This Matchweek

FC Augsburg v Bayern München result

Full-time · FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München

Bundesliga · · WWK Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Augsburg · Bayern München · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München — this Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.20 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.5% of 131 landed (95% range 78.5–90.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayern München: 5.01 to 2.05 in expected goals, from 30 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 49th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

FC Augsburg and Bayern München drew 2–2 at WWK Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October.

The goals

FC Augsburg led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — FC Augsburg: Robin Fellhauer (1’) and Rodrigo Ribeiro (64’); Bayern München: I. Saibari (55’, assisted by Harry Kane) and Nathaniel Brown (80’, assisted by Harry Kane).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nathaniel Brown’s goal on 80 minutes.

Discipline

Sven Jablonski, Germany showed three yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Augsburg: Chrislain Matsima (42’), Rodrigo Ribeiro (43’) and Hennes Behrens (62’).

What it changes

FC Augsburg stay fourth after this result (five league matches played). FC Augsburg have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). FC Augsburg have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Bayern München move down from first to second (five league matches played). Bayern München have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Bayern München have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

FC Augsburg are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions. FC Augsburg have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harry Kane (Bayern München) 7.5, Michael Olise (Bayern München) 6.8 and Finn Dahmen (FC Augsburg) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bayern München to win, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 85.5% of the time in the last 90 days (112 of 131).

Next up

FC Augsburg next travel to RB Leipzig on 7 November 2026.

Bayern München next travel to Atletico Madrid on 3 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Augsburg: RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bayern München: Atletico Madrid v Bayern München, Tuesday 3 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München · Bundesliga
  • Venue: WWK Arena · Augsburg
  • Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Augsburg 1 · draws 0 · Bayern München 5 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Augsburg 3W 1D 1L · Bayern München 4W 1D 0L

FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 3.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 4.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 7.25
Corners
against 6.25 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 8.5
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 0.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.63 yellows
Referee · Sven Jablonski, Germany
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Augsburg for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
4.5our book
3.5 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 19 against n 8
19.5standard
20.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.75 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
8.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.88 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.5 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany — 2.63 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg Goalkeeper

FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Dahmen590450 min275.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90
FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Dahmen n 890
4.88/8

FC Augsburg Defensive

FC Augsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Matsima590450 min51 /90122.4 /90102 /90153 /9000 /9000 /90
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks590450 min91.8 /9081.6 /9040.8 /90255 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90
C. Brackelmann487346 min123.1 /9041 /9051.3 /90307.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Seol Young-Woo21734 min12.6 /9000 /9000 /9012.6 /9012.6 /9000 /90
K. Schlotterbeck19090 min22 /9033 /9000 /9077 /9022 /9011 /90
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FC Augsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 876
1.55/5
0.64/0
—
Hennes Behrens n 590
0.63/0
1.23/2
J. Kimmich
C. Matsima n 884.5
0.32/0
00/0
—
F. Dahmen n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
F. Rieder n 887.5
15/3
1.45/4
A. Pavlović
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FC Augsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hennes Behrens n 590
2.44/2
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 876
1.97/4
C. Matsima n 884.5
1.25/2
F. Rieder n 887.5
2.38/6
M. Wolf n 868.6
1.85/3
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FC Augsburg Attacking

FC Augsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Fellhauer579394 min20.5 /9000 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9061.4 /9000 /90
Michael Gregoritsch574370 min30.7 /9010.2 /90112.7 /9081.9 /9071.7 /9000 /90
A. Kade290179 min21 /9010.5 /90126 /9063 /9021 /9010.5 /90
A. Ibrahimović260120 min00 /9000 /9043 /9021.5 /9021.5 /9000 /90
M. Kömür24181 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
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FC Augsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Matsima n 884.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 876
0.32/0
00/0
Hennes Behrens n 590
0.21/0
00/0
F. Dahmen n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Rieder n 887.5
0.83/2
0.52/2
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FC Augsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hennes Behrens n 590
00/0
0.21/0
F. Dahmen n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Matsima n 884.5
00/0
00/0
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 876
00/0
00/0
F. Rieder n 887.5
0.11/0
0.43/0
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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer588441 min81.6 /9020.4 /9000 /90
J. Urbig290180 min10.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 885.1
1.94/2
J. Urbig n 882.5
35/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Davies663380 min92.1 /9061.4 /9000 /90307.1 /9020.5 /9000 /90
J. Stanišić663379 min51.2 /9010.2 /9020.5 /90174 /9030.7 /9000 /90
J. Tah588441 min81.6 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90204.1 /9030.6 /9000 /90
D. Upamecano581405 min102.2 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90327.1 /9040.9 /9020.4 /90
Kim Min-Jae578390 min81.8 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90163.7 /9051.2 /9010.2 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Olise n 881.3
0.63/1
3.68/6
—
H. Kane n 880.5
0.43/0
1.34/2
—
J. Kimmich n 879.5
0.11/0
1.16/2
Hennes Behrens
L. Díaz n 876.1
1.56/4
15/2
—
A. Pavlović n 882.6
1.46/2
0.75/0
F. Rieder
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Olise n 881.3
1.24/2
H. Kane n 880.5
0.32/0
J. Kimmich n 879.5
0.75/0
L. Díaz n 876.1
0.93/2
A. Pavlović n 882.6
1.27/2
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane779554 min61 /9020.3 /90233.7 /90101.6 /90111.8 /9071.1 /90
M. Olise780561 min81.3 /9030.5 /90284.5 /90182.9 /90274.3 /90264.2 /90
J. Kimmich778546 min00 /9020.3 /9050.8 /9020.3 /90122 /9010.2 /90
L. Díaz774519 min10.2 /9000 /90122.1 /9081.4 /90101.7 /90152.6 /90
A. Pavlović680482 min10.2 /9010.2 /9061.1 /9030.6 /9091.7 /9040.7 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 881.3
3.97/6
2.57/5
H. Kane n 880.5
3.87/7
1.87/4
J. Kimmich n 879.5
0.73/1
0.32/0
L. Díaz n 876.1
2.18/4
1.58/2
A. Pavlović n 882.6
15/2
0.42/1
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Olise n 881.3
1.15/2
0.43/0
H. Kane n 880.5
1.35/3
0.32/0
J. Kimmich n 879.5
00/0
0.31/1
L. Díaz n 876.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Pavlović n 882.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC AugsburgBayern München
30%Possession70%
2.37Expected goals (xG)4.96
12Shots30
5Shots on target10
4Shots off target11
3Blocked shots9
10Shots inside the box17
5Corners9
1Offsides4
10Fouls6
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
8Saves3
286Passes649
76%Pass accuracy90%

