FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Köln result
Team pages: FSV Mainz 05 · 1. FC Köln · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Köln — 1. FC Köln won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away cards yellow under 3.5.
What xG said
xG said little between the sides: FSV Mainz 05 1.32, 1. FC Köln 1.65 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
1. FC Köln won 1–0 at MEWA ARENA in the Bundesliga on Sunday 24 August. It is 1. FC Köln’s first win over FSV Mainz 05 since 9 April 2022, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — 1. FC Köln: Marius Bülter (90’, assisted by L. Waldschmidt). P. Nebel (60’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marius Bülter’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
Tobias Stieler, Germany showed two yellow cards and one red — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Köln: K. Lund (27’) and Joël Schmied (81’).
What it changes
FSV Mainz 05 are 14th after this result (one league match played). FSV Mainz 05 have scored 44 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 53 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs.
1. FC Köln are seventh after this result (one league match played). 1. FC Köln have scored 49 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). 1. FC Köln have conceded 63 goals, the fourth-most of the 19 clubs.
1. FC Köln are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marius Bülter (1. FC Köln) 7.2, Eric Martel (1. FC Köln) 4.9 and Dominik Kohr (FSV Mainz 05) 4.3 led the match.
Head-to-head
FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in the last four meetings with 1. FC Köln.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, 1. FC Köln cards yellow under 3.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
FSV Mainz 05 next host Bayern München on 7 November 2026.
1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
- Venue: MEWA ARENA · Mainz
- Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): FSV Mainz 05 1 · draws 4 · 1. FC Köln 1 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 2W 2D 1L · 1. FC Köln 3W 1D 1L
FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| FSV Mainz 05 | 1. FC Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | Possession | 49% |
| 1.52 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.36 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 14 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 389 | Passes | 401 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
FSV Mainz 05 Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Zentner | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| D. da Costa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. Sano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| P. Mwene | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Lee Jae-Sung | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Kohr | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Caci | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Amiri | 65 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| P. Nebel | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | R | 5.9 |
| B. Hollerbach | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Weiper sub | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Bell sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Maloney sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Widmer sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Sieb sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
1. FC Köln Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Schwäbe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Schmied | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| T. Hubers | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| E. Martel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Kamiński | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Bülter | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Sebulonsen | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Krauß | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. Lund | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| J. Thielmann | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Özkacar sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Ache sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. El Mala sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Waldschmidt sub | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| F. Kainz sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Köln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-04-28 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Köln
- 2023-12-10 1. FC Köln 0–0 FSV Mainz 05
- 2023-04-15 1. FC Köln 1–1 FSV Mainz 05
- 2022-10-21 FSV Mainz 05 5–0 1. FC Köln
- 2022-04-09 1. FC Köln 3–2 FSV Mainz 05
- 2021-11-21 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Köln
Shot Map and Expected Goals
FSV Mainz 05 1.32 xG from 19 shots, 1. FC Köln 1.65 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 19 | 0 | 1.32 |
| 1. FC Köln | 12 | 1 | 1.65 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: FSV Mainz 05 0.37, 1. FC Köln 0.22. At full time, xG was level: FSV Mainz 05 1.32, 1. FC Köln 1.65. The widest gap was 0.81 xG to 1. FC Köln, in the 89th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Köln?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Köln was Away cards yellow under 3.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Köln?
- In their last 6 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, 1. FC Köln won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Köln?
- Recent form — FSV Mainz 05 2W 2D 1L; 1. FC Köln 3W 1D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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