Hamburger SV v Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT · Volksparkstadion

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hamburger SV · Bayer Leverkusen

TACTIX’s free model pick for Hamburger SV v Bayer Leverkusen, Bundesliga on Sat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hamburger SV host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on Saturday 9 January (kick-off 14:30 UK).

Form and the table

11 of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Hamburger SV have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.00. Hamburger SV have scored 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Hamburger SV have conceded 20 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Bayer Leverkusen have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 1.57. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Hamburger SV (10th) and Bayer Leverkusen (sixth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayer Leverkusen the stronger side, 66 rating points above Hamburger SV (Bayer Leverkusen 1567, Hamburger SV 1501, after at least 81 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Hamburger SV, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburger SV.

Team news

Predicted Hamburger SV XI (3-5-2): D. Fernandes, W. Omari, S. Nandja, S. Bornauw, D. Møller Wolfe, M. Adeline, M. Muheim, A. Sambi Lokonga, Z. El Ouahdi, T. Moffi, P. Daka — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Muheim (5.9 per match over six appearances, three goals and one assist) and A. Grønbæk (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and four assists) have been Hamburger SV’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hamburger SV (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Muheim averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 664 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. A. Grønbæk averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 677 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bayer Leverkusen XI (4-2-3-1): M. Flekken, F. Medina, E. Tapsoba, M. Gutiérrez, J. Quansah, A. García, I. Maza, E. Fernández, J. Hofmann, A. Moreira, P. Schick — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Patrik Schick (5.6 per match over 14 appearances, 11 goals and two assists) and Ibrahim Maza (5.3 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been Bayer Leverkusen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayer Leverkusen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patrik Schick averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 1189 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Ibrahim Maza averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1487 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT · Bundesliga · Volksparkstadion
Head-to-head (last 4): Hamburger SV 0 · draws 1 · Bayer Leverkusen 3 · 2.25 goals/game
Recent form: Hamburger SV 2W 0D 3L · Bayer Leverkusen 2W 0D 3L

Hamburger SV v Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.38

Goals

against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 7

Corners

against 5.75 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 7.38

Shots on target

against 5.88 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 2.13

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Hamburger SV for / against	Line	Bayer Leverkusen for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 17.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.88 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.63 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Goalkeeper

Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniel Heuer Fernandes	9	90810 min	384.2 /90	151.7 /90	00 /90
S. Tangvik	2	90180 min	63 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8	90	4.1 7/7
S. Tangvik n 3	90	4.3 3/2

Hamburger SV Defensive

Hamburger SV — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Bornauw	8	84674 min	91.2 /90	121.6 /90	81.1 /90	354.7 /90	60.8 /90	00 /90
W. Omari	8	81647 min	71 /90	152.1 /90	60.8 /90	314.3 /90	40.6 /90	30.4 /90
N. Capaldo	7	88615 min	202.9 /90	142 /90	20.3 /90	416 /90	131.9 /90	20.3 /90
S. Nandja	7	77541 min	122 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	264.3 /90	61 /90	30.5 /90
J. Torunarigha	5	79397 min	51.1 /90	102.3 /90	40.9 /90	214.8 /90	71.6 /90	00 /90
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Hamburger SV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
D. Møller Wolfe n 8	88.4	1.3 7/2	1.3 5/3	—
M. Adeline n 8	73.6	1.8 7/5	0.3 2/0	—
A. Grønbæk n 8	74.6	0.8 4/1	2.4 7/4	—
A. Sambi Lokonga n 8	73.1	1.7 7/2	1.5 5/2	—
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Hamburger SV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Møller Wolfe n 8	88.4	1.1 5/2
M. Adeline n 8	73.6	3.1 7/5
A. Grønbæk n 8	74.6	2.1 5/5
A. Sambi Lokonga n 8	73.1	1.5 6/4
S. Bornauw n 8	84.3	1.2 5/2
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Hamburger SV Attacking

