This Matchweek

Borussia Mönchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05 result

Full-time · Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga · · BORUSSIA-PARK

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Borussia Mönchengladbach · FSV Mainz 05 · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05 — FSV Mainz 05 won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 528 of 821 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said FSV Mainz 05: 3.49 to 3.10 in expected goals, 1.52 of Borussia Mönchengladbach’s from penalties, from 17 shots to 21, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games).

FSV Mainz 05 won 4–3 at BORUSSIA-PARK in the Bundesliga on Saturday 19 September.

The goals

FSV Mainz 05 led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Borussia Mönchengladbach: Florian Neuhaus (11’, assisted by Lukas Ullrich), Isac Lidberg (59’, assisted by Lukas Ullrich) and Shuto Machino (90’ pen); FSV Mainz 05: Phillip Tietz (18’, assisted by Sheraldo Becker), Sheraldo Becker (45’, assisted by Anthony Caci), Eric Martel (78’, assisted by Kaishu Sano) and Danny da Costa (89’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Eric Martel’s goal on 78 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Borussia Mönchengladbach: Lukas Ullrich (19’), Philipp Sander (55’), Florian Neuhaus (62’), Kevin Stöger (87’), Wael Mohya (87’) and Shuto Machino (90+3’); FSV Mainz 05: Stefan Posch (55’), Phillipp Mwene (73’), Kacper Potulski (90+3’), Alexander Schwolow (90+4’) and Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer (90+7’).

What it changes

Borussia Mönchengladbach stay 18th after this result (four league matches played). Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored 11 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games).

FSV Mainz 05 move up from seventh to fifth (four league matches played). FSV Mainz 05 have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 17 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Borussia Mönchengladbach have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sheraldo Becker (FSV Mainz 05) 9.1, Isac Lidberg (Borussia Mönchengladbach) 6.4 and Lukas Ullrich (Borussia Mönchengladbach) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (387 of 578).

Next up

Borussia Mönchengladbach next travel to Hamburger SV on 6 November 2026.

FSV Mainz 05 next host Bayern München on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Borussia Mönchengladbach: Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
  • Venue: BORUSSIA-PARK · Mönchengladbach
  • Referee: R. Hartmann
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 · draws 4 · FSV Mainz 05 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2W 0D 3L · FSV Mainz 05 3W 1D 1L

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.88
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.25
Corners
against 4.88 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.88
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 3.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBorussia Mönchengladbach for / againstLineFSV Mainz 05 for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
2.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
19.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
6.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: R. Hartmann.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach Goalkeeper

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Nicolas490360 min194.8 /90123 /9000 /90
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Nicolas n 890
4.36/6

Borussia Mönchengladbach Defensive

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Diks490360 min20.5 /9010.3 /9020.5 /90112.8 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90
K. Itakura476303 min30.9 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9092.7 /9020.6 /9000 /90
L. Ullrich369208 min52.2 /9062.6 /9000 /90135.6 /9031.3 /9000 /90
D. Herold348143 min63.8 /9000 /9031.9 /90106.3 /9031.9 /9000 /90
J. Scally284167 min84.3 /9010.5 /9000 /90158.1 /9000 /9010.5 /90
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Sander n 889.5
1.85/4
0.32/0
K. Sano
K. Diks n 878.9
0.63/1
0.95/1
F. Gruber
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
K. Itakura n 882.9
0.53/1
0.75/0
F. Gruber
H. Bolin n 860.6
1.34/2
1.75/3
P. Mwene
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Sander n 889.5
1.98/4
K. Diks n 878.9
0.63/1
K. Itakura n 882.9
1.25/3
H. Bolin n 860.6
1.54/2
W. Mohya n 862.4
1.65/3
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Borussia Mönchengladbach Attacking

