Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln result

Full-time · Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln

Bundesliga · · Volksparkstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hamburger SV · 1. FC Köln · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln — Hamburger SV won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 479 of 729 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Hamburger SV 2.14, 1. FC Köln 2.16 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Hamburger SV beat 1. FC Köln 2–1 at Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 19 September. 1. FC Köln have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Hamburger SV led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Hamburger SV: N. Capaldo (44’, assisted by A. Grønbæk) and Yussuf Poulsen (49’, assisted by A. Grønbæk); 1. FC Köln: Ragnar Ache (90’, assisted by Ellyes Skhiri).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with N. Capaldo’s goal on 44 minutes.

Discipline

M. Jollenbeck showed four yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Hamburger SV: A. Grønbæk (10’); 1. FC Köln: Gideon Mensah (54’), Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (77’) and Ellyes Skhiri (84’).

What it changes

Hamburger SV move up from 18th to 15th (four league matches played). Hamburger SV have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Hamburger SV have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Köln move down from 11th to 12th (four league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Köln have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Köln are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, N. Capaldo (Hamburger SV) 9.1, Yussuf Poulsen (Hamburger SV) 6.5 and A. Grønbæk (Hamburger SV) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Hamburger SV next travel to Eintracht Frankfurt on 1 November 2026.

1. FC Köln next travel to Union Berlin on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hamburger SV: Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for 1. FC Köln: Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Volksparkstadion · Hamburg
  • Referee: M. Jollenbeck
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hamburger SV 2 · draws 3 · 1. FC Köln 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hamburger SV 1W 1D 3L · 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 2L

Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.25 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.63
Corners
against 5.88 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 4.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.75 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHamburger SV for / againstLine1. FC Köln for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.63 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.75 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: M. Jollenbeck.

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Goalkeeper

Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Heuer Fernandes390270 min93 /90124 /9000 /90
S. Tangvik19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
46/6

Hamburger SV Defensive

Hamburger SV — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Capaldo486345 min102.6 /9061.6 /9000 /90236 /9092.3 /9010.3 /90
S. Bornauw390270 min31 /9051.7 /9031 /9093 /9051.7 /9000 /90
J. Torunarigha372217 min20.8 /9041.7 /9010.4 /9083.3 /9052.1 /9000 /90
S. Nandja369208 min20.9 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9010.4 /90
W. Omari11717 min00 /9015.3 /9000 /9015.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Hamburger SV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Remberg n 890
1.37/3
0.95/2
T. Krauß
N. Capaldo n 888.1
2.28/6
25/3
G. Mensah
A. Grønbæk n 884.5
0.43/0
1.76/3
—
P. Daka n 468.8
0.72/0
1.33/1
—
S. Bornauw n 390
1.73/1
00/0
—
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Hamburger SV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Remberg n 890
1.66/4
N. Capaldo n 888.1
2.98/6
A. Grønbæk n 884.5
3.27/6
P. Daka n 468.8
1.63/2
S. Bornauw n 390
12/1
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Hamburger SV Attacking

Hamburger SV — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Grønbæk483330 min20.5 /9000 /9051.4 /9041.1 /9041.1 /9051.4 /90
P. Daka469275 min00 /9010.3 /9062 /9000 /9041.3 /9041.3 /90
M. Adeline367200 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9020.9 /9000 /90
T. Moffi344132 min00 /9000 /9032 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9000 /90
Otto Emerson Stange32679 min00 /9000 /9033.4 /9022.3 /9000 /9033.4 /90
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Hamburger SV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Remberg n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
N. Capaldo n 888.1
0.63/1
0.31/1
A. Grønbæk n 884.5
1.25/3
0.94/3
P. Daka n 468.8
23/2
00/0
S. Bornauw n 390
00/0
00/0
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Hamburger SV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Remberg n 890
00/0
0.32/0
N. Capaldo n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
A. Grønbæk n 884.5
0.42/1
0.32/0
P. Daka n 468.8
00/0
0.31/0
S. Bornauw n 390
00/0
00/0
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1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Schwäbe490360 min112.8 /9082 /9010.3 /90
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
2.15/2

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey490360 min51.3 /9061.5 /9041 /90215.3 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
L. Lochoshvili488352 min10.3 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90102.6 /9030.8 /9000 /90
G. Mensah486345 min51.3 /9041 /9000 /90112.9 /9071.8 /9010.3 /90
A. Castro-Montes484334 min113 /9041.1 /9000 /90174.6 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
S. Sebulonsen12525 min13.6 /9000 /9000 /9013.6 /9013.6 /9000 /90
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1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
0.54/0
0.94/2
—
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
—
T. Krauß n 883.9
0.96/1
1.26/2
N. Remberg
L. Lochoshvili n 488
0.83/0
0.83/0
—
G. Mensah n 486.3
1.84/3
0.51/1
N. Capaldo
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1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
1.17/2
T. Krauß n 883.9
2.77/7
L. Lochoshvili n 488
0.31/0
G. Mensah n 486.3
1.33/2
A. Castro-Montes n 865.4
2.87/6
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1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Ache460241 min00 /9010.4 /9041.5 /9020.7 /9051.9 /9020.7 /90
J. Thielmann370210 min00 /9000 /9031.3 /9000 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90
T. Dallinga335104 min21.7 /9000 /9054.3 /9032.6 /9000 /9000 /90
Reigan Heskey11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Krauß489357 min00 /9000 /9041 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
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1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Krauß n 883.9
0.74/1
0.43/0
L. Lochoshvili n 488
0.82/1
00/0
G. Mensah n 486.3
0.52/0
00/0
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1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Krauß n 883.9
00/0
0.11/0
L. Lochoshvili n 488
00/0
00/0
G. Mensah n 486.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hamburger SV1. FC Köln
32%Possession68%
1.45Expected goals (xG)1.41
12Shots18
7Shots on target5
4Shots off target6
1Blocked shots7
7Shots inside the box12
3Corners5
2Offsides1
12Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves5
267Passes566
75%Pass accuracy88%

