FSV Mainz 05Bayern München

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München result

Full-time · FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern München

Bundesliga · · MEWA ARENA

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FSV Mainz 05 · Bayern München · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern München — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said FSV Mainz 05: 3.45 to 2.36 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 13th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Bayern München won 4–3 at MEWA ARENA in the Bundesliga on Saturday 25 April. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München came from behind: FSV Mainz 05 led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — FSV Mainz 05: Dominik Kohr (15’, assisted by Kaishu Sano), P. Nebel (29’) and Sheraldo Becker (45+2’); Bayern München: Nicolas Jackson (53’, assisted by Konrad Laimer), Michael Olise (73’, assisted by Konrad Laimer), Jamal Musiala (80’) and Harry Kane (83’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Kane’s goal on 83 minutes.

Discipline

Martin Petersen, Germany showed three yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FSV Mainz 05: Dominik Kohr (20’); Bayern München: Konrad Laimer (33’) and Michael Olise (90+7’).

What it changes

FSV Mainz 05 stay 10th after this result (31 league matches played). FSV Mainz 05 have scored 44 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 53 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs.

Bayern München stay first after this result (31 league matches played). Bayern München have scored 122 goals, the most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Bayern München have conceded 36 goals, the third-fewest of the 19 clubs.

With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 31, across nine matches. FSV Mainz 05 are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kaishu Sano (FSV Mainz 05) 8.6, P. Nebel (FSV Mainz 05) 8.3 and Nicolas Jackson (Bayern München) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 2 of 4 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

FSV Mainz 05 next host Bayern München on 7 November 2026.

Bayern München next travel to FSV Mainz 05 on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern München · Bundesliga
  • Venue: MEWA ARENA · Mainz
  • Referee: Martin Petersen, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FSV Mainz 05 1 · draws 1 · Bayern München 4 · 4.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 2W 1D 2L · Bayern München 5W 0D 0L

FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 3.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 8.38
Corners
against 4.13 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 8.88
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.5
Cards
against 3.5 / 2.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.9 yellows
Referee · Martin Petersen, Germany
22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFSV Mainz 05 for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
3.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
8.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
23.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
8.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 3.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Martin Petersen, Germany — 3.9 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 22 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Batz24902160 min783.3 /90271.1 /9010 /90
R. Zentner17851441 min503.1 /90171.1 /9010.1 /90
L. Rieß571357 min153.8 /90133.3 /9000 /90
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Batz n 890
2.67/5
R. Zentner n 881.8
3.26/5

FSV Mainz 05 Defensive

FSV Mainz 05 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. da Costa39883421 min601.6 /90401.1 /90180.5 /901604.2 /90260.7 /9030.1 /90
D. Kohr38843202 min742.1 /90601.7 /90200.6 /901845.2 /90601.7 /90150.4 /90
S. Bell22631392 min161 /90241.6 /90130.8 /901056.8 /90171.1 /9060.4 /90
A. Hanche-Olsen21671403 min151 /90261.7 /90151 /90946 /90201.3 /9050.3 /90
N. Veratschnig2044870 min222.3 /90151.6 /9020.2 /90515.3 /90181.9 /9040.4 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Sano n 890
0.43/0
1.16/3
—
D. da Costa n 887.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
—
D. Kohr n 882.4
1.86/5
1.16/2
—
P. Nebel n 885.5
1.35/3
1.17/1
—
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
0.74/1
0.63/1
—
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FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
26/4
D. da Costa n 887.8
1.75/2
D. Kohr n 882.4
1.97/4
P. Nebel n 885.5
1.76/4
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
1.46/3
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking

FSV Mainz 05 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Sieb2436864 min20.2 /9000 /90202.1 /9080.8 /90121.3 /9090.9 /90
N. Weiper20541072 min20.2 /9000 /90272.3 /90151.3 /90100.8 /9060.5 /90
P. Tietz19861631 min30.2 /9010.1 /90392.2 /90231.3 /90160.9 /90120.7 /90
B. Hollerbach19611163 min20.2 /9030.2 /90201.5 /9090.7 /90110.9 /90171.3 /90
A. Nordin1453742 min00 /9000 /90141.7 /9030.4 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
0.84/1
0.32/0
D. da Costa n 887.8
0.11/0
00/0
D. Kohr n 882.4
0.74/1
0.11/0
P. Nebel n 885.5
0.85/1
0.53/1
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
0.94/1
0.43/0
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FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. da Costa n 887.8
00/0
0.11/0
D. Kohr n 882.4
00/0
00/0
P. Nebel n 885.5
0.42/1
0.32/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
0.32/0
00/0
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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer39883420 min832.2 /90391 /9000 /90
J. Urbig15841260 min402.9 /90151.1 /9000 /90
S. Ulreich19090 min66 /9011 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 878.8
2.74/2
J. Urbig n 878.8
3.15/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tah46813726 min481.2 /90411 /90270.7 /901473.6 /90591.4 /9090.2 /90
D. Upamecano42773230 min962.7 /90421.2 /90110.3 /901764.9 /90411.1 /9090.3 /90
K. Laimer42733076 min842.5 /90270.8 /9080.2 /901434.2 /90531.6 /90130.4 /90
J. Stanišić39783057 min461.4 /90310.9 /9070.2 /901173.4 /90140.4 /9040.1 /90
Raphaël Guerreiro23581323 min161.1 /9080.5 /9010.1 /90312.1 /9080.5 /9000 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Olise n 873.4
1.15/1
3.47/7
—
H. Kane n 874.5
0.95/1
1.13/3
—
J. Kimmich n 886.1
0.32/0
1.35/3
—
J. Tah n 877.4
1.76/4
0.11/0
—
L. Díaz n 876.1
1.98/3
0.62/1
—
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Olise n 873.4
0.62/2
H. Kane n 874.5
0.64/0
J. Kimmich n 886.1
27/5
J. Tah n 877.4
1.35/2
L. Díaz n 876.1
1.35/3
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane49793883 min551.3 /9070.2 /901483.4 /901072.5 /90661.5 /90511.2 /90
N. Jackson20521032 min90.8 /9030.3 /90373.2 /90242.1 /90211.8 /9090.8 /90
M. Olise50783891 min210.5 /90270.6 /901152.7 /90771.8 /901283 /901172.7 /90
J. Kimmich48833980 min20 /90100.2 /90290.7 /90140.3 /901032.3 /90160.4 /90
L. Díaz44813585 min250.6 /90170.4 /90962.4 /90611.5 /90922.3 /90892.2 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 873.4
3.18/6
28/4
H. Kane n 874.5
3.68/7
2.18/5
J. Kimmich n 886.1
0.95/2
0.53/1
J. Tah n 877.4
00/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 876.1
2.27/5
1.36/1
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Olise n 873.4
0.53/0
0.53/0
H. Kane n 874.5
1.47/2
0.21/0
J. Kimmich n 886.1
00/0
0.11/0
J. Tah n 877.4
00/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 876.1
0.75/0
0.42/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FSV Mainz 05Bayern München
30%Possession70%
2.69Expected goals (xG)2.21
21Shots11
8Shots on target6
8Shots off target4
5Blocked shots1
15Shots inside the box10
4Corners4
1Offsides0
14Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves5
253Passes618
76%Pass accuracy90%

