FC St. Pauli v Bayern München result

Full-time · FC St. Pauli 0–5 Bayern München

Bundesliga · Sat, 11 Apr 2026 17:30 BST · Millerntor-Stadion

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC St. Pauli · Bayern München

The model’s pre-match pick

FC St. Pauli 0–5 Bayern München — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick

Away win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.8% of 125 landed (95% range 77.5–90%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayern München: 4.15 to 0.36 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the eighth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bayern München won 5–0 at Millerntor-Stadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 11 April. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: Jamal Musiala (9’, assisted by Konrad Laimer), L. Goretzka (53’), Michael Olise (55’, assisted by L. Goretzka), Nicolas Jackson (65’, assisted by Jamal Musiala) and Raphaël Guerreiro (88’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jamal Musiala’s goal on 9 minutes.

Discipline

Tobias Stieler, Germany showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC St. Pauli: J. Fujita (52’); Bayern München: Konrad Laimer (19’) and Michael Olise (52’).

What it changes

FC St. Pauli stay 16th after this result (29 league matches played). FC St. Pauli have scored 29 goals, the fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). FC St. Pauli have conceded 60 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 19 clubs.

Bayern München stay first after this result (29 league matches played). Bayern München have scored 122 goals, the most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Bayern München have conceded 36 goals, the third-fewest of the 19 clubs.

Bayern München’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 29, across nine matches. FC St. Pauli are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Goretzka (Bayern München) 10.0, Nicolas Jackson (Bayern München) 9.9 and Jamal Musiala (Bayern München) 9.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FC St. Pauli, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bayern München to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 84.8% of the time in the last 90 days (106 of 125).

Next up

FC St. Pauli next travel to 1. FC Magdeburg on 8 November 2026.

Bayern München next travel to FSV Mainz 05 on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC St. Pauli: 1. FC Magdeburg v FC St. Pauli, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Bayern München: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: FC St. Pauli 0–5 Bayern München · Bundesliga
Venue: Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg
Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): FC St. Pauli 0 · draws 0 · Bayern München 3 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: FC St. Pauli 1W 2D 2L · Bayern München 4W 1D 0L

FC St. Pauli 0–5 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 3.38

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 6.75

Corners

against 5.5 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 8.38

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.75 yellows

Referee · Tobias Stieler, Germany

18.58 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 12 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	FC St. Pauli for / against	Line	Bayern München for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	3.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.13 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.75 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.13 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	20.63 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.13 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	8.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.75 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.88 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 18.58 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli Goalkeeper

FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Vasilj	29	902610 min	1103.8 /90	461.6 /90	20.1 /90

FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Vasilj n 8	90	4.4 8/5

FC St. Pauli Defensive

FC St. Pauli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Smith	25	882205 min	301.2 /90	241 /90	170.7 /90	994 /90	140.6 /90	40.2 /90
H. Wahl	25	882205 min	381.6 /90	241 /90	110.4 /90	994 /90	90.4 /90	10 /90
Karol Mets	21	841754 min	231.2 /90	180.9 /90	80.4 /90	713.6 /90	120.6 /90	20.1 /90
A. Dźwigała	17	691173 min	443.4 /90	191.5 /90	40.3 /90	786 /90	191.5 /90	50.4 /90
L. Ritzka	12	56667 min	263.5 /90	101.3 /90	20.3 /90	344.6 /90	81.1 /90	10.1 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Vasilj n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
J. Fujita n 8	76.1	0.9 5/1	0.9 5/1	J. Kimmich
Mathias Pereira Lage n 8	64.4	1 4/2	1 4/1	M. Olise
A. Pyrka n 8	89.6	0.4 3/0	1.6 6/4	J. Kimmich
E. Smith n 8	90	0.9 4/3	0.9 7/0	—
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FC St. Pauli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Fujita n 8	76.1	1.9 7/3
Mathias Pereira Lage n 8	64.4	1.2 5/2
A. Pyrka n 8	89.6	0.9 4/3
H. Wahl n 8	90	1.5 6/4
E. Smith n 8	90	1.4 6/3
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FC St. Pauli Attacking

FC St. Pauli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mathias Pereira Lage	27	731975 min	20.1 /90	20.1 /90	291.3 /90	150.7 /90	261.2 /90	130.6 /90
D. Sinani	24	761835 min	50.2 /90	30.1 /90	311.5 /90	180.9 /90	381.9 /90	130.6 /90
M. Kaars	23	551254 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	191.4 /90	120.9 /90	100.7 /90	40.3 /90
A. Hountondji	15	46684 min	40.5 /90	00 /90	101.3 /90	70.9 /90	40.5 /90	81.1 /90
R. Jones	8	45358 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	82 /90	61.5 /90	61.5 /90	51.3 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Vasilj n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fujita n 8	76.1	0.9 6/0	0.6 4/0
Mathias Pereira Lage n 8	64.4	1.2 4/2	0.5 3/0
A. Pyrka n 8	89.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
E. Smith n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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FC St. Pauli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Vasilj n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fujita n 8	76.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Mathias Pereira Lage n 8	64.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Pyrka n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
H. Wahl n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Neuer	36	883150 min	772.2 /90	361 /90
J. Urbig	14	841170 min	352.7 /90	131 /90
S. Ulreich	1	9090 min	66 /90	11 /90

Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 8	78.8	2.6 3/2
J. Urbig n 8	78.8	3.3 5/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Tah	43	823523 min	471.2 /90	401 /90	250.6 /90	1443.7 /90	571.5 /90	90.2 /90
D. Upamecano	40	763050 min	872.6 /90	371.1 /90	90.3 /90	1624.8 /90	401.2 /90	90.3 /90
K. Laimer	38	742826 min	782.5 /90	270.9 /90	70.2 /90	1324.2 /90	421.3 /90	120.4 /90
J. Stanišić	35	802805 min	441.4 /90	301 /90	70.2 /90	1123.6 /90	110.4 /90	30.1 /90
T. Bischof	21	641349 min	181.2 /90	100.7 /90	30.2 /90	442.9 /90	151 /90	30.2 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Kane n 8	79.6	0.8 4/2	1.6 5/4	—
M. Olise n 8	82.6	1.1 5/2	2.9 7/6	Mathias Pereira Lage
J. Kimmich n 8	88.6	0.3 2/0	1.3 6/3	A. Pyrka
J. Tah n 8	85.8	1.3 5/3	0.3 2/0	—
L. Díaz n 8	85.4	1.4 6/3	1.1 4/3	—
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	79.6	0.8 5/1
M. Olise n 8	82.6	1 4/3
J. Kimmich n 8	88.6	1.5 6/5
J. Tah n 8	85.8	1.3 5/3
L. Díaz n 8	85.4	0.9 5/2
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Kane	46	803658 min	521.3 /90	60.1 /90	1383.4 /90	1012.5 /90	591.5 /90	501.2 /90
N. Jackson	18	47852 min	70.7 /90	20.2 /90	323.4 /90	202.1 /90	181.9 /90	70.7 /90
M. Olise	46	783607 min	190.5 /90	270.7 /90	1062.6 /90	711.8 /90	1182.9 /90	1122.8 /90
J. Kimmich	44	833651 min	20 /90	90.2 /90	250.6 /90	120.3 /90	922.3 /90	150.4 /90
L. Díaz	40	833329 min	230.6 /90	150.4 /90	902.4 /90	561.5 /90	852.3 /90	862.3 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	79.6	4.1 8/7	2.8 8/6
M. Olise n 8	82.6	3.3 8/7	1.8 7/3
J. Kimmich n 8	88.6	1 4/3	0.8 3/2
J. Tah n 8	85.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Díaz n 8	85.4	1.8 8/5	0.8 6/0
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	79.6	1.6 7/4	0 0/0
M. Olise n 8	82.6	0.4 2/1	0.7 5/0
J. Kimmich n 8	88.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Tah n 8	85.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Díaz n 8	85.4	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC St. Pauli		Bayern München
23%	Possession	77%
0.49	Expected goals (xG)	3.84
6	Shots	20
3	Shots on target	8
2	Shots off target	5
1	Blocked shots	7
4	Shots inside the box	16
3	Corners	4
2	Offsides	3
9	Fouls	7
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
272	Passes	946
74%	Pass accuracy	92%

FC St. Pauli Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Vasilj	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.2
T. Ando	90	1	1	0	1	0	5.2
H. Wahl	90	1	0	0	2	0	6.5
Karol Mets	90	0	0	0	2	0	5.7
A. Pyrka	90	0	0	1	3	0	6.3
M. Rasmussen	90	0	0	2	5	0	7
D. Sinani	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
Mathias Pereira Lage	88	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
L. Ritzka	77	0	0	1	4	0	6.2
A. Hountondji	77	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
J. Fujita	66	1	0	1	1	Y	6
C. Metcalfe sub	24	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
L. Oppie sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Kaars sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
T. Hara sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Bayern München Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Neuer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Kim Min-Jae	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	8.3
T. Bischof	90	0	0	1	1	1	4	0	7.6
L. Goretzka	90	1	1	1	1	1	2	0	8.3
Raphaël Guerreiro	90	1	0	2	1	3	1	0	7.2
N. Jackson	90	1	1	4	3	1	1	0	7.2
J. Musiala	84	1	1	2	1	3	0	0	7
H. Ito	67	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
J. Kimmich	59	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	8.9
M. Olise	59	1	0	2	1	0	0	Y	7.9
K. Laimer	58	0	1	1	0	3	1	Y	7.2
J. Stanišić sub	32	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
A. Davies sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
L. Díaz sub	31	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6
J. Tah sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
Bara Ndiaye sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC St. Pauli v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC St. PauliWDLLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Bayern MünchenDWWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

FC St. Pauli 0 · 0 draws · Bayern München 3 · 3.33 goals/game

2025-11-29 Bayern München 3–1 FC St. Pauli
2025-03-29 Bayern München 3–2 FC St. Pauli
2024-11-09 FC St. Pauli 0–1 Bayern München

League standing · 2025/26

FC St. Pauli#18 pos26 pts34 pl-31 GD

Bayern München#1 pos89 pts34 pl+86 GD

Goals per game

FC St. Pauli scored0.85

Bayern München scored3.59

FC St. Pauli conceded1.76

Bayern München conceded1.06

Shot Map and Expected Goals

FC St. Pauli 0.36 xG from 6 shots, Bayern München 4.15 from 20. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

FC St. Pauli (attacking right)Bayern München (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
FC St. Pauli	6	0	0.36
Bayern München	20	5	4.15

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bayern München led on xG, 2.04 to 0.23. At full time, Bayern München led on xG, 4.15 to 0.36. The widest gap was 3.79 xG to Bayern München, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

FC St. Pauli 0.36 xGBayern München 4.15 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC St. Pauli v Bayern München?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC St. Pauli v Bayern München was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Pauli and Bayern München?: In their last 3 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 0, Bayern München won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC St. Pauli and Bayern München?: Recent form — FC St. Pauli 1W 2D 2L; Bayern München 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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