Hamburger SV Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Omari9000000007
Daniel Heuer Fernandes9000000007.2
Fábio Vieira9000442106.9
N. Remberg9000200106.7
N. Capaldo9010110407.6
J. Torunarigha9000000106.6
A. Sambi Lokonga8900000206.6
D. Møller Wolfe7700001006.9
Zakaria El Ouahdi7700000507.5
A. Grønbæk67020030Y8
T. Moffi4500000006.2
Y. Poulsen sub4510321108
P. Daka sub2300101106.3
L. Lemke sub1300000006.3
B. Jatta sub1300000006.3
M. Adeline sub10000000–

1. FC Köln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. El Mala9000323106
M. Moore9000310106
E. Skhiri90010012Y6.9
L. Lochoshvili9000101007.2
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey9000000006.9
M. Schwäbe9000000007.2
L. Maina8100003006.9
T. Krauß8100002006.2
A. Castro-Montes6700000206.5
T. Dallinga6400212006.2
G. Mensah64000021Y6.6
R. Ache sub2610210007.5
B. Sosa sub2600000006.9
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson sub23000011Y6.2
M. Bülter sub900000006.9
L. Waldschmidt sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hamburger SVDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
1. FC KölnLWWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hamburger SV 2 · 3 draws · 1. FC Köln 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Hamburger SV 1–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2025-11-02 1. FC Köln 4–1 Hamburger SV
  • 2025-01-18 Hamburger SV 1–0 1. FC Köln
  • 2024-08-02 1. FC Köln 1–2 Hamburger SV
  • 2022-01-18 1. FC Köln 1–1 Hamburger SV
  • 2019-04-15 1. FC Köln 1–1 Hamburger SV
League standing · 2026/27
Hamburger SV#11 pos9 pts7 pl-10 GD
1. FC Köln#12 pos8 pts7 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Hamburger SV scored0.86
1. FC Köln scored1.14
Hamburger SV conceded2.29
1. FC Köln conceded1.57

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Hamburger SV 2.14 xG from 12 shots, 1. FC Köln 2.16 from 18. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Thijs Dallinga 37' · 0.65 xGYussuf Poulsen 68' · 0.47 xGMikey Moore 46' · 0.39 xGYussuf Poulsen 87' · 0.28 xGPatson Daka 85' · 0.14 xGPatson Daka 68' · 0.13 xGLuka Lochoshvili 73' · 0.12 xGThijs Dallinga 46' · 0.12 xGThijs Dallinga 5' · 0.11 xGLuka Lochoshvili 18' · 0.11 xGRagnar Ache 75' · 0.08 xGNicolai Remberg 54' · 0.07 xGSaid El Mala 51' · 0.05 xGRagnar Ache 70' · 0.04 xGFábio Vieira 31' · 0.04 xGFábio Vieira 77' · 0.04 xGFábio Vieira 59' · 0.03 xGLinton Maina 44' · 0.03 xGSaid El Mala 31' · 0.03 xGSaid El Mala 73' · 0.03 xGSaid El Mala 36' · 0.03 xGFábio Vieira 34' · 0.02 xGÍsak Bergmann Jóhannesson 74' · 0.02 xGMikey Moore 25' · 0.02 xGLinton Maina 72' · 0.02 xGMikey Moore 26' · 0.01 xGNicolai Remberg 70' · 0.01 xGNicolás Capaldo 43' · 0.54 xG · goalYussuf Poulsen 48' · 0.37 xG · goalRagnar Ache 89' · 0.33 xG · goal
Hamburger SV (attacking right)1. FC Köln (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Hamburger SV1222.14
1. FC Köln1812.16

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 0.98 to 0.60. At full time, xG was level: Hamburger SV 2.14, 1. FC Köln 2.16. The widest gap was 0.89 xG to 1. FC Köln, in the 37th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.204590Goal - Hamburger SV 43 minGoal - Hamburger SV 48 minGoal - 1. FC Köln 89 min
Hamburger SV 2.14 xG1. FC Köln 2.16 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln?
In their last 6 meetings, Hamburger SV won 2, 1. FC Köln won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln?
Recent form — Hamburger SV 1W 1D 3L; 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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