FC Augsburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Dahmen9000000009.2
F. Rieder9000000507.7
C. Matsima9000101207.6
H. Massengo9000001106.7
R. Fellhauer9010211207.2
C. Brackelmann9000110207
Hennes Behrens9000001607.6
Abdulay Bah8200100106
A. Ibrahimović8200110207
Rodrigo Ribeiro7510210106.6
Seol Young-Woo6200001206.9
A. Kade sub2800110006.3
M. Kömür sub1500000006.6
Michael Gregoritsch sub800000006.5
J. Gouweleeuw sub800000007.3

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Upamecano9000111307.2
J. Tah9000000006.3
M. Olise9000435108.2
J. Kimmich9000101308.3
H. Kane9002512007.6
A. Davies9000102107
M. Neuer9000000006.3
A. Pavlović8700004107.7
L. Díaz8700005208.2
J. Stanišić6700001006.6
I. Saibari6710420107.3
N. Brown sub2310111007.3
S. Gnabry sub2300212006.3
T. Bischof sub1200111106.9
L. Karl sub1200101006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Augsburg v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC AugsburgWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Augsburg 1 · 0 draws · Bayern München 5 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 Bayern München 1–2 FC Augsburg
  • 2025-08-30 FC Augsburg 2–3 Bayern München
  • 2025-04-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Bayern München
  • 2024-11-22 Bayern München 3–0 FC Augsburg
  • 2024-01-27 FC Augsburg 2–3 Bayern Munich
  • 2023-08-27 Bayern Munich 3–1 FC Augsburg
League standing · 2026/27
FC Augsburg#9 pos9 pts8 pl+3 GD
Bayern München#1 pos18 pts8 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
FC Augsburg scored2.25
Bayern München scored3.38
FC Augsburg conceded1.88
Bayern München conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

FC Augsburg 2.05 xG from 12 shots, Bayern München 5.01 from 30. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Serge Gnabry 82' · 0.66 xGSerge Gnabry 82' · 0.65 xGJuma Bah 34' · 0.59 xGHarry Kane 49' · 0.54 xGHarry Kane 78' · 0.49 xGHarry Kane 13' · 0.45 xGIsmael Saibari 56' · 0.14 xGDayotchanculle Upamecano 31' · 0.14 xGIsmael Saibari 36' · 0.13 xGHarry Kane 33' · 0.12 xGCalvin Brackelmann 63' · 0.10 xGHarry Kane 58' · 0.09 xGDayotchanculle Upamecano 84' · 0.09 xGSerge Gnabry 85' · 0.08 xGSeol Young-Woo 60' · 0.08 xGArijon Ibrahimovic 79' · 0.08 xGChrislain Matsima 34' · 0.07 xGRodrigo Ribeiro 37' · 0.06 xGRobin Fellhauer 16' · 0.06 xGCalvin Brackelmann 3' · 0.05 xGIsmael Saibari 46' · 0.05 xGLennart Karl 88' · 0.04 xGMichael Olise 83' · 0.04 xGAnton Kade 94' · 0.04 xGIsmael Saibari 14' · 0.04 xGAlphonso Davies 15' · 0.04 xGMichael Olise 91' · 0.04 xGNathaniel Brown 77' · 0.03 xGHarry Kane 8' · 0.03 xGHarry Kane 11' · 0.03 xGIsmael Saibari 63' · 0.03 xGMichael Olise 69' · 0.03 xGHarry Kane 57' · 0.02 xGMichael Olise 88' · 0.02 xGMichael Olise 12' · 0.02 xGTom Bischof 90' · 0.02 xGRobin Fellhauer 3' · 0.02 xGJoshua Kimmich 62' · 0.01 xGRodrigo Ribeiro 63' · 0.50 xG · goalNathaniel Brown 79' · 0.48 xG · goalIsmael Saibari 54' · 0.46 xG · goalRobin Fellhauer 0' · 0.40 xG · goal
FC Augsburg (attacking right)Bayern München (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
FC Augsburg1222.05
Bayern München3025.01

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: FC Augsburg 1.25, Bayern München 0.99. At full time, Bayern München led on xG, 5.01 to 2.05. The widest gap was 3.00 xG to Bayern München, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
5.02.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - FC Augsburg 0 minGoal - Bayern München 54 minGoal - FC Augsburg 63 minGoal - Bayern München 79 min
FC Augsburg 2.05 xGBayern München 5.01 xGdots = goals · 42 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Augsburg v Bayern München?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Augsburg v Bayern München was Away win (best price 1.20 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Augsburg and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Augsburg won 1, Bayern München won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Augsburg and Bayern München?
Recent form — FC Augsburg 3W 1D 1L; Bayern München 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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