FSV Mainz 05 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Batz9000000006.3
D. da Costa9000000105.9
S. Posch9000100506.2
K. Sano9001203407.3
P. Mwene9000002206.6
P. Tietz9000002107.3
D. Kohr85101110Y6.7
P. Nebel8510211407.2
S. Widmer8000102206.9
N. Amiri7900432007
S. Becker7110430107.7
A. Sieb sub1900100006.3
N. Weiper sub1300001006.2
W. Bøving sub1300000106.7
L. Maloney sub1100000006.5
A. Caci sub1000001206.3

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Urbig9000000007.5
K. Laimer90021031Y6.9
Kim Min-Jae9000000206.6
H. Ito9000000106.6
L. Goretzka9000001207
N. Jackson9010330207.3
Bara Ndiaye7700000406.9
A. Davies5700102006
Raphaël Guerreiro5700100005.9
A. Pavlović4500001006.7
L. Díaz4500000006.2
M. Olise sub45101100Y8.5
H. Kane sub4510111007.3
J. Stanišić sub3300001206.9
J. Musiala sub3310210107.2
J. Tah sub1300000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FSV Mainz 05WWLLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FSV Mainz 05 1 · 1 draw · Bayern München 4 · 4.5 goals/game
  • 2025-12-14 Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-04-26 Bayern München 3–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-12-14 FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Bayern München
  • 2024-10-30 FSV Mainz 05 0–4 Bayern München
  • 2024-03-09 Bayern Munich 8–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2023-10-21 FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Bayern Munich
League standing · 2025/26
FSV Mainz 05#10 pos40 pts34 pl-9 GD
Bayern München#1 pos89 pts34 pl+86 GD
Goals per game
FSV Mainz 05 scored1.29
Bayern München scored3.59
FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.56
Bayern München conceded1.06

Shot Map and Expected Goals

FSV Mainz 05 3.45 xG from 21 shots, Bayern München 2.36 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nadiem Amiri 19' · 0.46 xGNicolas Jackson 61' · 0.29 xGSheraldo Becker 19' · 0.28 xGNicolas Jackson 48' · 0.27 xGAlphonso Davies 39' · 0.22 xGDanny da Costa 13' · 0.10 xGSheraldo Becker 56' · 0.09 xGNadiem Amiri 28' · 0.08 xGRaphael Guerreiro 3' · 0.08 xGSilvan Widmer 19' · 0.07 xGNadiem Amiri 68' · 0.07 xGPaul Nebel 42' · 0.07 xGSheraldo Becker 67' · 0.06 xGLennard Maloney 95' · 0.06 xGJamal Musiala 67' · 0.06 xGJamal Musiala 65' · 0.05 xGNadiem Amiri 46' · 0.05 xGKonrad Laimer 52' · 0.04 xGStefan Posch 34' · 0.04 xGKaishu Sano 95' · 0.03 xGArmindo Sieb 88' · 0.02 xGNadiem Amiri 73' · 0.02 xGKaishu Sano 54' · 0.02 xGSheraldo Becker 47' · 0.02 xGLennard Maloney 95' · 0.01 xGSheraldo Becker 46' · 0.98 xG · goalPaul Nebel 28' · 0.66 xG · goalJamal Musiala 80' · 0.57 xG · goalHarry Kane 82' · 0.48 xG · goalDominik Kohr 14' · 0.28 xG · goalNicolas Jackson 52' · 0.28 xG · goalMichael Olise 72' · 0.02 xG · goal
FSV Mainz 05 (attacking right)Bayern München (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
FSV Mainz 052133.45
Bayern München1142.36

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 2.03 to 0.31. At full time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 3.45 to 2.36. The widest gap was 2.76 xG to FSV Mainz 05, in the 47th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.51.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - FSV Mainz 05 14 minGoal - FSV Mainz 05 28 minGoal - FSV Mainz 05 46 minGoal - Bayern München 52 minGoal - Bayern München 72 minGoal - Bayern München 80 minGoal - Bayern München 82 min
FSV Mainz 05 3.45 xGBayern München 2.36 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, Bayern München won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?
Recent form — FSV Mainz 05 2W 1D 2L; Bayern München 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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