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Kleindienst373219 min00 /9000 /9041.6 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
I. Lidberg346139 min00 /9000 /9063.9 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9000 /90
S. Machino23365 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /90
N. Kühn12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9028.6 /9000 /90
P. Sander490360 min00 /9010.3 /9051.3 /9010.3 /9041 /9010.3 /90
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Sander n 889.5
0.93/3
0.32/0
K. Diks n 878.9
0.95/1
0.32/0
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Itakura n 882.9
0.86/0
0.43/0
H. Bolin n 860.6
3.36/4
2.44/4
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Sander n 889.5
00/0
0.11/0
K. Diks n 878.9
0.11/0
00/0
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Itakura n 882.9
0.11/0
00/0
H. Bolin n 860.6
0.93/2
0.42/0
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FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Zentner390270 min41.3 /9031 /9000 /90
A. Schwolow19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Zentner n 881.8
2.96/4

FSV Mainz 05 Defensive

FSV Mainz 05 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Gruber490360 min82 /9051.3 /9061.5 /90246 /9092.3 /9000 /90
K. Potulski369208 min52.2 /9041.7 /9010.4 /90125.2 /9031.3 /9000 /90
D. da Costa360180 min42 /9021 /9010.5 /90105 /9010.5 /9000 /90
S. Posch289178 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /90105.1 /9031.5 /9000 /90
D. Kohr285170 min94.8 /9021.1 /9000 /90147.4 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Gruber n 490
2.33/3
00/0
K. Itakura
K. Sano n 889.8
15/3
15/3
P. Sander
N. Amiri n 884.5
0.74/1
0.96/1
—
P. Tietz n 885.5
1.65/2
1.15/3
—
P. Mwene n 888
1.48/3
1.77/3
H. Bolin
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FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Gruber n 490
22/2
K. Sano n 889.8
1.67/3
N. Amiri n 884.5
1.25/3
P. Tietz n 885.5
0.43/0
P. Mwene n 888
1.77/3
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking

FSV Mainz 05 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Tietz486345 min71.8 /9000 /90153.9 /9092.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90
S. Becker468272 min20.7 /9020.7 /9072.3 /9051.7 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90
R. Königsdörffer429117 min21.5 /9000 /9075.4 /9032.3 /9010.8 /9032.3 /90
B. Hollerbach11616 min00 /9000 /9015.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
W. Bøving11515 min16 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9000 /9000 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Gruber n 490
0.52/0
00/0
K. Sano n 889.8
15/3
0.32/0
N. Amiri n 884.5
2.37/4
1.56/2
P. Tietz n 885.5
2.66/6
1.46/3
P. Mwene n 888
0.63/1
0.53/1
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FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Gruber n 490
00/0
00/0
K. Sano n 889.8
00/0
0.32/0
N. Amiri n 884.5
0.42/1
0.31/1
P. Tietz n 885.5
1.25/2
0.11/0
P. Mwene n 888
0.32/0
0.42/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Borussia MönchengladbachFSV Mainz 05
47%Possession53%
3.24Expected goals (xG)2.82
21Shots17
7Shots on target8
7Shots off target7
7Blocked shots2
15Shots inside the box15
6Corners4
0Offsides2
12Fouls14
6Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
4Saves4
425Passes482
79%Pass accuracy81%

Borussia Mönchengladbach Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Nicolas9000000005.3
P. Sander90001004Y6.9
I. Lidberg9010221007.5
J. Leszczyński9000212106.2
K. Diks9000101206.5
L. Ullrich90020022Y6.5
H. Bolin8400111206.3
K. Itakura8400110006.3
J. Scally7600101107.2
F. Honorat7600002106.7
F. Neuhaus64102142Y7.5
W. Mohya sub26001011Y6.2
S. Machino sub15102100Y7
R. Hack sub1500001006.2
K. Stöger sub14000020Y6.7
D. Hashioka sub1400000006.2