Hamburger SV — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Grønbæk	9	73657 min	30.4 /90	40.5 /90	111.5 /90	60.8 /90	162.2 /90	91.2 /90
P. Daka	8	54431 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	142.9 /90	40.8 /90	61.3 /90	51 /90
T. Moffi	8	49394 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	71.6 /90	40.9 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90
Otto Emerson Stange	7	33232 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90
Y. Poulsen	6	45270 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	31 /90	41.3 /90	31 /90
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Hamburger SV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Møller Wolfe n 8	88.4	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1
M. Adeline n 8	73.6	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
A. Grønbæk n 8	74.6	1.2 5/3	0.6 3/1
A. Sambi Lokonga n 8	73.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Hamburger SV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Møller Wolfe n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Adeline n 8	73.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Grønbæk n 8	74.6	0.2 1/0	0.6 3/1
A. Sambi Lokonga n 8	73.1	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen Goalkeeper

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Flekken	11	90990 min	242.2 /90	121.1 /90	00 /90
J. Blaswich	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 8	90	2.3 5/5
J. Blaswich n 8	90	4.1 5/4

Bayer Leverkusen Defensive

Bayer Leverkusen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Tapsoba	14	851186 min	151.1 /90	110.8 /90	60.5 /90	503.8 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
F. Medina	14	721012 min	141.2 /90	100.9 /90	70.6 /90	343 /90	141.2 /90	30.3 /90
Miguel Gutiérrez	13	821072 min	121 /90	70.6 /90	30.3 /90	292.4 /90	131.1 /90	20.2 /90
J. Quansah	13	67869 min	161.7 /90	30.3 /90	50.5 /90	333.4 /90	131.3 /90	20.2 /90
Lucas Vázquez	8	71564 min	40.6 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	254 /90	91.4 /90	10.2 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Aleix García n 8	84.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0	—
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	0.3 2/0	0.4 2/1	—
F. Medina n 8	78.1	0.9 5/1	0.6 3/1	—
P. Schick n 8	76.3	0.4 3/0	1 6/1	—
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	1.3 6/2	0.4 2/1	—
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Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	84.9	1.5 6/3
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	0.8 4/2
F. Medina n 8	78.1	1.4 7/2
P. Schick n 8	76.3	0.6 4/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	0.7 3/2
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Bayer Leverkusen Attacking

Bayer Leverkusen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Schick	14	721009 min	111 /90	20.2 /90	443.9 /90	211.9 /90	161.4 /90	90.8 /90
N. Tella	7	42291 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	144.3 /90	61.9 /90	30.9 /90	41.2 /90
Christian Kofane	5	33163 min	31.7 /90	00 /90	105.5 /90	42.2 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90
M. Terrier	3	34103 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.5 /90	21.7 /90	10.9 /90	21.7 /90
Aleix García	14	871219 min	00 /90	50.4 /90	171.3 /90	50.4 /90	382.8 /90	30.2 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	84.9	1.3 4/3	0.1 1/0
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	1.4 5/3	0.6 2/1
F. Medina n 8	78.1	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
P. Schick n 8	76.3	3.7 8/7	1.8 7/4
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	1 6/1	0.1 1/0
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Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0.5 3/1
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
F. Medina n 8	78.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Schick n 8	76.3	0.9 5/1	0.1 1/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hamburger SV v Bayer Leverkusen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Hamburger SVWLLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Bayer LeverkusenWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Hamburger SV 0 · 1 draw · Bayer Leverkusen 3 · 2.25 goals/game

2026-05-16 Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburger SV
2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen
2018-02-17 Hamburger SV 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen
2017-09-24 Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 Hamburger SV

League standing · 2026/27

Hamburger SV#10 pos12 pts9 pl-10 GD

Bayer Leverkusen#6 pos13 pts8 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Hamburger SV scored1.11

Bayer Leverkusen scored2.25

Hamburger SV conceded2.22

Bayer Leverkusen conceded2

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and Bayer Leverkusen?: In their last 4 meetings, Hamburger SV won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and Bayer Leverkusen?: Recent form — Hamburger SV 2W 0D 3L; Bayer Leverkusen 2W 0D 3L.

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