1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund

1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund result

Full-time · 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga · · PreZero Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 Borussia Dortmund — 1899 Hoffenheim won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Borussia Dortmund: 1.28 to 2.23 in expected goals, 1.52 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s from penalties, from 8 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 12th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

1899 Hoffenheim beat Borussia Dortmund 2–1 at PreZero Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 18 April. It is 1899 Hoffenheim’s first win over Borussia Dortmund since 25 February 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

1899 Hoffenheim led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — 1899 Hoffenheim: Andrej Kramarić (42’ pen, 90’ pen); Borussia Dortmund: Serhou Guirassy (87’, assisted by R. Bensebaïni).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Andrej Kramarić’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Daniel Siebert, Germany showed five yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1899 Hoffenheim: Wouter Burger (31’) and Alexander Prass (77’); Borussia Dortmund: Nico Schlotterbeck (84’), Julian Ryerson (90+7’) and S. Inacio (90+10’).

What it changes

1899 Hoffenheim stay fifth after this result (30 league matches played). 1899 Hoffenheim have scored 64 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded 48 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Dortmund stay second after this result (30 league matches played). Borussia Dortmund have scored 65 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). Borussia Dortmund have conceded 32 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Andrej Kramarić (1899 Hoffenheim) 11.5, R. Bensebaïni (Borussia Dortmund) 6.2 and Waldemar Anton (Borussia Dortmund) 5.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in the last three meetings with 1899 Hoffenheim.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (338 of 492).

Next up

1899 Hoffenheim next travel to Eintracht Frankfurt on 21 November 2026.

Borussia Dortmund next travel to Borussia Mönchengladbach on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1899 Hoffenheim: Eintracht Frankfurt v 1899 Hoffenheim, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Mönchengladbach v Borussia Dortmund, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga
  • Venue: PreZero Arena · Sinsheim
  • Referee: Daniel Siebert, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1899 Hoffenheim 1 · draws 1 · Borussia Dortmund 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 2D 2L · Borussia Dortmund 4W 0D 1L

1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.38 / 5.25
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · Daniel Siebert, Germany
21.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game1899 Hoffenheim for / againstLineBorussia Dortmund for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
7.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
17.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 6.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Daniel Siebert, Germany — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 21.64 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim Goalkeeper

1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Baumann30902700 min893 /90431.4 /9000 /90
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Baumann n 890
2.56/4

1899 Hoffenheim Defensive

1899 Hoffenheim — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Coufal30892657 min491.7 /90341.2 /90140.5 /901404.7 /90331.1 /9040.1 /90
R. Hranáč26862243 min261 /90180.7 /90180.7 /901194.8 /90261 /9040.2 /90
Bernardo25822054 min652.8 /90331.4 /90150.7 /901747.6 /90371.6 /9070.3 /90
A. Hajdari25812015 min522.3 /90301.3 /90170.8 /901265.6 /90381.7 /9090.4 /90
O. Kabak17751281 min161.1 /90211.5 /9080.6 /901218.5 /90181.3 /9030.2 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Baumann n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
V. Coufal n 886.1
1.45/4
14/3
W. Anton
A. Kramarić n 870.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
—
L. Avdullahu n 879.9
0.74/1
0.32/0
D. Svensson
F. Asllani n 874.8
0.93/1
0.84/1
—
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1899 Hoffenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Coufal n 886.1
1.67/4
A. Kramarić n 870.4
0.21/0
L. Avdullahu n 879.9
1.85/4
F. Asllani n 874.8
0.63/1
G. Prömel n 874.3
1.55/2
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1899 Hoffenheim Attacking

1899 Hoffenheim — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Kramarić30631903 min100.5 /9060.3 /90411.9 /90261.2 /90341.6 /90170.8 /90
F. Asllani29702044 min100.4 /9070.3 /90502.2 /90251.1 /90321.4 /90130.6 /90
T. Lemperle24691647 min60.3 /9020.1 /90362 /90191 /90241.3 /90110.6 /90
Max Moerstedt1030302 min30.9 /9000 /9061.8 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
I. Bebou42182 min00 /9000 /9033.3 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Baumann n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Coufal n 886.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Kramarić n 870.4
1.45/3
0.84/1
L. Avdullahu n 879.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Asllani n 874.8
2.67/5
1.45/3
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1899 Hoffenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Baumann n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Coufal n 886.1
00/0
0.42/1
A. Kramarić n 870.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Avdullahu n 879.9
00/0
00/0
F. Asllani n 874.8
0.53/0
0.32/0
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Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund Goalkeeper

Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Kobel46904140 min1332.9 /90581.3 /9000 /90
Borussia Dortmund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Kobel n 890
2.97/6

Borussia Dortmund Defensive

Borussia Dortmund — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Anton43893807 min811.9 /90421 /90190.4 /902135 /90380.9 /9060.1 /90
R. Bensebaïni32842702 min561.9 /90381.3 /90170.6 /901595.3 /90541.8 /90110.4 /90
N. Schlotterbeck31882720 min581.9 /90331.1 /90130.4 /901635.4 /90280.9 /9060.2 /90
E. Can1373945 min262.5 /90222.1 /9080.8 /90666.3 /90161.5 /9040.4 /90
N. Süle1268812 min161.8 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90333.7 /9091 /9030.3 /90
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Borussia Dortmund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Kobel n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
D. Svensson n 880.1
0.85/1
15/1
L. Avdullahu
S. Guirassy n 865.9
0.53/0
1.55/4
—
W. Anton n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
V. Coufal
F. Nmecha n 881.4
1.15/2
1.48/2
—
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Borussia Dortmund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Svensson n 880.1
1.48/2
S. Guirassy n 865.9
00/0
W. Anton n 890
37/6
F. Nmecha n 881.4
1.24/3
J. Ryerson n 882
0.73/2
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Borussia Dortmund Attacking

