhl sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Jung sub	21	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
N. Höfler sub	21	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
P. Treu sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Adamu sub	11	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Köln v SC Freiburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

1. FC KölnDWWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

SC FreiburgDWLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

1. FC Köln 1 · 2 draws · SC Freiburg 3 · 1.33 goals/game

2024-05-04 1. FC Köln 0–0 SC Freiburg
2023-12-17 SC Freiburg 2–0 1. FC Köln
2023-04-29 1. FC Köln 0–1 SC Freiburg
2022-11-06 SC Freiburg 2–0 1. FC Köln
2022-02-05 1. FC Köln 1–0 SC Freiburg
2021-09-11 SC Freiburg 1–1 1. FC Köln

League standing · 2025/26

1. FC Köln#14 pos32 pts34 pl-14 GD

SC Freiburg#7 pos47 pts34 pl-6 GD

Goals per game

1. FC Köln scored1.44

SC Freiburg scored1.5

1. FC Köln conceded1.85

SC Freiburg conceded1.68

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1. FC Köln 1.84 xG from 18 shots, SC Freiburg 0.93 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

1. FC Köln (attacking right)SC Freiburg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
1. FC Köln	18	4	1.84
SC Freiburg	12	1	0.93

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 0.81 to 0.24. At full time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 1.84 to 0.93. The widest gap was 1.40 xG to 1. FC Köln, in the 66th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

1. FC Köln 1.84 xGSC Freiburg 0.93 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Köln v SC Freiburg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Köln v SC Freiburg was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and SC Freiburg?: In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, SC Freiburg won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Köln and SC Freiburg?: Recent form — 1. FC Köln 4W 1D 0L; SC Freiburg 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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