Bayern München v FSV Mainz 05 result
Team pages: Bayern München · FSV Mainz 05 · Head-to-head
Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05 — this Bundesliga match was drawn.
What xG said
xG said Bayern München: 4.81 to 0.80 in expected goals, from 24 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the fifth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.
The result
Bayern München and FSV Mainz 05 drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga on Sunday 14 December. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: Lennart Karl (29’, assisted by Serge Gnabry) and Harry Kane (87’ pen); FSV Mainz 05: Kacper Potulski (45’, assisted by W. Bøving) and Lee Jae-Sung (67’, assisted by Stefan Bell).
Discipline
Robin Braun, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bayern München: Konrad Laimer (77’) and Alphonso Davies (83’); FSV Mainz 05: Danny da Costa (50’) and Kacper Potulski (86’).
What it changes
Bayern München stay first after this result (14 league matches played).
FSV Mainz 05 stay 18th after this result (14 league matches played).
Bayern München are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. FSV Mainz 05 are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harry Kane (Bayern München) 9.6, Serge Gnabry (Bayern München) 7.1 and W. Bøving (FSV Mainz 05) 7.1 led the match.
Next up
Bayern München next host Arsenal on 21 October 2026.
FSV Mainz 05 next host Werder Bremen on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Bayern München: Bayern München v Arsenal, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
- Referee: Robin Braun, Germany
- Head-to-head (last 6): Bayern München 4 · draws 0 · FSV Mainz 05 2 · 4.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Bayern München 4W 0D 1L · FSV Mainz 05 0W 2D 3L
Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bayern München for / against | Line | FSV Mainz 05 for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 3.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.75 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.25 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.63 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.63 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.88 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Robin Braun, Germany — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.5 fouls over 8 matches (2 to the home side, 2 to the away side).
Bayern München
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Mike n 3 | 10.7 | 2.8 | 0 | — |
| L. Goretzka n 8 | 39.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | — |
| J. Tah n 8 | 88.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | — |
| K. Laimer n 8 | 76 | 1.3 | 0.7 | — |
| A. Pavlović n 8 | 69.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Mike n 3 | 10.7 | 8.4 | 2.8 |
| L. Karl n 8 | 60.9 | 3 | 1.5 |
| N. Jackson n 8 | 28 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| H. Kane n 8 | 81.5 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| S. Gnabry n 8 | 57.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Olise n 8 | 83.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| N. Jackson n 8 | 28 | 1.2 | 0 |
| H. Kane n 8 | 81.5 | 1.1 | 0 |
| L. Díaz n 8 | 82.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| S. Gnabry n 8 | 57.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Upamecano n 8 | 86.5 | 3.1 |
| A. Davies n 8 | 57.1 | 2.8 |
| K. Laimer n 8 | 76 | 2.2 |
| Raphaël Guerreiro n 8 | 42.8 | 1.8 |
| J. Tah n 8 | 88.6 | 1.7 |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Veratschnig n 8 | 34.8 | 3.2 | 1.9 | — |
| S. Kawasaki n 8 | 49.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | — |
| B. Hollerbach n 8 | 57 | 2.4 | 2.4 | — |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 86.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| P. Nebel n 8 | 71.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Weiper n 8 | 40.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| A. Sieb n 8 | 29.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| B. Hollerbach n 8 | 57 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| N. Veratschnig n 8 | 34.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| W. Bøving n 8 | 36.1 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hollerbach n 8 | 57 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 63.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| A. Sieb n 8 | 29.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| K. Sano n 8 | 73.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| D. da Costa n 8 | 74.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Kawasaki n 8 | 49.3 | 3 |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 86.9 | 2.3 |
| K. Sano n 8 | 73.5 | 2.3 |
| N. Veratschnig n 8 | 34.8 | 2.3 |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 63.4 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Batz n 6 | 90 | 4.2 |
| L. Rieß n 7 | 76.7 | 3.5 |
| R. Zentner n 8 | 81.8 | 3.2 |
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Match statistics & details
| Bayern München | FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| 85% | Possession | 15% |
| 4.50 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.60 |
| 24 | Shots | 5 |
| 11 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 20 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 8 |
| 971 | Passes | 177 |
| 91% | Pass accuracy | 59% |
Bayern München player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Stanišić | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Kimmich | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| M. Olise | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| L. Karl | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Gnabry | 90 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| H. Kane | 90 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Kim Min-Jae | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Ito | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Bischof | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Goretzka | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Laimer sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| A. Davies sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| A. Pavlović sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Jackson sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
FSV Mainz 05 player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Batz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| D. da Costa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| S. Bell | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Potulski | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.6 |
| N. Veratschnig | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| W. Bøving | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| L. Maloney | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Sano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Lee Jae-Sung | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| B. Hollerbach | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Kawasaki | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Nordin sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| N. Weiper sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Bayern München v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-04-26 Bayern München 3–0 FSV Mainz 05
- 2024-12-14 FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Bayern München
- 2024-10-30 FSV Mainz 05 0–4 Bayern München
- 2024-03-09 Bayern Munich 8–1 FSV Mainz 05
- 2023-10-21 FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Bayern Munich
- 2023-04-22 FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Bayern Munich
Shot map and expected goals
Bayern München 4.81 xG from 24 shots, FSV Mainz 05 0.80 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 24 | 2 | 4.81 |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 0.80 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and FSV Mainz 05?
- In their last 6 meetings, Bayern München won 4, FSV Mainz 05 won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bayern München and FSV Mainz 05?
- Recent form — Bayern München 4W 0D 1L; FSV Mainz 05 0W 2D 3L.
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