Borussia Dortmund — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Guirassy44743256 min220.6 /9040.1 /90922.5 /90551.5 /90340.9 /90170.5 /90
M. Beier37622294 min100.4 /9050.2 /90451.8 /90240.9 /90291.1 /90200.8 /90
J. Brandt34602041 min90.4 /9040.2 /90361.6 /90190.8 /90311.4 /90261.1 /90
K. Adeyemi34571940 min90.4 /9060.3 /90401.9 /90180.8 /90261.2 /90492.3 /90
Fábio Silva2343987 min20.2 /9050.5 /90201.8 /9090.8 /90222 /90121.1 /90
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Borussia Dortmund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Kobel n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Svensson n 880.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Guirassy n 865.9
2.46/4
1.24/2
W. Anton n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Nmecha n 881.4
15/1
0.43/0
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Borussia Dortmund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Dortmund before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Kobel n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Svensson n 880.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. Guirassy n 865.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
W. Anton n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Nmecha n 881.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
46%Possession54%
2.25Expected goals (xG)0.70
13Shots8
4Shots on target3
4Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box6
4Corners3
6Offsides3
14Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves2
381Passes436
81%Pass accuracy82%

1899 Hoffenheim Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Baumann9000000006.7
V. Coufal9000102107.5
O. Kabak9000212106.6
A. Hajdari9000000207.2
L. Avdullahu9000000307.5
A. Kramarić9020330107.9
F. Asllani9000102106.2
T. Lemperle8200100206.5
Bernardo7200000307.5
W. Burger60000023Y7.2
B. Touré6000001006.7
G. Prömel sub3000000006.6
A. Prass sub30000000Y6.2
R. Hranáč sub1800000006.3
Max Moerstedt sub800000006.3

Borussia Dortmund Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Kobel9000000007.3
W. Anton9000110307.3
N. Schlotterbeck90000001Y6.6
J. Ryerson90000021Y7.2
J. Bellingham9000000106.3
C. Chukwuemeka9000000206.2
M. Beier9000210206.7
M. Sabitzer7100001006.6
D. Svensson7100100206.9
Fábio Silva6000000006.2
N. Süle4200000106.7
R. Bensebaïni sub4801001107.2
S. Guirassy sub3010110007.7
S. Inacio sub19000011Y6.3
J. Brandt sub1900100006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1899 HoffenheimWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Borussia DortmundWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1899 Hoffenheim 1 · 1 draw · Borussia Dortmund 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-12-07 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2025-04-26 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2024-12-15 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2024-02-25 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2023-11-01 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2023-09-29 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Borussia Dortmund
League standing · 2025/26
1899 Hoffenheim#5 pos61 pts34 pl+13 GD
Borussia Dortmund#2 pos73 pts34 pl+36 GD
Goals per game
1899 Hoffenheim scored1.91
Borussia Dortmund scored2.06
1899 Hoffenheim conceded1.53
Borussia Dortmund conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1899 Hoffenheim 2.23 xG from 13 shots, Borussia Dortmund 1.28 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Daniel Svensson 12' · 0.70 xGAndrej Kramaric 25' · 0.30 xGDaniel Svensson 64' · 0.29 xGJulian Brandt 102' · 0.14 xGTim Lemperle 30' · 0.09 xGFisnik Asllani 0' · 0.06 xGVladimir Coufal 43' · 0.05 xGOzan Kabak 61' · 0.05 xGMaximilian Beier 64' · 0.05 xGMaximilian Beier 90' · 0.05 xGAndrej Kramaric 36' · 0.04 xGTim Lemperle 5' · 0.04 xGOzan Kabak 87' · 0.03 xGBernardo 43' · 0.02 xGWaldemar Anton 28' · 0.02 xGAlbian Hajdari 13' · 0.01 xGCarney Chukwuemeka 55' · 0.01 xGFisnik Asllani 0' · 0.01 xGAndrej Kramaric 41' · 0.76 xG · goalAndrej Kramaric 97' · 0.76 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy 86' · 0.04 xG · goal
1899 Hoffenheim (attacking right)Borussia Dortmund (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
1899 Hoffenheim1322.23
Borussia Dortmund811.28

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, 1899 Hoffenheim led on xG, 1.39 to 0.71, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, 1899 Hoffenheim led on xG, 2.23 to 1.28, 1.52 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.08 xG to 1899 Hoffenheim, in the 97th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.21.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - 1899 Hoffenheim 41 minGoal - Borussia Dortmund 86 minGoal - 1899 Hoffenheim 97 min
1899 Hoffenheim 2.23 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.28 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund?
In their last 6 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 1, Borussia Dortmund won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund?
Recent form — 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 2D 2L; Borussia Dortmund 4W 0D 1L.

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