FSV Mainz 05 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Tietz9010320106.3
K. Sano9001002007
K. Potulski90002003Y6.2
S. Posch90001104Y6.5
P. Mwene90001013Y7.2
F. Gruber9000001306.3
A. Schwolow90000000Y7.6
N. Amiri8900002007
S. Becker7611432007.9
Lee Jae-Sung6500001006.9
A. Caci6501202006.9
D. da Costa sub2510112007.7
E. Martel sub2510110207.2
R. Königsdörffer sub14000001Y6.2
L. Maloney sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Borussia Mönchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Borussia MönchengladbachWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 2.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
FSV Mainz 05WWDWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 · 4 draws · FSV Mainz 05 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-19 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-12-05 FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2025-03-07 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-10-25 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2024-03-02 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 2023-10-06 Borussia Monchengladbach 2–2 FSV Mainz 05
League standing · 2026/27
Borussia Mönchengladbach#18 pos4 pts8 pl-11 GD
FSV Mainz 05#8 pos10 pts8 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored1.38
FSV Mainz 05 scored2.13
Borussia Mönchengladbach conceded2.75
FSV Mainz 05 conceded2.13

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.10 xG from 21 shots, FSV Mainz 05 3.49 from 17. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kevin Diks 56' · 0.76 xGAnthony Caci 6' · 0.48 xGKacper Potulski 23' · 0.43 xGLukas Ullrich 58' · 0.14 xGShuto Machino 83' · 0.11 xGSheraldo Becker 49' · 0.11 xGPhillip Tietz 67' · 0.08 xGJan Leszczynski 14' · 0.08 xGKo Itakura 37' · 0.07 xGAnthony Caci 27' · 0.07 xGWael Mohya 97' · 0.06 xGKacper Potulski 80' · 0.06 xGIsac Lidberg 36' · 0.05 xGPhilipp Sander 33' · 0.05 xGIsac Lidberg 50' · 0.05 xGHugo Bolin 24' · 0.05 xGSheraldo Becker 22' · 0.05 xGHugo Bolin 33' · 0.05 xGPhilipp Mwene 34' · 0.03 xGFlorian Neuhaus 57' · 0.03 xGLukas Ullrich 10' · 0.03 xGSheraldo Becker 17' · 0.02 xGShuto Machino 92' · 0.02 xGStefan Posch 87' · 0.02 xGSheraldo Becker 73' · 0.02 xGPhillip Tietz 68' · 0.02 xGKaishu Sano 9' · 0.01 xGPhilipp Sander 97' · 0.01 xGJan Leszczynski 96' · 0.01 xGJoe Scally 51' · 0.01 xGShuto Machino 90' · 0.01 xGPhillip Tietz 17' · 0.90 xG · goalShuto Machino 94' · 0.76 xG · goalDanny da Costa 88' · 0.60 xG · goalEric Martel 77' · 0.51 xG · goalFlorian Neuhaus 10' · 0.37 xG · goalIsac Lidberg 58' · 0.37 xG · goalSheraldo Becker 45' · 0.07 xG · goal
Borussia Mönchengladbach (attacking right)FSV Mainz 05 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Borussia Mönchengladbach2133.10
FSV Mainz 051743.49

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 2.07 to 0.75. At full time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 3.49 to 3.10, 1.52 of Borussia Mönchengladbach’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.44 xG to FSV Mainz 05, in the 27th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.51.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - Borussia Mönchengladbach 10 minGoal - FSV Mainz 05 17 minGoal - FSV Mainz 05 45 minGoal - Borussia Mönchengladbach 58 minGoal - FSV Mainz 05 77 minGoal - FSV Mainz 05 88 minGoal - Borussia Mönchengladbach 94 min
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.10 xGFSV Mainz 05 3.49 xGdots = goals · 38 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Borussia Mönchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Borussia Mönchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05 was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and FSV Mainz 05?
In their last 6 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, FSV Mainz 05 won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Borussia Mönchengladbach and FSV Mainz 05?
Recent form — Borussia Mönchengladbach 2W 0D 3L; FSV Mainz 05 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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